cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Terrance Green /Oregon

Terrance Green

DL · Oregon · So · #99

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

15 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Oregon → Alabama for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Alabama

2025Oregon
2026Alabama

DL · OREGON · BIG TEN

Terrance Green

  • 2
  • #99
  • 6-5 | 330 lb
  • Cypress, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

22

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 28th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3091

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#253 national
CFB
College
Oregon
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey99
Measurements6-5 | 330 lb
HometownCypress, TX
Primary teamOregon

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 253 recruit
Composite rating 0.9133 HighSchool
Signed with Oregon 2023
Origin Cy Woods Cypress, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9133 No. 253 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Alabama 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 13, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Oregon -> Alabama 4-star | 0.9300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3091Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2955Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Oregon

Composite

0.9133

#253 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Terrance Green

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Terrance Green

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
15Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
20Tackles
1.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 15): needs 21.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 15): needs 28.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Terrance Green is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Oregon's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #3091 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 253 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 15 8 solo | #2386/4942 (52nd pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
15 52nd
SOLO
8 50th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 59-13vs Montana State210.50.00
Wk 2W 69-3vs Oklahoma State320.00.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 3W 34-14@ Northwestern100.00.00
Wk 4W 41-7vs Oregon State220.00.00
Wk 5W 30-24@ Penn State110.00.00
Wk 8W 56-10@ Rutgers100.50.00
Wk 11W 18-16@ Iowa220.00.00
Wk 13W 42-27vs USC100.00.00
BowlW 51-34vs James Madison100.00.00
BowlW 23-0@ Texas Tech100.00.00
Total1581.00.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Oregon12-2HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2024Oregon13-1HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2025Oregon13-2HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon1581.00.0------
2024Oregon432.01.01----
2023Oregon310.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons22123.01.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 15 #2386/4942 52nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 8 #2283/4584 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g1.80.10.00.0
Road5g1.20.10.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g1.50.10.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g1.60.10.00.0
Weeks 8+3g1.30.20.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

22Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2282 / 2975 · 21st pct
8defe
Tackles#2386 / 2975 · 18th pct
15defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Terrance GreenOregonTyler MartinMassachusetts· 51% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 46% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 44% sim
Tackles for loss
28
Green
63
Martin
85
Vaughns
56
Ra-El
Sacks
24
Green
24
Martin
63
Vaughns
24
Ra-El
QB hurries
22
Green
22
Martin
22
Vaughns
22
Ra-El
Solo tackles
21
Green
87
Martin
96
Vaughns
100
Ra-El
Tackles
18
Green
98
Martin
99
Vaughns
99
Ra-El
Passes defended
18
Green
67
Martin
48
Vaughns
91
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Markis Deal’s 2025 season.

Markis Deal

83%match

TCU · 2025

#2

D.J. Davidson

Arizona State · 2021

NFL Rd 5
80%
#3

Cameron Ball

Arkansas · 2022

80%
#4

Tyas Martin

Colorado · 2022

80%
#5

Jaheim Oatis

Alabama · 2023

All-SEC
79%

Matches Markis on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Differs from Markis on

Sack rate (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Markis Deal's junior season at TCU (2025).

Markis Deal

82%match

TCU · 2025

#2

Jordan Phillips

Maryland · 2024

NFL Rd 5
75%
#3

A.J. Fuimaono

UCLA · 2025

73%
#4

Gervon Dexter

Florida · 2022

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 22
73%
#5

Jamari Lyons

Florida · 2025

72%

Matches Markis on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Differs from Markis on

Sack rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Lanning

Pass share

44.9%

436 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

64.7

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.8%

250 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2024
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2025
Dan Lanning
Oregon

Played his entire career under Dan Lanning.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCypress, TX
Height6'5"
Weight330 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey99

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oregon DL2 #3091 #2955 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Oregon DL2 #6580 #6329 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon Big Ten DL 2 No. 99 | 6-5 | 330 lb | Cypress, TX
2024 Oregon Big Ten DL 2 No. 99 | 6-5 | 330 lb | Cypress, TX
2023 Oregon Pac-12 DL 2 No. 99 | 6-5 | 330 lb | Cypress, TX