cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Turbo Richard /Boston College

Turbo Richard

RB · Boston College · So · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

749 RUSH YDS · 9 RUSH TD · 145 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Boston College → Indiana for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Indiana

2025Boston College
2026Indiana

RB · BOSTON COLLEGE · ACC

Turbo Richard

  • 2
  • #2
  • 5-8 | 207 lb
  • Hickory, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

76

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1898

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1395 national
CFB
College
Boston College
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey2
Measurements5-8 | 207 lb
HometownHickory, NC
Primary teamBoston College

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1395 recruit
Composite rating 0.8550 HighSchool
Signed with Boston College 2024
Origin Northwestern Rock Hill, SC, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8550 No. 1395 recruit | HighSchool | Boston College

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Indiana 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 4, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Boston College -> Indiana 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1898Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1787Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (749).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Boston College

Composite

0.8550

#1395 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Turbo Richard

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Turbo Richard

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.180

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #23 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 66th

Why it matters

#23 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.180 EPA/carry on 127 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.180 (66th)

HIGH · n=127 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#27 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#28 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
749Rush yards
145Carries
9Rush TDs
Per game
68.1Rush yards
13Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
885.2Rush yards
171Carries
11Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 749): needs 0.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 749): needs 125.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 749): needs 375.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 9): needs 0.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 9): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 9): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Turbo Richard is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 749 rushing yards, 30 catches, and 0 return yards for Boston College. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #1898 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 23.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 962 749 rush | 213 rec | #77/735 (90th pct)
Rush TD 9 145 carries | #43/739 (94th pct)
Yards/carry 5.2 Per-rush efficiency | #240/735 (67th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
145 90th
YDS
749 90th
YPC
5.2 67th
TD
9 94th

Receiving

REC
30 94th
YDS
213 92nd
YPR
7.1 53rd
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 66-10vs Fordham16483.018
Wk 2L 40-42@ Michigan State13554.219
Wk 3L 20-30@ Stanford14553.9013
Wk 5L 24-28vs California1517111.4271Season-high 171 yds
Wk 6L 7-48@ Pittsburgh620.303
Wk 7L 10-41vs Clemson18754.2118
Wk 8L 23-38vs UConn6254.2010
Wk 10L 10-25vs Notre Dame16261.606
Wk 11L 13-45vs SMU15493.3011
Wk 12L 34-36vs Georgia Tech1114112.8243
Wk 14W 34-12@ Syracuse151026.8246
Total1457495.1971
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Boston College2-10HC: Bill O'Brien · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Boston College1457495.29--
Career1 loaded season1457495.29--
SeasonTeam
2025Boston College302137.12--
Career1 loaded season302137.12--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 30 213 rec yds | #34/552 (94th pct)
Usage 23.4% 43.8% rush share | #61/738 (92nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.18 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #84/362 (77th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 749 #77/735 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 9 #43/739 94th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.2 #240/735 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 30 #34/552 94th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 213 #46/548 92nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.18 #84/362 77th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 127 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 23.4% #61/738 92nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 145 #73/739 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 71 #58/733 92nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 49 #50/540 91st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.1 #261/548 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 43.8% #41/738 95th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 27.5% #56/738 93rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 25.9% #72/738 90th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 23.5% #59/738 92nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 19.2% #32/738 96th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 13.8% #93/738 88th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 9.1% #44/738 94th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g76.45.80.9
Road4g53.53.80.8

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g75.04.91.5
Losses9g66.65.10.7

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g67.74.50.8
Weeks 8+5g68.65.70.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

76All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (89th). Strength: rec yards (87th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).

Receptions#34 / 338 · 90th pct
30rece
Rec yards#43 / 338 · 87th pct
213rece
Rush TDs#43 / 349 · 87th pct
9rush
Long run#53 / 349 · 85th pct
71rush
Carries#73 / 349 · 79th pct
145rush
Rush yards#77 / 349 · 78th pct
749rush
Yards / carry#127 / 349 · 62nd pct
5.2rush
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.18Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Turbo RichardBoston CollegeDemond ClaiborneWake Forest· 91% simCameron DickeyTexas Tech· 90% simLincoln PareTexas State· 89% sim
Receptions
90
Richard
88
Claiborne
83
Dickey
97
Pare
Rec yards
87
Richard
73
Claiborne
88
Dickey
96
Pare
Rush TDs
87
Richard
89
Claiborne
96
Dickey
94
Pare
Long run
85
Richard
96
Claiborne
85
Dickey
75
Pare
Carries
79
Richard
88
Claiborne
94
Dickey
94
Pare
Rush yards
78
Richard
86
Claiborne
95
Dickey
94
Pare
Yards / carry
62
Richard
58
Claiborne
68
Dickey
68
Pare
Fumbles lost
14
Richard
1
Claiborne
1
Dickey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Satellite Back

Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Nelson Smith’s 2020 season.

Nelson Smith

70%match

Navy · 2020

#2

Dedrick Parson

Hawai'i · 2021

73%
#3

Robert Henry

UTSA · 2024

73%
#4

Noah Whittington

Oregon · 2024

71%
#5

Trevor Etienne

Florida · 2023

NFL Rd 4
71%

Matches Nelson on

Weight
Rush TD rate
Yards / carry

Differs from Nelson on

Class year (lower)
Height (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Cooper Wallace’s path through The Citadel.

Cooper Wallace

98%match

The Citadel · 2024

#2

Julius Loughridge

Fordham · 2024

95%
#3

Corey Taylor II

Tulsa · 2020

95%
#4

CJ Marable

Coastal Carolina · 2020

93%
#5

Asim Rose

Kentucky · 2020

90%

Matches Cooper on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Daelen Alexander's sophomore season at Rice (2025).

Daelen Alexander

70%match

Rice · 2025

#2

Malik Davis

Florida · 2021

72%
#3

Robert Henry

UTSA · 2024

71%
#4

Trevor Etienne

Florida · 2023

All-SECNFL Rd 4
71%
#5

Kaden Shields-Dutton

Florida Atlantic · 2025

69%

Matches Daelen on

EPA / carry (adj)
Recruiting rating
Weight

Differs from Daelen on

Height (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill O'Brien

Pass share

54.8%

454 pass / 374 run

Plays / game

69.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.9%

349 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Bill O'Brien
Boston College

Played his entire career under Bill O'Brien.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHickory, NC
Height5'8"
Weight207 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Boston College RB2 #1898 #1787 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boston College ACC RB 2 No. 2 | 5-8 | 207 lb | Hickory, NC
2024 Boston College ACC RB 2 No. 2 | 5-8 | 207 lb | Hickory, NC