cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Terry Webb /SMU

Terry Webb

DT · SMU · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

46 TACKLES · 5.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to SMU for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to SMU for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · SMU

Returning around him

  • 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 SMU player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (14 in / 25 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

SMU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #25 · 2026 recruiting class #31

DT · SMU · ACC

Terry Webb

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-3 | 313 lb
  • Galveston, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

84

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12075

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#79 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-3 | 313 lb
HometownGalveston, TX
Primary teamSMU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 79 recruit
Composite rating 0.8550 JUCO
Signed with Texas State 2023
Origin Kilgore College Galveston, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8550 No. 79 recruit | JUCO | Texas State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12075Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12102Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Texas State

Composite

0.8550

#79 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Terry Webb

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Terry Webb

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
46Tackles
7Tackles for loss
5.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Final
46Tackles
7Tackles for loss
5.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Terry Webb is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on SMU's defense, with 5.5 sacks, 7.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12075 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 46 22 solo | #706/4942 (86th pct)
TFL 7.0 Backfield disruption | #277/4972 (94th pct)
Sacks 5.5 Pass-rush finish | #90/4972 (98th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
46 86th
SOLO
22 80th
TFL
7.0 94th
SACK
5.5 98th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-13vs East Texas A&M311.01.00
Wk 2L 45-48vs Baylor530.00.00
Wk 3W 28-10@ Missouri State320.00.00
Wk 4L 24-35@ TCU520.00.00
Wk 6W 31-18vs Syracuse321.01.00
Wk 7W 34-10vs Stanford111.01.01
Wk 8W 35-24@ Clemson310.50.51
Wk 9L 12-13@ Wake Forest832.52.01Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 10W 26-20vs Miami420.50.01
Wk 11W 45-13@ Boston College320.00.00
Wk 13W 38-6vs Louisville110.00.00
Wk 14L 35-38@ California510.50.00
BowlW 24-19vs Arizona210.00.00
Total46227.05.54
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning
2025SMU9-4HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025SMU46227.05.54----
2023Texas State1933.52.01----
Career2 loaded seasons652510.57.55----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 46 #706/4942 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 7.0 #277/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 5.5 #90/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 22 #902/4584 80th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.70.50.40.3
Road6g4.50.60.40.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.60.40.40.3
Losses4g5.80.80.50.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.10.40.40.1
Weeks 8+6g4.00.70.40.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

84All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (96th). Strength: tackles for loss (89th).

Sacks#90 / 2975 · 97th pct
5.5defe
Tackles for loss#277 / 2975 · 90th pct
7.0defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles#706 / 2975 · 76th pct
46defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Solo tackles#902 / 2975 · 69th pct
22defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Terry WebbSMURasheem BilesPittsburgh· 85% simCade UluaveCalifornia· 84% simColton PharesApp State· 84% sim
Sacks
97
Webb
95
Biles
89
Uluave
80
Phares
Tackles for loss
90
Webb
100
Biles
98
Uluave
96
Phares
Passes defended
86
Webb
86
Biles
86
Uluave
78
Phares
Tackles
76
Webb
98
Biles
98
Uluave
98
Phares
QB hurries
72
Webb
88
Biles
88
Uluave
72
Phares
Solo tackles
69
Webb
91
Biles
94
Uluave
95
Phares

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaelen Crider’s 2025 season.

Jaelen Crider

90%match

Louisiana · 2025

#2

Junior Tafuna

Utah · 2021

88%
#3

J.J. Pegues

Ole Miss · 2022

87%
#4

Henry Chibueze

Liberty · 2021

86%
#5

Terry Webb

Texas State · 2023

85%

Matches Jaelen on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to J.J. Pegues's junior season at Ole Miss (2022).

J.J. Pegues

90%match

Ole Miss · 2022

#2

Chazz Wallace

Colorado · 2023

86%
#3

Quentin Bivens

Southern Miss · 2022

85%
#4

Sulaiman Kpaka

Purdue · 2023

84%
#5

Keivie Rose

Louisiana Tech · 2022

All-Conference USA
84%

Matches J.J. on

Class year
Sack rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Rhett Lashlee

Pass share

53.7%

460 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

65.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.4%

333 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2025
Rhett Lashlee
SMU

Played his entire career under Rhett Lashlee.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGalveston, TX
Height6'3"
Weight313 lb
Class4
PositionDT
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas State DT4 #12075 #12102 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Texas State DT4 #10544 #10816 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 SMU ACC DT 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 313 lb | Galveston, TX
2024 Texas State Sun Belt DT 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 313 lb | Galveston, TX
2023 Texas State Sun Belt DT 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 313 lb | Galveston, TX