cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tray Brown /Coastal Carolina

Tray Brown

LB · Coastal Carolina · Jr · #55

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

53 TACKLES · 2.5 SACKS

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Coastal Carolina)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Coastal Carolina
DestinationTBD

LB · COASTAL CAROLINA · SUN BELT

Tray Brown

  • 3
  • #55
  • 6-1 | 235 lb
  • Margate, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

73

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13497

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1285 national
CFB
College
Coastal Carolina
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +2500

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey55
Measurements6-1 | 235 lb
HometownMargate, FL
Primary teamCoastal Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1285 recruit
Composite rating 0.8496 HighSchool
Signed with Coastal Carolina 2022
Origin Cardinal Gibbons Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8496 No. 1285 recruit | HighSchool | Coastal Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Withdrawn Jan 27, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Coastal Carolina -> -- 3-star | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13497Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13384Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Coastal Carolina

Composite

0.8496

#1285 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tray Brown

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tray Brown

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
53Tackles
11.5Tackles for loss
2.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
1.0Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
57Tackles
12.5Tackles for loss
2.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 53): needs 27/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 53): needs 47/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 3.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 7.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tray Brown is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Coastal Carolina's defense, with 2.5 sacks, 11.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13497 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.5 sacks | 11.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 53 36 solo | #525/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 11.5 Backfield disruption | #62/4972 (99th pct)
Sacks 2.5 Pass-rush finish | #393/4972 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
53 89th
SOLO
36 93rd
TFL
11.5 99th
SACK
2.5 92nd
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-48@ Virginia100.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 2W 13-0vs Charleston Southern321.00.01
Wk 3L 0-38vs East Carolina771.00.00
Wk 4W 38-20@ South Alabama610.50.50
Wk 6L 7-47@ Old Dominion321.00.00
Wk 7W 23-8vs UL Monroe662.00.00
Wk 8W 45-37@ App State521.51.00
Wk 11W 40-27vs Georgia State331.01.00
Wk 12L 40-45@ Georgia Southern530.50.00
Wk 13L 7-51@ South Carolina220.00.00
Wk 14L 10-59vs James Madison430.50.00
BowlL 14-23@ Louisiana Tech852.50.00
Total533611.52.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Coastal Carolina8-5HC: Tim Beck · Balanced
2025Coastal Carolina6-7HC: Tim Beck · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Coastal Carolina533611.52.51----
2023Coastal Carolina1151.00.011--
Career2 loaded seasons644112.52.521--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 53 #525/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 11.5 #62/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.5 #393/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 36 #322/4584 93rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g4.61.10.20.2
Road7g4.30.90.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g4.61.20.50.2
Losses7g4.30.80.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.91.10.10.1
Weeks 8+5g3.80.70.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

73Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (97th). Strength: solo tackles (88th).

Tackles for loss#62 / 2975 · 98th pct
11.5defe
Solo tackles#322 / 2975 · 89th pct
36defe
Sacks#389 / 2975 · 85th pct
2.5defe
Tackles#525 / 2975 · 82nd pct
53defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tray BrownCoastal CarolinaJohnny Chaney Jr.Florida International· 92% simJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 92% simKhalil MurdockBuffalo· 91% sim
Tackles for loss
98
Brown
91
Jr.
96
Kuwatch
99
Murdock
Solo tackles
89
Brown
100
Jr.
95
Kuwatch
98
Murdock
Sacks
85
Brown
89
Jr.
96
Kuwatch
96
Murdock
Tackles
82
Brown
99
Jr.
98
Kuwatch
100
Murdock
QB hurries
55
Brown
55
Jr.
55
Kuwatch
55
Murdock
Passes defended
48
Brown
48
Jr.
48
Kuwatch
48
Murdock
Forced fumbles
47
Brown
47
Jr.
47
Murdock

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Thumper

Downhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to William Kwenkeu’s 2021 season.

William Kwenkeu

84%match

Temple · 2021

#2

Charles Hicks

Missouri · 2023

82%
#3

Jeremy Lewis

East Carolina · 2023

All-AAC
78%
#4

Corey Flagg Jr.

Miami · 2022

76%
#5

Gavin Graham

Texas State · 2020

73%

Matches William on

Tackle volume
Weight
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Daymion Sanford's junior season at Texas A&M (2025).

Daymion Sanford

76%match

Texas A&M · 2025

#2

Justin Ellis

Georgia Southern · 2022

All-Sun Belt
73%
#3

Curtis Jacobs

Penn State · 2022

71%
#4

Corey Flagg Jr.

Miami · 2022

71%
#5

Amar Thomas

James Madison · 2025

71%

Matches Daymion on

Tackle volume
Weight
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tim Beck

Pass share

46.3%

399 pass / 463 run

Plays / game

66.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina
2025
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina

Played his entire career under Tim Beck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMargate, FL
Height6'1"
Weight235 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey55

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Coastal Carolina LB3 #13497 #13384 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Coastal Carolina LB3 #12874 #12680 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Coastal Carolina LB3 #13126 #12988 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt LB 3 No. 55 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Margate, FL
2024 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt LB 3 No. 55 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Margate, FL
2023 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt LB 3 No. 55 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Margate, FL
2022 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt LB 3 No. 55 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Margate, FL