cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tim Hardiman /Tulsa

Tim Hardiman

DL · Tulsa · Sr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

36 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Tulsa

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (21 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulsa · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #85 · 2026 recruiting class #109

DL · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Tim Hardiman

  • 4
  • #10
  • 5-11 | 290 lb
  • Spring, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

37

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 88th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14952

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey10
Measurements5-11 | 290 lb
HometownSpring, TX
Primary teamTulsa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Tulsa 2025
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Mar 30, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Arkansas State -> Tulsa Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14952Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15011Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tim Hardiman

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tim Hardiman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
36Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
43Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 36): needs 22/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 36): needs 32/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tim Hardiman is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Tulsa's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14952 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 36 15 solo | #1060/4942 (79th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
36 79th
SOLO
15 69th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
4 85th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 35-7vs Abilene Christian510.00.00
Wk 2L 14-21@ New Mexico State220.00.00
Wk 3L 23-42vs Navy720.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 5L 14-31vs Tulane510.00.00
Wk 6L 7-45@ Memphis300.00.00
Wk 8L 27-41@ East Carolina330.00.00
Wk 9L 37-38vs Temple110.00.00
Wk 11L 21-40@ Florida Atlantic110.00.00
Wk 12W 31-14vs Oregon State430.00.00
Wk 13W 26-25@ Army200.00.00
Wk 14L 24-31vs UAB310.00.00
Total36150.00.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Arkansas State2-10HC: Butch Jones · Pass-heavy
2022Arkansas State3-9HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
2023Arkansas State6-7HC: Butch Jones · Run-leaning
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa36150.00.0------
2023Arkansas State28147.01.52----
2022Arkansas State1262.01.0------
2021Arkansas State110.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons77369.02.52----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 36 #1060/4942 79th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 15 #1434/4584 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.20.00.00.0
Road5g2.20.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g3.70.00.00.0
Losses8g3.10.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g4.40.00.00.0
Weeks 8+6g2.30.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

37Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (87th). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Tackles#1060 / 2975 · 64th pct
36defe
Solo tackles#1434 / 2975 · 50th pct
15defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Tim HardimanTulsaBlake FletcherAir Force· 69% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 55% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 55% sim
QB hurries
88
Hardiman
92
Fletcher
22
Martin
82
Davey
Tackles
64
Hardiman
99
Fletcher
98
Martin
99
Davey
Solo tackles
50
Hardiman
91
Fletcher
87
Martin
99
Davey
Sacks
24
Hardiman
24
Fletcher
24
Martin
63
Davey
Passes defended
18
Hardiman
67
Fletcher
67
Martin
18
Davey
Tackles for loss
7
Hardiman
28
Fletcher
63
Martin
91
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Blake Thompson’s 2022 season.

Blake Thompson

80%match

UTEP · 2022

#2

Mackavelli Malotumau

Nevada · 2024

76%
#3

Fatafehi Vailea

North Texas · 2025

75%
#4

Jordan Branch

Middle Tennessee · 2020

74%
#5

Curt Neal

Illinois · 2025

73%

Matches Blake on

Sack rate
Weight
TFL rate

Differs from Blake on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Kevon Darton's graduate season at Arizona (2024).

Kevon Darton

81%match

Arizona · 2024

#2

Henry Bryant

Georgia State · 2025

All-Sun Belt
80%
#3

Donovan Green

Eastern Michigan · 2025

73%
#4

Jalen Satchell

Michigan State · 2025

72%
#5

Terry Lockett

James Madison · 2025

64%

Matches Kevon on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tre Lamb

Pass share

45.9%

407 pass / 480 run

Plays / game

73.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

357 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2022
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2023
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
era →
2025
Tre Lamb
Tulsa
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Philip Montgomery, Kevin Wilson, and Tre Lamb. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSpring, TX
Height5'11"
Weight290 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arkansas State DL4 #14952 #15011 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Arkansas State DL4 #10713 #11157 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Arkansas State DL4 #13552 #13889 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Arkansas State DL4 #14310 #14404 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulsa American Athletic DL 4 No. 10 | 5-11 | 290 lb | Spring, TX
2024 Arkansas State Sun Belt DL 4 No. 10 | 5-11 | 290 lb | Spring, TX
2023 Arkansas State Sun Belt DL 4 No. 10 | 5-11 | 290 lb | Spring, TX
2022 Arkansas State Sun Belt DL 4 No. 10 | 5-11 | 290 lb | Spring, TX
2021 Arkansas State Sun Belt DL 4 No. 10 | 5-11 | 290 lb | Spring, TX