cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tommy Bush /North Texas

Tommy Bush

WR · North Texas · Jr · #5

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSNorth Texas 2022 alumnus

WR · NORTH TEXAS · CONFERENCE USA

Tommy Bush

  • 3
  • #5
  • 6-5 | 204 lb
  • Schertz, TX

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3233

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2022
43.02021
34.02022

-21%

Sharp dropoff (-21%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#196 national
CFB
College
North Texas
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements6-5 | 204 lb
HometownSchertz, TX
Primary teamNorth Texas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 196 recruit
Composite rating 0.9222 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia 2018
Origin Samuel Clemens Schertz, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 4-star | 0.9222 No. 196 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination North Texas 2021
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Feb 26, 2021
Season Move Context
2021 Georgia -> North Texas 4-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#3233Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3397Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Georgia

Composite

0.9222

#196 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tommy Bush

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tommy Bush

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tommy Bush's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Texas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3233 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 196 recruit

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 3 1 rec TD | #811/1110 (27th pct)
Receiving yards 34 11.3 per catch | #838/1107 (24th pct)
Scrimmage yards 34 Total offensive yardage | #838/1107 (24th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2022 Season · Final

2022 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
3 27th
YDS
34 24th
YPR
11.3 45th
TD
1 64th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021North Texas6-6HC: Seth Littrell · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2022North Texas7-7HC: Seth Littrell · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2022North Texas33411.31--
2021North Texas34314.30--
Career2 loaded seasons67712.81--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.4% 5.2% pass-game share | #849/1137 (25th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 3 #811/1110 27th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 34 #838/1107 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.3 #609/1106 45th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 5.2% #849/1137 25th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 15 #858/1105 22nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.8% #617/1137 46th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.3% #466/1137 59th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.1% #820/1137 28th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.4% #884/1137 22nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 0.9% #1055/1137 7th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #1017/1137 11th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eric Morris

Pass share

48.5%

475 pass / 504 run

Plays / game

69.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.9%

321 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

1 coach
2021
Seth Littrell
North Texas
2022
Seth Littrell
North Texas

Played his entire career under Seth Littrell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSchertz, TX
Height6'5"
Weight204 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 North Texas WR3 #3233 #3397 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 North Texas WR3 #3851 #4266 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2022 North Texas Conference USA WR 3 No. 5 | 6-5 | 204 lb | Schertz, TX
2021 North Texas Conference USA WR 3 No. 5 | 6-5 | 204 lb | Schertz, TX