cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Titus Lyons /Texas State

Titus Lyons

TE · Texas State · Sr · #86

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

94 REC YDS · 12 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Texas State

Returning around him

  • 93% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (17 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #76 · 2026 recruiting class #101

TE · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT

Titus Lyons

  • 4
  • #86
  • 6-3 | 240 lb
  • Pottsboro, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

21

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 66th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4246

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
46.02022
26.02023
94.02025

+104%

Up 104% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Texas State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey86
Measurements6-3 | 240 lb
HometownPottsboro, TX
Primary teamTexas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4246Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4243Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Titus Lyons

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Titus Lyons

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
94Rec yards
12Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
10.4Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
135.8Rec yards
17Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 94): needs 151.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 94): needs 226.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 12): needs 12/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 12): needs 17/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 1.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Titus Lyons's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4246 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 28 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 12 3 rec TD | #166/475 (65th pct)
Receiving yards 94 7.8 per catch | #200/475 (58th pct)
Scrimmage yards 94 Total offensive yardage | #200/475 (58th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
12 65th
YDS
94 58th
YPR
7.8 28th
TD
3 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 43-36@ UTSA122.002
Wk 3L 15-34@ Arizona State155.005
Wk 4W 35-3vs Nicholls188.008
Wk 6L 30-31@ Arkansas State2189.0113
Wk 8L 37-40@ Marshall4276.8116Season-high 27 yds
Wk 10L 20-52vs James Madison188.008
Wk 11L 39-42@ Louisiana12424.0124
Wk 12W 41-14@ Southern Miss122.002
Wk 14W 49-26vs South Alabama
Total12948.1324
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Texas State4-8HC: Jake Spavital · Balanced
2023Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Texas State12947.83--
2023Texas State5265.20--
2022Texas State6467.70--
Career3 loaded seasons231667.23--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.7% 4.2% pass-game share | #336/468 (28th pct)
Return yards 28 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #45/475 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 12 #166/475 65th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 94 #200/475 58th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #45/475 91st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 7.8 #343/475 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 4.2% #336/468 28th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 24 #203/475 57th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.5% #129/468 73rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 1.9% #348/468 26th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 1.7% #373/468 21st pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 1.2% #369/468 21st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 0.9% #388/468 17th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.5% #399/468 15th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #34/55 40th pct Turnoversvs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g0.75.38.00.0
Road6g1.713.08.10.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g0.83.04.00.0
Losses5g1.816.410.60.6

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.28.26.00.2
Weeks 8+5g1.412.210.20.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

21Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec yards (2nd).

Rec TDs#45 / 175 · 66th pct
3rece
Fumbles lost#18 / 33 · 27th pct
1fumb
Long catch#143 / 175 · 17th pct
24rece
Yards / catch#160 / 175 · 9th pct
7.8rece
Receptions#166 / 175 · 3rd pct
12rece
Rec yards#171 / 175 · 3rd pct
94rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Titus LyonsTexas StateHayden HansenFlorida· 64% simBryce CaufieldOregon State· 63% simBrett NorfleetMissouri· 60% sim
Rec TDs
66
Lyons
43
Hansen
21
Caufield
89
Norfleet
Fumbles lost
27
Lyons
27
Hansen
27
Caufield
Long catch
17
Lyons
32
Hansen
39
Caufield
27
Norfleet
Yards / catch
9
Lyons
16
Hansen
7
Caufield
13
Norfleet
Receptions
3
Lyons
69
Hansen
66
Caufield
72
Norfleet
Rec yards
3
Lyons
54
Hansen
44
Caufield
54
Norfleet

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Matt Adcock’s 2025 season.

Matt Adcock

82%match

Memphis · 2025

#2

Marshall Lang

Northwestern · 2021

68%
#3

Daniel Parker

Missouri · 2021

65%
#4

Mata'ava Ta'ase

BYU · 2024

64%
#5

Nate Kurisky

Louisville · 2024

64%

Matches Matt on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Matt on

Class year (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Deshaun Fenwick's senior season at Oregon State (2023).

Deshaun Fenwick

67%match

Oregon State · 2023

#2

Tanner Arkin

Illinois · 2024

All-Mountain West
62%
#3

Michael Brescia

Western Michigan · 2025

61%
#4

Jacob Orlando

Buffalo · 2024

53%
#5

Shane Calhoun

East Carolina · 2023

52%

Matches Deshaun on

Height
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Deshaun on

Weight (higher)
Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

G.J. Kinne

Pass share

39.5%

358 pass / 549 run

Plays / game

69.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jake Spavital
Texas State
2023
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
era →
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State

Coaching transition mid-career: Jake Spavital → G.J. Kinne. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPottsboro, TX
Height6'3"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey86

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas State TE4 #4246 #4243 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Texas State TE4 #3788 #3722 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Texas State TE4 #4236 #4727 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas State Sun Belt TE 4 No. 86 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Pottsboro, TX
2024 Texas State Sun Belt TE 4 No. 86 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Pottsboro, TX
2023 Texas State Sun Belt TE 4 No. 86 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Pottsboro, TX
2022 Texas State Sun Belt TE 4 No. 86 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Pottsboro, TX