CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 92nd percentile.
Tre Spivey
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
381 REC YDS · 23 REC · 7 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arizona for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Arizona
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Arizona · Last season: 9-4 (AP #21) · Talent rank #67 · 2026 recruiting class #50
WR · ARIZONA · BIG 12
CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 92nd percentile.
Heisman Heat
#2643
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025Up 1488% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8836 | No. 545 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State -> Arizona | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Kansas State
Composite
0.8836
#545 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
16.6
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#47 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.6 yards per reception (23 catches).
Vs cohort
MODERATE · n=23 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 6 vs Oklahoma State — 80 ypr
Result W 41-13
The week the volume broke through — put up 80 yds vs Oklahoma State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about Tre Spivey is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 40-6vs Hawai'i | 1 | 27 | 27.0 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 2 | W 48-3vs Weber State | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Wk 3 | W 23-17vs Kansas State | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 5 | L 14-39@ Iowa State | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 1 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | W 41-13vs Oklahoma State | 3 | 80 | 26.7 | 2 | 45 | Season-high 80 yds |
| Wk 7 | L 27-33vs BYU | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 8 | L 28-31@ Houston | 1 | 70 | 70.0 | 1 | 70 | |
| Wk 10 | W 52-17@ Colorado | 1 | 57 | 57.0 | 1 | 57 | |
| Wk 11 | W 24-20vs Kansas | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 12 | W 30-24@ Cincinnati | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 13 | W 41-17vs Baylor | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 14 | W 23-7@ Arizona State | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 0 | 11 | |
| Bowl | L 19-24@ SMU | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 1 | 12 | |
| Total | 23 | 381 | 20.6 | 7 | 70 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona | 23 | 381 | 16.6 | 7 | -- |
| 2023 | Kansas State | 1 | 24 | 24.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 24 | 405 | 16.9 | 7 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona | 2 | 6 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Kansas State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 2 | 6 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 23 | #373/1110 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 381 | #301/1107 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 7 | #37/1111 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 16.6 | #175/1106 | 84th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.8% | #543/1137 | 52nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 6 | #245/397 | 39th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 3 | #299/346 | 14th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.0 | #254/393 | 36th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 2 | #194/407 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #19/411 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 70 | #96/1105 | 91st pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #169/243 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.7% | #483/1137 | 58th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.2% | #402/1137 | 65th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.2% | #369/1137 | 68th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 4.9% | #497/1137 | 56th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.2% | #791/1137 | 31st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.3% | #751/1137 | 34th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.5% | #284/1137 | 75th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 1.7 | 25.1 | 14.6 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 1.8 | 34.2 | 27.6 | 0.7 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 1.9 | 29.9 | 19.1 | 0.4 |
| Losses4g | 1.5 | 28.0 | 24.0 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 1.6 | 25.0 | 15.1 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.0 | 34.3 | 27.1 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: rec tds (91st). Strength: yards / catch (87th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Wins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Traeshon Holden’s 2022 season.
Traeshon Holden
Jeremiah Koger
Justin Bowick
John Stephens
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg
Matches Traeshon on
Differs from Traeshon on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Isaiah Winstead’s path through East Carolina.
Isaiah Winstead
Malik Murray
Isaac Teslaa
Julius Young
Darien Chase
Matches Isaiah on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Bowick's junior season at Illinois (2025).
Justin Bowick
Keon Coleman
Isaac Rex
Kentron Poitier
John Copenhaver
Matches Justin on
Differs from Justin on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Brennan
Pass share
49.7%
447 pass / 452 run
Plays / game
69.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.9%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Jedd Fisch → Brent Brennan. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kansas State | WR2 | #2643 | #2352 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Kansas State | WR2 | #1968 | #1844 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona | Big 12 | WR | 2 | No. 12 | 6-4 | 213 lb | Chandler, AZ |
| 2024 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 2 | No. 12 | 6-4 | 213 lb | Chandler, AZ |
| 2023 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 2 | No. 12 | 6-4 | 213 lb | Chandler, AZ |