cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Travis Dye /USC

Travis Dye

RB · USC · Sr · #26

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSUSC 2022 alumnus

RB · USC · PAC-12

Travis Dye

  • 4
  • #26
  • 5-10 | 200 lb
  • Norco, CA

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#66

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 3 · Recognized

R11 · National watch / fringe AA

National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R08 Watch-list name · 2021

2021

Oregon · RB

R08 · Watch-list name

Recognized

2022

USC · RB

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2022
1,2712021
8842022

-30%

Sharp dropoff (-30%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#987 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey26
Measurements5-10 | 200 lb
HometownNorco, CA
Primary teamUSC

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 987 recruit
Composite rating 0.8532 HighSchool
Signed with Oregon 2018
Origin Norco Norco, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8532 No. 987 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination USC 2022
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 14, 2022
Season Move Context
2022 Oregon -> USC 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#66Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#58Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Oregon

Composite

0.8532

#987 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Travis Dye

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Travis Dye

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Travis Dye's story is about how role and output meet each other. For USC, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #66 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 28.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,078 884 rush | 194 rec | #55/735 (93rd pct)
Rush TD 9 145 carries | #43/739 (94th pct)
Yards/carry 6.1 Per-rush efficiency | #104/735 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runnerPassing-game back

2022 Season · Final

2022 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
145 90th
YDS
884 93rd
YPC
6.1 86th
TD
9 94th

Receiving

REC
20 87th
YDS
194 89th
YPR
9.7 75th
TD
0 70th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Oregon10-3HC: Bryan McClendon · Run-leaning
2022USC11-3HC: Lincoln Riley · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2022USC1458846.19--
2021Oregon2111,2716.016--
Career2 loaded seasons3562,1556.125--
SeasonTeam
2022USC201949.70--
2021Oregon464028.72--
Career2 loaded seasons665969.02--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 20 194 rec yds | #73/552 (87th pct)
Usage 28.0% 40.9% rush share | #23/738 (97th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.46 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #1/362 (100th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 884 #55/735 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 9 #43/739 94th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.1 #104/735 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 20 #73/552 87th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 194 #61/548 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.46 #1/362 100th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 209 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 28.0% #23/738 97th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 145 #73/739 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 36 #264/733 64th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 19 #248/540 54th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.7 #139/548 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 40.9% #57/738 92nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 31.4% #27/738 96th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 28.4% #50/738 93rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 28.1% #5/738 99th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 27.0% #33/738 96th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 19.4% #22/738 97th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 12.8% #7/738 99th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lincoln Riley

Pass share

50.4%

420 pass / 414 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

313 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

2 coaches
2021
Donte Williams
USC
2022
Lincoln Riley
USC
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Donte Williams → Lincoln Riley. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNorco, CA
Height5'10"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey26

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 USC RB4 #66 #58 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Oregon RB4 #24 #24 1.5% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2022 USC Pac-12 RB 4 No. 26 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Norco, CA
2021 Oregon Pac-12 RB 4 No. 26 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Norco, CA