cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Theo Melin Ohrstrom /Texas A&M

Theo Melin Ohrstrom

TE · Texas A&M · Jr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

168 REC YDS · 19 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Texas A&M → SMU for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to SMU

2025Texas A&M
2026SMU

TE · TEXAS A&M · SEC

Theo Melin Ohrstrom

  • 3
  • #17
  • 6-6 | 257 lb
  • Stockholm

CFB Zeitgeist Score

26

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 26th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2572

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#216 national
CFB
College
Texas A&M
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey17
Measurements6-6 | 257 lb
HometownStockholm
Primary teamTexas A&M

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 216 recruit
Composite rating 0.9162 HighSchool
Signed with Texas A&M 2022
Origin RIG Academy Sweden, SWED, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9162 No. 216 recruit | HighSchool | Texas A&M

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination SMU 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 12, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Texas A&M -> SMU 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2572Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2337Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas A&M

Composite

0.9162

#216 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Theo Melin Ohrstrom

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Theo Melin Ohrstrom

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
168Rec yards
19Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
18.7Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
242.7Rec yards
27Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 168): needs 133/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 168): needs 208/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 19): needs 10.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 19): needs 15.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Theo Melin Ohrstrom's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas A&M, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2572 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 216 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 19 1 rec TD | #114/475 (76th pct)
Receiving yards 168 8.8 per catch | #130/475 (73rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 168 Total offensive yardage | #130/475 (73rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
19 76th
YDS
168 73rd
YPR
8.8 39th
TD
1 71st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs UTSA3237.7115
Wk 2W 44-22vs Utah State2168.0013
Wk 3W 41-40@ Notre Dame294.507
Wk 7W 34-17vs Florida3248.0014
Wk 8W 45-42@ Arkansas111.001
Wk 9W 49-25@ LSU23216.0021
Wk 11W 38-17@ Missouri2199.5012
Wk 14L 17-27@ Texas34314.3028Season-high 43 yds
BowlL 3-10vs Miami111.001
Total191687.8128
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Texas A&M11-2HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Texas A&M191688.81--
Career1 loaded season191688.81--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.1% 8.3% pass-game share | #131/468 (72nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #140/475 (71st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 19 #114/475 76th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 168 #130/475 73rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #140/475 71st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 8.8 #291/475 39th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 8.3% #131/468 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 28 #149/475 69th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 8.3% #9/468 98th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 7.7% #14/468 97th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 5.1% #79/468 83rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.0% #400/468 15th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #339/468 28th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #382/468 19th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g2.216.06.20.2
Road5g2.020.89.10.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g2.117.77.80.1
Losses2g2.022.07.70.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.214.65.80.2
Weeks 8+4g2.023.810.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

26Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: yards / catch (19th).

Receptions#114 / 175 · 33rd pct
19rece
Long catch#116 / 175 · 32nd pct
28rece
Rec yards#129 / 175 · 26th pct
168rece
Rec TDs#126 / 175 · 21st pct
1rece
Yards / catch#140 / 175 · 19th pct
8.8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Theo Melin OhrstromTexas A&MBryce CaufieldOregon State· 82% simHayden HansenFlorida· 77% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 74% sim
Receptions
33
Ohrstrom
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
75
Fortenberry
Long catch
32
Ohrstrom
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
32
Fortenberry
Rec yards
26
Ohrstrom
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
58
Fortenberry
Rec TDs
21
Ohrstrom
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Fortenberry
Yards / catch
19
Ohrstrom
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
26
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Grayson Gunter’s 2020 season.

Grayson Gunter

62%match

Southern Miss · 2020

#2

Benjamin Blackburn

Stanford · 2025

66%
#3

Thomas Odukoya

Eastern Michigan · 2021

All-MAC
61%
#4

Maliq Carr

Houston · 2024

61%
#5

Moliki Matavao

Oregon · 2022

NFL Rd 7
59%

Matches Grayson on

Height
TD rate

Differs from Grayson on

Yards / reception (lower)
Weight (higher)
Reception volume (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Pat Freiermuth’s path through Penn State.

Pat Freiermuth

79%match

Penn State · 2020

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 23
#2

Austin Stogner

Oklahoma · 2023

72%
#3

McCallan Castles

Tennessee · 2023

64%
#4

Brody Foley

Tulsa · 2025

All-AAC
64%
#5

Tommy Tremble

Notre Dame · 2020

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 20
60%

Matches Pat on

Recruiting rating
Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Samuel Wheeler's sophomore season at Kansas State (2021).

Samuel Wheeler

70%match

Kansas State · 2021

#2

Michael Johnson Jr.

Penn State · 2021

74%
#3

Marlin Klein

Michigan · 2024

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 27
73%
#4

Benjamin Blackburn

Stanford · 2025

73%
#5

Brett Norfleet

Missouri · 2024

70%

Matches Samuel on

TD rate
Yards / reception
Height

Differs from Samuel on

Class year (lower)
Weight (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Elko

Pass share

45.8%

407 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

68.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

286 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Mike Elko
Texas A&M

Played his entire career under Mike Elko.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownStockholm
Height6'6"
Weight257 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas A&M TE3 #2572 #2337 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Texas A&M TE3 #3079 #2785 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Texas A&M TE3 #3679 #3629 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas A&M SEC TE 3 No. 17 | 6-6 | 257 lb | Stockholm
2024 Texas A&M SEC TE 3 No. 17 | 6-6 | 257 lb | Stockholm
2023 Texas A&M SEC TE 3 No. 17 | 6-6 | 257 lb | Stockholm
2022 Texas A&M SEC TE 3 No. 17 | 6-6 | 257 lb | Stockholm