cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON

TJ Pride

WR · New Mexico State · So · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

103 REC YDS · 8 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · New Mexico State

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (25 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

New Mexico State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #130 · 2026 recruiting class #126

WR · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA

TJ Pride

  • 2
  • #7
  • 5-9 | 170 lb
  • Midlothian, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

19

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 49th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5765

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
New Mexico State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey7
Measurements5-9 | 170 lb
HometownMidlothian, TX
Primary teamNew Mexico State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5765Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6522Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on TJ Pride

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about TJ Pride

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
103Rec yards
8Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
11.4Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
148.8Rec yards
12Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 103): needs 149.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 103): needs 224.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 8): needs 13/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 8): needs 18/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. TJ Pride already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #5765 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 8 1 rec TD | #631/1110 (43rd pct)
Receiving yards 103 12.9 per catch | #626/1107 (44th pct)
Scrimmage yards 103 Total offensive yardage | #626/1107 (44th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
8 43rd
YDS
103 44th
YPR
12.9 58th
TD
1 64th

Returns

PR YDS
32 44th
PR AVG
3.2 18th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 19-3vs Bryant12020.0020
Wk 2W 21-14vs Tulsa22713.5021
Wk 3L 14-49@ Louisiana Tech
Wk 5L 20-38@ New Mexico13434.0134Season-high 34 yds
Wk 6W 37-10vs Sam Houston
Wk 8L 27-30@ Liberty
Wk 9L 17-24vs Missouri State
Wk 11L 21-24vs Kennesaw State2105.005
Wk 12L 9-42@ Tennessee2126.0013
Total810315.7134
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025New Mexico State4-8HC: Tony Sanchez · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico State810312.91--
Career1 loaded season810312.91--
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico State------32--
Career1 loaded season------32--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.2% 5.1% pass-game share | #853/1137 (25th pct)
Return yards 32 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 8 #631/1110 43rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 103 #626/1107 44th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.9 #465/1106 58th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 32 #126/224 44th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 5.1% #853/1137 25th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 34 #548/1105 50th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 10 #65/237 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 3.2 #183/222 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.9% #663/1137 42nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.8% #828/1137 27th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.7% #595/1137 48th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.2% #727/1137 36th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.8% #713/1137 37th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.0% #886/1137 22nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g1.011.412.80.0
Road4g0.811.520.00.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g1.015.716.80.0
Losses6g0.89.315.00.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g0.816.222.50.2
Weeks 8+4g1.05.55.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

19Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#280 / 558 · 49th pct
12.9rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Long catch#447 / 558 · 19th pct
34rece
Rec yards#550 / 558 · 2nd pct
103rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
TJ PrideNew Mexico StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 49% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 45% simAaron TurnerRice· 44% sim
Yards / catch
49
Pride
9
III
40
Walker
1
Turner
Fumbles lost
36
Pride
6
III
6
Walker
81
Turner
Rec TDs
24
Pride
24
III
42
Walker
68
Turner
Long catch
19
Pride
16
III
39
Walker
65
Turner
Rec yards
2
Pride
70
III
89
Walker
48
Turner
Receptions
0
Pride
92
III
95
Walker
92
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Sanchez

Pass share

57.4%

472 pass / 350 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.7%

359 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State

Played his entire career under Tony Sanchez.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMidlothian, TX
Height5'9"
Weight170 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Conference USA

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Conference USA all_conference New Mexico State | Conference USA WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 New Mexico State WR2 #5765 #6522 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico State Conference USA WR 2 No. 7 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Midlothian, TX
2024 New Mexico State Conference USA WR 2 No. 7 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Midlothian, TX