CFB Zeitgeist Score
86
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 96th percentile.
Ted Hurst
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,004 REC YDS · 71 REC · 6 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Tampa Bay2026 NFL rookie season
#84Rd 3 · Pick 20
Tampa Bay2026 NFL rookie season
WR · GEORGIA STATE · SUN BELT
Ted Hurst
- 4
- #1
- 6-3 | 185 lb
- Savannah, GA
Heisman Heat
#4786
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Georgia State
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 · #84
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia State -> -- | 4-star | 0.9200 | Withdrawn |
| 2024 | Valdosta State -> Georgia State | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 1004 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (1004).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 3, Pick 20
#84 overall · Tampa Bay
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ted Hurst
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
55
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=10
- National · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ted Hurst
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
14.1
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #153 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 71st
Why it matters
#153 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.1 yards per reception (71 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 14.1 (71th)
HIGH · n=71 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#22 / 531
- Receiving TDs#55 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 11 at Coastal Carolina — 165 ypr
Result L 27-40
The week the volume broke through — put up 165 yds at Coastal Carolina.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
1,004Rec yards
71Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
91.3Rec yards
6Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
1,187Rec yards
84Receptions
7Rec TDs
✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 1,004.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard receiver · finished with 1,004.
✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 71.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 71): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 1/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 2/game over remaining 2.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Ted Hurst already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
71 98th
YDS
1,004 98th
YPR
14.1 69th
TD
6 95th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-63@ Ole Miss | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 2 | L 16-38vs Memphis | 7 | 97 | 13.9 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 3 | W 37-21vs Murray State | 10 | 172 | 17.2 | 2 | 52 | Season-high 172 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 21-70@ Vanderbilt | 7 | 71 | 10.1 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 6 | L 7-14vs James Madison | 3 | 60 | 20.0 | 0 | 52 | |
| Wk 7 | L 20-41vs App State | 9 | 105 | 11.7 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 8 | L 24-41@ Georgia Southern | 5 | 68 | 13.6 | 1 | 31 | |
| Wk 9 | L 31-38vs South Alabama | 5 | 110 | 22.0 | 2 | 70 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 11 | L 27-40@ Coastal Carolina | 10 | 165 | 16.5 | 1 | 57 | 165-yard receiving day |
| Wk 12 | L 18-30vs Marshall | 7 | 74 | 10.6 | 0 | 41 | |
| Wk 14 | L 10-27@ Old Dominion | 7 | 76 | 10.9 | 0 | 29 | |
| Total | 71 | 1004 | 13.9 | 6 | 70 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Georgia State1-11HC: Dell McGee · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia State | 71 | 1,004 | 14.1 | 6 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 71 | 1,004 | 14.1 | 6 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 71 | #19/1110 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 1,004 | #23/1107 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 6 | #56/1111 | 95th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.1 | #340/1106 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 27.0% | #19/1137 | 98th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 70 | #96/1105 | 91st pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 22.4% | #4/1137 | 100th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 19.2% | #13/1137 | 99th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 15.6% | #8/1137 | 99th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.8% | #20/1137 | 98th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 13.8% | #12/1137 | 99th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.8% | #39/1137 | 97th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 6.8 | 103 | 15.9 | 0.7 |
| Road5g | 6.0 | 77.2 | 11.4 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 10.0 | 172 | 17.2 | 2.0 |
| Losses10g | 6.1 | 83.2 | 13.5 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 6.2 | 85.2 | 13.2 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 6.8 | 98.6 | 14.7 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
86All-Conference
Elite: receptions (96th). Strength: rec yards (95th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ted HurstGeorgia StateChase HendricksOhio· 96% simCortez BrahamMemphis· 95% simParker KingstonBYU· 95% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Long catch
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Anthony Smith’s 2025 season.
Anthony Smith
82%match
#2
Milton Wright
78%
#3
Daewood Davis
75%
#4
Josiah Freeman
75%
#5
Joshua Cephus
74%
Matches Anthony on
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Yards / reception
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Brennan Eagles’s path through Texas.
Brennan Eagles
98%match
#2
Reginald Virgil
97%
#3
Darrell Gill Jr.
94%
#4
Joshua Derry
94%
#5
Justin Lockhart
All-Mountain West
92%
Matches Brennan on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Joshua Cephus's sophomore season at UTSA (2021).
Joshua Cephus
77%match
All-AAC
#2
Emeka Emezie
77%
#3
Tory Horton
All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
75%
#4
Braden Pegan
All-Mountain West
74%
#5
Keshunn Abram
73%
Matches Joshua on
Reception volume
Class year
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Joshua on
Yards / reception (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dell McGee
Pass share
56.5%
472 pass / 363 run
Plays / game
69.6
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.6%
373 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Dell McGee
Georgia State
Played his entire career under Dell McGee.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSavannah, GA
Height6'3"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamGeorgia State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Georgia State | Sun Belt | WR |
| 2024 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Georgia State | Sun Belt | WR |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Georgia State | WR4 | #4786 | #5213 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 6-3 | 185 lb | Savannah, GA |
| 2024 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 6-3 | 185 lb | Savannah, GA |