cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ty Goodwill /South Alabama

Ty Goodwill

S · South Alabama · So · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

35 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred South Alabama → Cincinnati for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Cincinnati

2025South Alabama
2026Cincinnati

S · SOUTH ALABAMA · SUN BELT

Ty Goodwill

  • 2
  • #7
  • 6-2 | 200 lb
  • Prichard, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 96th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13688

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2226 national
CFB
College
South Alabama
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class2
Jersey7
Measurements6-2 | 200 lb
HometownPrichard, AL
Primary teamSouth Alabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2226 recruit
Composite rating 0.8233 HighSchool
Signed with South Alabama 2024
Origin Faith Academy Mobile, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8233 No. 2226 recruit | HighSchool | South Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Cincinnati 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 South Alabama -> Cincinnati 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13688Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13612Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to South Alabama

Composite

0.8233

#2226 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ty Goodwill

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ty Goodwill

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
35Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
41Tackles
5.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 35): needs 22.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 35): needs 32.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ty Goodwill is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on South Alabama's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13688 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 4.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 35 19 solo | #1098/4942 (78th pct)
TFL 4.5 Backfield disruption | #648/4972 (87th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
35 78th
SOLO
19 76th
TFL
4.5 87th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
7 96th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-21vs Morgan State1162.00.04Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 2L 31-33vs Tulane210.00.01
Wk 3L 15-31@ Auburn100.00.00
Wk 4L 20-38vs Coastal Carolina221.00.01
Wk 6L 24-31@ Troy200.00.00
Wk 8L 14-15vs Arkansas State210.00.00
Wk 9W 38-31@ Georgia State420.00.00
Wk 10L 22-31vs Louisiana110.00.00
Wk 12W 26-14@ UL Monroe310.00.010
Wk 13W 42-35vs Southern Miss531.50.01
Wk 14L 26-49@ Texas State220.00.00
Total35194.50.017
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025South Alabama4-8HC: Major Applewhite · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025South Alabama35194.50.071--
Career1 loaded season35194.50.071--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 7 Coverage disruption | #85/2184 (96th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 35 #1098/4942 78th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.5 #648/4972 87th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 7 #85/2184 96th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 19 #1095/4584 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.80.80.01.2
Road5g2.40.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g5.80.90.01.2
Losses7g1.70.10.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.60.60.01.2
Weeks 8+6g2.80.20.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

52Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (96th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#85 / 2975 · 96th pct
7defe
Tackles for loss#648 / 2975 · 77th pct
4.5defe
Tackles#1098 / 2975 · 62nd pct
35defe
Solo tackles#1095 / 2975 · 62nd pct
19defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Ty GoodwillSouth AlabamaTyler MartinMassachusetts· 80% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 77% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 76% sim
Passes defended
96
Goodwill
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
86
Fitzgerald
Tackles for loss
77
Goodwill
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
85
Fitzgerald
Tackles
62
Goodwill
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Fitzgerald
Solo tackles
62
Goodwill
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
100
Fitzgerald
Interceptions
31
Goodwill
31
Martin
31
Fitzgerald
Sacks
24
Goodwill
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
24
Fitzgerald
QB hurries
22
Goodwill
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
55
Fitzgerald

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Deonte Banks’s 2022 season.

Deonte Banks

83%match

Maryland · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 25
#2

Chris Peal

Syracuse · 2025

80%
#3

Xavier Lucas

Miami · 2025

80%
#4

T.J. Tampa

Iowa State · 2022

NFL Rd 4
79%
#5

Ro Torrence

Arizona State · 2022

79%

Matches Deonte on

Interceptions
PD rate
Tackle volume

Differs from Deonte on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ronald Williams Jr.'s sophomore season at Michigan State (2021).

Ronald Williams Jr.

89%match

Michigan State · 2021

#2

Kaiir Elam

Florida · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 1 · Pk 23
82%
#3

Dezz Ricks

Texas A&M · 2025

78%
#4

Ashton Hampton

Clemson · 2025

80%
#5

Xavier Lucas

Miami · 2025

80%

Matches Ronald on

Height
Interceptions
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Major Applewhite

Pass share

37.0%

310 pass / 527 run

Plays / game

69.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Major Applewhite
South Alabama

Played his entire career under Major Applewhite.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPrichard, AL
Height6'2"
Weight200 lb
Class2
PositionS
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 South Alabama S2 #13688 #13612 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Alabama Sun Belt S 2 No. 7 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Prichard, AL
2024 South Alabama Sun Belt S 2 No. 7 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Prichard, AL