cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tre Spivey /Arizona

Tre Spivey

WR · Arizona · So · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

381 REC YDS · 23 REC · 7 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arizona for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arizona for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Arizona

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 4 Arizona players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (22 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arizona · Last season: 9-4 (AP #21) · Talent rank #67 · 2026 recruiting class #50

WR · ARIZONA · BIG 12

Tre Spivey

  • 2
  • #12
  • 6-4 | 213 lb
  • Chandler, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

67

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 92nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2643

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
24.02023
3812025

+1488%

Up 1488% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#545 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey12
Measurements6-4 | 213 lb
HometownChandler, AZ
Primary teamArizona

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 545 recruit
Composite rating 0.8836 HighSchool
Signed with Kansas State 2023
Origin Hamilton Chandler, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8836 No. 545 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arizona 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 23, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Kansas State -> Arizona 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2643Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2352Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kansas State

Composite

0.8836

#545 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tre Spivey

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "BYU football game plan target - Tre Spivey, Arizona Wildcats &nbsp;&nbsp; AOL.co"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tre Spivey

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

16.6

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #47 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 91st

Why it matters

#47 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.6 yards per reception (23 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 16.6 (91th)

MODERATE · n=23 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#36 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#320 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 6 vs Oklahoma State — 80 ypr

Result W 41-13

The week the volume broke through — put up 80 yds vs Oklahoma State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
381Rec yards
23Receptions
7Rec TDs
Per game
29.3Rec yards
2Receptions
1Rec TDs
Final
381Rec yards
23Receptions
7Rec TDs

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Tre Spivey is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #2643 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 23 7 rec TD | #373/1110 (66th pct)
Receiving yards 381 16.6 per catch | #301/1107 (73rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 387 Total offensive yardage | #301/1107 (73rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
23 66th
YDS
381 73rd
YPR
16.6 84th
TD
7 97th

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
6 39th
YPC
3.0 36th
TD
1 96th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 40-6vs Hawai'i12727.0027
Wk 2W 48-3vs Weber State11010.0110
Wk 3W 23-17vs Kansas State11616.0016
Wk 5L 14-39@ Iowa State2105.019
Wk 6W 41-13vs Oklahoma State38026.7245Season-high 80 yds
Wk 7L 27-33vs BYU11010.0010
Wk 8L 28-31@ Houston17070.0170
Wk 10W 52-17@ Colorado15757.0157
Wk 11W 24-20vs Kansas3227.3014
Wk 12W 30-24@ Cincinnati11515.0015
Wk 13W 41-17vs Baylor2115.508
Wk 14W 23-7@ Arizona State4317.8011
BowlL 19-24@ SMU22211.0112
Total2338120.6770
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Kansas State9-4HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning
2025Arizona9-4HC: Brent Brennan · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arizona2338116.67--
2023Kansas State12424.00--
Career2 loaded seasons2440516.97--
SeasonTeam
2025Arizona26------
2023Kansas State----------
Career2 loaded seasons26------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.9% 8.8% pass-game share | #543/1137 (52nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 8 Across offense and returns | #37/1111 (97th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 23 #373/1110 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 381 #301/1107 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 7 #37/1111 97th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.6 #175/1106 84th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.8% #543/1137 52nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 6 #245/397 39th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 3 #299/346 14th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 3.0 #254/393 36th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 70 #96/1105 91st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 1 #169/243 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.7% #483/1137 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.2% #402/1137 65th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.2% #369/1137 68th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.9% #497/1137 56th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.2% #791/1137 31st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.3% #751/1137 34th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.5% #284/1137 75th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g1.725.114.60.4
Road6g1.834.227.60.7

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins9g1.929.919.10.4
Losses4g1.528.024.00.8

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g1.625.015.10.7
Weeks 8+6g2.034.327.10.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

67Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (91st). Strength: yards / catch (87th).

Rec TDs#37 / 558 · 92nd pct
7rece
Yards / catch#68 / 558 · 88th pct
16.6rece
Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Long catch#89 / 558 · 84th pct
70rece
Rec yards#301 / 558 · 46th pct
381rece
Rush yards#183 / 287 · 35th pct
6rush
Receptions#373 / 558 · 32nd pct
23rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tre SpiveyArizonaJordyn TysonArizona State· 67% simWyatt YoungNorth Texas· 67% simMakai LemonUSC· 67% sim
Rec TDs
92
Spivey
95
Tyson
98
Young
98
Lemon
Yards / catch
88
Spivey
36
Tyson
95
Young
72
Lemon
Rush TDs
85
Spivey
85
Tyson
85
Young
96
Lemon
Long catch
84
Spivey
68
Tyson
97
Young
88
Lemon
Rec yards
46
Spivey
81
Tyson
100
Young
99
Lemon
Rush yards
35
Spivey
28
Tyson
55
Young
28
Lemon
Receptions
32
Spivey
90
Tyson
96
Young
98
Lemon

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Jump-Ball Target

Wins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Traeshon Holden’s 2022 season.

Traeshon Holden

64%match

Alabama · 2022

#2

Jeremiah Koger

South Florida · 2025

60%
#3

Justin Bowick

Illinois · 2025

60%
#4

John Stephens

Louisiana · 2021

60%
#5

Tykee Ogle-Kellogg

UTSA · 2023

59%

Matches Traeshon on

Total EPA (college ability)
Height

Differs from Traeshon on

Class year (lower)
TD rate (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Isaiah Winstead’s path through East Carolina.

Isaiah Winstead

98%match

East Carolina · 2022

All-MAC
#2

Malik Murray

East Tennessee State · 2021

98%
#3

Isaac Teslaa

Arkansas · 2024

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 6
97%
#4

Julius Young

Lafayette · 2022

97%
#5

Darien Chase

Portland State · 2021

96%

Matches Isaiah on

Height
Weight
Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Bowick's junior season at Illinois (2025).

Justin Bowick

62%match

Illinois · 2025

#2

Keon Coleman

Florida State · 2023

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 1
62%
#3

Isaac Rex

BYU · 2022

54%
#4

Kentron Poitier

Florida State · 2022

51%
#5

John Copenhaver

North Carolina · 2023

49%

Matches Justin on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Justin on

Class year (lower)
TD rate (higher)
Yards / reception (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Brennan

Pass share

49.7%

447 pass / 452 run

Plays / game

69.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.9%

340 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jedd Fisch
Arizona
2025
Brent Brennan
Arizona
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jedd Fisch → Brent Brennan. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChandler, AZ
Height6'4"
Weight213 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas State WR2 #2643 #2352 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kansas State WR2 #1968 #1844 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arizona Big 12 WR 2 No. 12 | 6-4 | 213 lb | Chandler, AZ
2024 Kansas State Big 12 WR 2 No. 12 | 6-4 | 213 lb | Chandler, AZ
2023 Kansas State Big 12 WR 2 No. 12 | 6-4 | 213 lb | Chandler, AZ