CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 42nd percentile.
Tucker Kilcrease
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Tucker Kilcrease is a cornerstone for Troy — measured against the line he joined.
1,537PASS YDS9PASS TD126RUSH YDS
PASSING VALUE · WEPA
+0.24
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 258 plays
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Troy for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Troy
Returning around him
- 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- Transfer portal: -13 net (14 in / 27 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Troy · Last season: 8-6 · Talent rank #99 · 2026 recruiting class #82
QB · TROY · SUN BELT
Tucker Kilcrease
- 3
- #10
- 6-0 | 205 lb
- Brantley, AL
Heisman Heat
#642
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2024–2025+312%
Up 312% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Troy
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8248 | No. 1820 recruit | HighSchool | Hudson Valley |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (1537).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Hudson Valley
Composite
0.8248
#1820 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Tucker Kilcrease
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Tucker Kilcrease
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 11g
1,537Pass yards
9Pass TDs
6INT
Per game
139.7Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,816Pass yards
11Pass TDs
7INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,537): needs 731.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,537): needs 1,232/game over remaining 2.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 8/game over remaining 2.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 10.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 13/game over remaining 2.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Tucker Kilcrease's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Troy, he has 1,537 passing yards and 9 touchdown passes, but he also adds 126 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
130 70th
ATT
222 73rd
CMP%
58.6% 38th
Y/A
6.9 52nd
Passing Production
YDS
1,537 71st
TD
9 71st
INT
6 28th
Rushing
CAR
116 91st
YDS
126 71st
YPC
1.1 27th
TD
5 86th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | L 16-27@ Clemson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 3 | L 7-28vs Memphis | 10/29 | 65 | 0 | 1 | 2.2 | 6.6 | |
| Wk 4 | W 21-17@ Buffalo | 14/24 | 148 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | 35.7 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-24vs South Alabama | 13/21 | 203 | 2 | 1 | 9.7 | 67.3 | |
| Wk 7 | W 48-41@ Texas State | 30/39 | 415 | 5 | 0 | 10.6 | 80.9 | Season-high 415 yds |
| Wk 8 | W 37-14@ UL Monroe | 13/21 | 223 | 1 | 0 | 10.6 | 72.2 | |
| Wk 9 | W 35-23vs Louisiana | 16/24 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 7.5 | 62.7 | |
| Wk 10 | L 10-23vs Arkansas State | 19/34 | 166 | 0 | 1 | 4.9 | 9.1 | |
| Wk 12 | L 0-33@ Old Dominion | 2/2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | 85.3 | |
| Wk 15 | L 14-31@ James Madison | 1/5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.6 | |
| Bowl | L 13-17@ Jacksonville State | 12/23 | 116 | 0 | 2 | 5.0 | 9.2 | |
| Total | 130/222 | 1537 | 9 | 6 | 6.5 | 43.2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Troy8-6HC: Gerad Parker · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,537 | #111/382 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 9 | #117/407 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 130 | #114/383 | 70th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 58.6% | #237/383 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.9 | #186/382 | 52nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 126 | #118/408 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.24 | #118/200 | 42nd pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 258 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 46.1% | #110/428 | 75th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 222 | #111/407 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 6 | #294/407 | 28th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 116 | #38/408 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 34 | #93/391 | 76th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #59/408 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.1 | #299/407 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 64.3% | #159/428 | 63rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 56.1% | #121/428 | 72nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 55.6% | #126/428 | 71st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 44.3% | #119/428 | 72nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 40.8% | #104/428 | 76th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 39.7% | #108/428 | 75th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 26.3% | #27/428 | 94th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.14 | #116/140 | 18th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 90 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 154 | 0.5 | 6.1 | 1.0 |
| Road7g | 132 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 234 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 0.4 |
| Losses6g | 61.3 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 158 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 118 | 0.2 | 6.3 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
42Mid-pack
Concern: completion % (26th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds50%of completions
35 comp6.0 yds avg2 TD
Middle
10–19 yds26%of completions
18 comp13.5 yds avg1 TD
Deep
20+ yds24%of completions
17 comp33.6 yds avg3 TD
Overall 56.0% completion on 125 attempts · 17 deep completions averaging 33.6 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.24Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.14Below (<p25) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Tucker KilcreaseTroyRyan BrownePurdue· 81% simAvery JohnsonKansas State· 78% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 76% sim
Rush TDs
Interceptions
Rush yards
Yards / att
Pass yards
Fumbles lost
Pass TDs
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Mitch Griffis’s 2023 season.
Mitch Griffis
73%match
#2
Keyone Jenkins
68%
#3
Brady McBride
64%
#4
Ta'Quan Roberson
67%
#5
Jack Abraham
All-Conference USA
62%
Matches Mitch on
Yards / attempt
Completion %
Differs from Mitch on
Recruiting rating (lower)
INT rate (lower)
Weight (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Alonza Barnett’s path through James Madison.
Alonza Barnett
88%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Caden Creel
86%
#3
Lunch Winfield
85%
#4
Hajj-Malik Williams
All-Mountain West
85%
#5
Devon Dampier
All-Big 12
84%
Matches Alonza on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Colandrea's sophomore season at Virginia (2024).
Anthony Colandrea
75%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Jordan Yates
64%
#3
Brady McBride
62%
#4
Noah Vedral
61%
#5
Dennis Grosel
60%
Matches Anthony on
Yards / attempt
Rush yards / carry
Completion %
Differs from Anthony on
EPA / dropback (adj) (higher)
INT rate (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Gerad Parker
Pass share
47.1%
431 pass / 484 run
Plays / game
65.4
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
17.0%
342 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Gerad Parker
Troy
2025
Gerad Parker
Troy
Played his entire career under Gerad Parker.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBrantley, AL
Height6'0"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTroy
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.