cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tre Shackelford /Tulane

Tre Shackelford

WR · Tulane · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

193 REC YDS · 13 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Tulane

Returning around him

  • 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (20 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulane · Last season: 11-3 (AP #17) · Talent rank #68 · 2026 recruiting class #74

WR · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Tre Shackelford

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-1 | 187 lb
  • Decatur, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

27

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2706

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1838 national
CFB
College
Tulane
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-1 | 187 lb
HometownDecatur, AL
Primary teamTulane

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1838 recruit
Composite rating 0.8267 HighSchool
Signed with Austin Peay 2021
Origin Austin Decatur, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8267 No. 1838 recruit | HighSchool | Austin Peay

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Tulane 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 24, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Washington State -> Tulane 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2024 Austin Peay -> Washington State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2706Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2572Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Austin Peay

Composite

0.8267

#1838 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tre Shackelford

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "[Source](https://twitter.com/PeteNakos_/status/1916925429136691382) Made with t"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tre Shackelford

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
193Rec yards
13Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
32.2Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
418.2Rec yards
28Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 193): needs 72.4/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 193): needs 115.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 13): needs 6.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 13): needs 9.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.3/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tre Shackelford's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulane, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2706 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 13 1 rec TD | #510/1110 (54th pct)
Receiving yards 193 14.8 per catch | #478/1107 (57th pct)
Scrimmage yards 193 Total offensive yardage | #478/1107 (57th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
13 54th
YDS
193 57th
YPR
14.8 75th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 7W 26-19vs East Carolina46516.3018Season-high 65 yds
Wk 10L 26-48@ UTSA35217.3130
Wk 11W 38-32@ Memphis22713.5021
Wk 13W 37-13@ Temple11818.0018
Wk 14W 27-0vs Charlotte22211.0017
BowlL 10-41@ Ole Miss199.009
Total1319314.2130
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Tulane11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulane1319314.81--
Career1 loaded season1319314.81--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.1% 8.0% pass-game share | #614/1137 (46th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 13 #510/1110 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 193 #478/1107 57th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.8 #280/1106 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.0% #614/1137 46th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 30 #597/1105 46th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.3% #390/1137 66th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.5% #450/1137 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.1% #596/1137 48th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.1% #783/1137 31st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.9% #830/1137 27th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 2.8% #925/1137 19th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g3.043.513.70.0
Road4g1.826.514.40.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g2.233.014.70.0
Losses2g2.030.513.20.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g2.537.012.70.0
Weeks 8+4g2.029.814.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

27Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (6th).

Yards / catch#144 / 558 · 74th pct
14.8rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Rec yards#473 / 558 · 15th pct
193rece
Long catch#473 / 558 · 15th pct
30rece
Receptions#510 / 558 · 7th pct
13rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Tre ShackelfordTulaneMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 46% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 45% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 43% sim
Yards / catch
74
Shackelford
9
III
40
Walker
15
Gibson
Rec TDs
24
Shackelford
24
III
42
Walker
7
Gibson
Rec yards
15
Shackelford
70
III
89
Walker
74
Gibson
Long catch
15
Shackelford
16
III
39
Walker
56
Gibson
Receptions
7
Shackelford
92
III
95
Walker
92
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Diante Vines’s 2023 season.

Diante Vines

78%match

Iowa · 2023

#2

Tim Grear Jr.

Akron · 2025

76%
#3

Mark Walker

Navy · 2022

76%
#4

Corey Smith

Purdue · 2025

76%
#5

Nik McMillan

Buffalo · 2023

74%

Matches Diante on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Height

Differs from Diante on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Weight (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kobe Clark’s path through Abilene Christian.

Kobe Clark

100%match

Abilene Christian · 2022

#2

Jarrod Barnes

Central Arkansas · 2023

99%
#3

Darien Chase

Portland State · 2021

99%
#4

Trey Cleveland

Abilene Christian · 2024

96%
#5

Javen Banks

Texas State · 2022

93%

Matches Kobe on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to RJ Garcia II's junior season at Kansas State (2023).

RJ Garcia II

82%match

Kansas State · 2023

#2

Tim Grear Jr.

Akron · 2025

82%
#3

Tauskie Dove

Missouri · 2022

79%
#4

Marcell Barbee

Texas State · 2022

All-Sun Belt
79%
#5

Austin Upshaw

SMU · 2022

77%

Matches RJ on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from RJ on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jon Sumrall

Pass share

45.8%

424 pass / 501 run

Plays / game

66.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.4%

294 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jon Sumrall
Tulane

Played his entire career under Jon Sumrall.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDecatur, AL
Height6'1"
Weight187 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington State WR4 #2706 #2572 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulane American Athletic WR 4 No. 11 | 6-1 | 187 lb | Decatur, AL
2024 Washington State Pac-12 WR 4 No. 11 | 6-1 | 187 lb | Decatur, AL