cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tony Freeman /Washington State

Tony Freeman

WR · Washington State · Jr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

588 REC YDS · 54 REC · 3 REC TD

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Washington State)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Washington State
DestinationTBD

WR · WASHINGTON STATE · PAC-12

Tony Freeman

  • 3
  • 5-8 | 171 lb
  • Richmond, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2842

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#55 national
CFB
College
Washington State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey--
Measurements5-8 | 171 lb
HometownRichmond, CA
Primary teamWashington State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 55 recruit
Composite rating 0.8517 JUCO
Signed with Washington State 2024
Origin College of San Mateo El Sobrante, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8517 No. 55 recruit | JUCO | Washington State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 15, 2025
Season Move Context
2026 Washington State -> -- 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2842Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2706Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Washington State

Composite

0.8517

#55 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tony Freeman

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tony Freeman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

588

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #153 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 71st

Why it matters

#153 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 588 yards on 54 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 588 (71th)

HIGH · n=54 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531
  • Yards per reception#367 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 7 at Ole Miss — 90 receiving_yards_total

Result L 21-24

The week the volume broke through — put up 90 yds at Ole Miss.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
588Rec yards
54Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
45.2Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
588Rec yards
54Receptions
3Rec TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tony Freeman's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Washington State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2842 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 415 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 54 3 rec TD | #94/1110 (92nd pct)
Receiving yards 588 10.9 per catch | #158/1107 (86th pct)
Scrimmage yards 587 Total offensive yardage | #158/1107 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
54 92nd
YDS
588 86th
YPR
10.9 40th
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
-1 18th
YPC
-1.0 16th
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
415 99th
PR AVG
17.3 92nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 13-10vs Idaho7649.1019
Wk 2W 36-13vs San Diego State6437.2011
Wk 3L 10-59@ North Texas34715.7023
Wk 4L 24-59vs Washington22814.0017
Wk 5W 20-3@ Colorado State33010.0019
Wk 7L 21-24@ Ole Miss99010.0119Season-high 90 yds
Wk 8L 20-22@ Virginia155.005
Wk 9W 28-7vs Toledo11515.0115
Wk 10L 7-10@ Oregon State23718.5026
Wk 12W 28-3vs Louisiana Tech4317.8010
Wk 13L 20-24@ James Madison68113.5148
Wk 14W 32-8vs Oregon State78412.0018
BowlW 34-21@ Utah State33311.0018
Total5458811.4348
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Washington State7-6HC: Jimmy Rogers · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Washington State5458810.93--
Career1 loaded season5458810.93--
SeasonTeam
2025Washington State1-1--415--
Career1 loaded season1-1--415--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.1% 17.6% pass-game share | #144/1137 (87th pct)
Return yards 415 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 54 #94/1110 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 588 #158/1107 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.9 #664/1106 40th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 415 #4/224 99th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 17.6% #144/1137 87th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -1 #328/397 18th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -1.0 #333/393 16th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 48 #298/1105 73rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 24 #5/237 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 17.3 #19/222 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.4% #85/1137 93rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 12.7% #106/1137 91st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 9.1% #136/1137 88th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.6% #146/1137 87th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.4% #276/1137 76th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.3% #197/1137 83rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g4.544.210.80.2
Road7g3.946.112.00.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g4.442.910.30.1
Losses6g3.848.012.80.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.747.911.00.1
Weeks 8+6g3.542.212.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

52Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (82nd). Concern: rush yards (14th).

Receptions#94 / 558 · 83rd pct
54rece
Rec yards#158 / 558 · 72nd pct
588rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Long catch#260 / 558 · 52nd pct
48rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Yards / catch#417 / 558 · 25th pct
10.9rece
Rush yards#241 / 287 · 15th pct
-1rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Tony FreemanWashington StateRyan DavisUtah· 89% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 89% simSean WilsonDelaware· 86% sim
Receptions
83
Freeman
91
Davis
96
Waseem
94
Wilson
Rec yards
72
Freeman
83
Davis
84
Waseem
91
Wilson
Rec TDs
57
Freeman
68
Davis
78
Waseem
57
Wilson
Long catch
52
Freeman
67
Davis
42
Waseem
58
Wilson
Rush TDs
39
Freeman
39
Waseem
Fumbles lost
36
Freeman
36
Davis
36
Waseem
36
Wilson
Yards / catch
25
Freeman
36
Davis
21
Waseem
49
Wilson
Rush yards
15
Freeman
4
Waseem

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Robert Ferrel’s 2022 season.

Robert Ferrel

91%match

Washington State · 2022

#2

Phillip Brooks III

Kansas State · 2021

86%
#3

Britain Covey

Utah · 2021

1st-team All-American
83%
#4

Aaron Turner

UConn · 2022

82%
#5

Hassan Beydoun

Eastern Michigan · 2022

All-MAC
82%

Matches Robert on

Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Total EPA (college ability)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen Walker’s path through Miami (OH).

Jalen Walker

99%match

Miami (OH) · 2022

#2

Elijah Steward

Lafayette · 2025

98%
#3

Derick Eugene

Long Island University · 2021

98%
#4

Hassan Beydoun

Eastern Michigan · 2022

All-MAC
97%
#5

Jaden Barnes

App State · 2025

96%

Matches Jalen on

Height
Weight
Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Britain Covey's sophomore season at Utah (2021).

Britain Covey

84%match

Utah · 2021

1st-team All-American
#2

Jovanni Bermudez

Temple · 2025

77%
#3

Tiaquelin Mims

Southern Miss · 2023

76%
#4

Cam'Ron Lacy

Middle Tennessee · 2025

76%
#5

Michael Mathison

Akron · 2021

74%

Matches Britain on

Reception volume
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Britain on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jimmy Rogers

Pass share

48.7%

407 pass / 429 run

Plays / game

64.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

327 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jimmy Rogers
Washington State

Played his entire career under Jimmy Rogers.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRichmond, CA
Height5'8"
Weight171 lb
Class3
PositionWR

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington State WR3 #2842 #2706 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Washington State Pac-12 WR 3 5-8 | 171 lb | Richmond, CA
2024 Washington State Pac-12 WR 3 5-8 | 171 lb | Richmond, CA