cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tray Taylor /Troy

Tray Taylor

WR · Troy · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

513 REC YDS · 31 REC · 3 REC TD

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Troy)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Troy
DestinationTBD

WR · TROY · SUN BELT

Tray Taylor

  • 4
  • #8
  • 5-8 | 140 lb
  • Shreveport, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3884

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#30 national
CFB
College
Troy
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements5-8 | 140 lb
HometownShreveport, LA
Primary teamTroy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 30 recruit
Composite rating 0.8711 JUCO
Signed with Coastal Carolina 2024
Origin Tyler J.C. Shreveport, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8711 No. 30 recruit | JUCO | Coastal Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 17, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Troy -> -- 3-star | Immediate
2025 Coastal Carolina -> Hudson Valley 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3884Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3742Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Coastal Carolina

Composite

0.8711

#30 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tray Taylor

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tray Taylor

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

16.5

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #50 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 91st

Why it matters

#50 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.5 yards per reception (31 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 16.5 (91th)

HIGH · n=31 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#206 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 8 at UL Monroe — 89 ypr

Result W 37-14

The week the volume broke through — put up 89 yds at UL Monroe.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
513Rec yards
31Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
46.6Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
606.3Rec yards
37Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 513): needs 93.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 513): needs 243.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 31): needs 14.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 31): needs 24.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Tray Taylor is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #3884 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 31 3 rec TD | #268/1110 (76th pct)
Receiving yards 513 16.5 per catch | #210/1107 (81st pct)
Scrimmage yards 565 Total offensive yardage | #210/1107 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
31 76th
YDS
513 81st
YPR
16.5 84th
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
10 88th
YDS
52 86th
YPC
5.2 59th
TD
1 96th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 38-20vs Nicholls12828.0128
Wk 2L 16-27@ Clemson46917.3144
Wk 4W 21-17@ Buffalo4205.009
Wk 6W 31-24vs South Alabama27437.0048
Wk 7W 48-41@ Texas State25025.0031
Wk 8W 37-14@ UL Monroe28944.5160Season-high 89 yds
Wk 9W 35-23vs Louisiana3165.309
Wk 10L 10-23vs Arkansas State25628.0043
Wk 13W 31-19vs Georgia State6579.5017
Wk 14W 28-18@ Southern Miss2199.5014
Wk 15L 14-31@ James Madison33511.7030
Total3151320.1360
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Troy8-6HC: Gerad Parker · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Troy3151316.53--
Career1 loaded season3151316.53--
SeasonTeam
2025Troy1052------
Career1 loaded season1052------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.0% 11.3% pass-game share | #420/1137 (63rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 31 #268/1110 76th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 513 #210/1107 81st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.5 #179/1106 84th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.3% #420/1137 63rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 52 #58/397 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 16 #93/346 73rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 10 #48/407 88th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 5.2 #164/393 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 60 #176/1105 84th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 1 #182/237 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.6% #258/1137 77th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.5% #202/1137 82nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.4% #340/1137 70th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.0% #277/1137 76th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.7% #310/1137 73rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.3% #390/1137 66th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.4% #77/1137 93rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.846.221.60.2
Road6g2.847.018.80.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g2.844.120.50.2
Losses3g3.053.319.00.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.648.222.50.4
Weeks 8+6g3.045.318.10.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

66Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (87th). Strength: rush tds (85th).

Yards / catch#71 / 558 · 87th pct
16.5rece
Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Rush yards#52 / 287 · 82nd pct
52rush
Long catch#156 / 558 · 72nd pct
60rece
Rec yards#210 / 558 · 62nd pct
513rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Receptions#268 / 558 · 51st pct
31rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Tray TaylorTroyNik McMillanBuffalo· 77% simAnthony SmithEast Carolina· 77% simParker KingstonBYU· 74% sim
Yards / catch
87
Taylor
84
McMillan
87
Smith
63
Kingston
Rush TDs
85
Taylor
85
Smith
99
Kingston
Rush yards
82
Taylor
79
Smith
96
Kingston
Long catch
72
Taylor
65
McMillan
86
Smith
91
Kingston
Rec yards
62
Taylor
96
McMillan
98
Smith
94
Kingston
Rec TDs
57
Taylor
57
McMillan
92
Smith
78
Kingston
Receptions
51
Taylor
90
McMillan
93
Smith
94
Kingston
Fumbles lost
36
Taylor
36
Smith
6
Kingston

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to DJ Chisolm’s 2020 season.

DJ Chisolm

72%match

Middle Tennessee · 2020

#2

Phillip Brooks III

Kansas State · 2023

57%
#3

Victor Snow

Buffalo · 2024

All-MAC
56%
#4

Silas Bolden

Oregon State · 2023

56%
#5

Nykeim Johnson

Kent State · 2021

54%

Matches DJ on

TD rate
Yards / reception

Differs from DJ on

Reception volume (higher)
Weight (lower)
Class year (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Harris’s path through Furman.

Joshua Harris

98%match

Furman · 2024

#2

Hunter Long

Boston College · 2020

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 18
98%
#3

Taylor Grimes

Incarnate Word · 2022

94%
#4

Jalen McDonald

Merrimack · 2025

92%
#5

DeVontres Dukes

South Florida · 2020

90%

Matches Joshua on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jaylen Dixon's sophomore season at Utah (2022).

Jaylen Dixon

69%match

Utah · 2022

#2

Robert Ferrel

Washington State · 2022

66%
#3

Phillip Brooks III

Kansas State · 2021

65%
#4

Devin Maddox

Toledo · 2021

62%
#5

Nykeim Johnson

Kent State · 2021

61%

Matches Jaylen on

Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Height

Differs from Jaylen on

Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Gerad Parker

Pass share

47.1%

431 pass / 484 run

Plays / game

65.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

17.0%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Gerad Parker
Troy

Played his entire career under Gerad Parker.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownShreveport, LA
Height5'8"
Weight140 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Coastal Carolina WR4 #3884 #3742 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Troy Sun Belt WR 4 No. 8 | 5-8 | 140 lb | Shreveport, LA
2024 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt WR 4 No. 8 | 5-8 | 140 lb | Shreveport, LA