CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Tanner Mordecai
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · WISCONSIN · BIG TEN
Tanner Mordecai
- 4
- #8
- 6-2 | 218 lb
- Waco, TX
Heisman Heat
#112
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 4 · EliteR12 · All-American
All-American. Named to an NCAA-recognized All-America team.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
★
2021
SMU · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2022
SMU · QB
—
2023
Wisconsin · QB
—
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2023-43%
Sharp dropoff (-43%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 4-star | 0.9092 | No. 249 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Oklahoma -> SMU | 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Oklahoma
Composite
0.9092
#249 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Tanner Mordecai
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Tanner Mordecai
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Tanner Mordecai's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Wisconsin, he has 2,065 passing yards and 9 touchdown passes, but he also adds 303 rushing yards and 4 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
204 84th
ATT
314 81st
CMP%
65.0% 66th
Y/A
6.6 42nd
Passing Production
YDS
2,065 78th
TD
9 71st
INT
4 36th
Rushing
CAR
90 85th
YDS
303 86th
YPC
3.4 58th
TD
4 82nd
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021SMU8-4HC: Jim Leavitt · Balanced
2022SMU7-6HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Wisconsin7-6HC: Luke Fickell · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,065 | #86/382 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 9 | #117/407 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 204 | #63/383 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 65.0% | #131/383 | 66th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.6 | #223/382 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 303 | #60/408 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.66 | #1/200 | 100th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 454 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 57.8% | #23/428 | 95th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 314 | #77/407 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 4 | #263/407 | 36th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 90 | #63/408 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 19 | #186/391 | 53rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #74/408 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.4 | #171/407 | 58th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 95.4% | #20/428 | 96th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 77.9% | #11/428 | 98th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 76.2% | #12/428 | 97th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 60.1% | #20/428 | 96th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 50.1% | #32/428 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 46.9% | #52/428 | 88th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 13.5% | #120/428 | 72nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.39 | #12/140 | 92nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 56 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 4 | #237/258 | 9th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2023
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Luke Fickell
Pass share
39.7%
272 pass / 413 run
Plays / game
57.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.8%
249 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
3 coaches2021
Paul Chryst
Wisconsin
2022era →
Jim Leonhard
Wisconsin
2023era →
Luke Fickell
Wisconsin
Played under 3 different head coaches: Paul Chryst, Jim Leonhard, and Luke Fickell. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownWaco, TX
Height6'2"
Weight218 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey8
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamWisconsin
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2023
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2021)
All-AAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | All-AAC | all_conference | SMU | AAC | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.