cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Talan Carter /Jacksonville State

Talan Carter

DL · Jacksonville State · So · #92

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

55 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Jacksonville State → Vanderbilt for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Vanderbilt

2025Jacksonville State
2026Vanderbilt

DL · JACKSONVILLE STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Talan Carter

  • 2
  • #92
  • 6-1 | 300 lb
  • Ocean Springs, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

79

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13250

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Jacksonville State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey92
Measurements6-1 | 300 lb
HometownOcean Springs, MS
Primary teamJacksonville State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Vanderbilt 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 5, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Jacksonville State -> Vanderbilt 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13250Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13277Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Talan Carter

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Talan Carter

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
55Tackles
7Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
55Tackles
7Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Talan Carter is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Jacksonville State's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 7.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13250 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.5 sacks | 7.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 55 28 solo | #484/4942 (90th pct)
TFL 7.0 Backfield disruption | #277/4972 (94th pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
55 90th
SOLO
28 87th
TFL
7.0 94th
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 10-17@ UCF000.00.01
Wk 2W 34-24vs Liberty310.50.50
Wk 3L 34-41@ Georgia Southern210.00.00
Wk 4W 45-10vs Murray State310.00.00
Wk 5L 25-42@ Southern Miss710.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 7W 29-27@ Sam Houston111.00.00
Wk 8W 38-25vs Delaware311.00.00
Wk 11W 30-27@ UTEP620.00.00
Wk 12W 35-26vs Kennesaw State750.00.00
Wk 13L 21-27@ Florida International750.50.00
Wk 14W 37-34vs Western Kentucky771.00.00
Wk 15L 15-19vs Kennesaw State733.01.003.0 TFL
BowlW 17-13vs Troy200.00.01
Total55287.01.52
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Jacksonville State9-5HC: Charles Kelly · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Jacksonville State55287.01.52----
Career1 loaded season55287.01.52----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 55 #484/4942 90th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 7.0 #277/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 28 #608/4584 87th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g4.60.80.20.1
Road6g3.80.20.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g4.00.40.10.1
Losses5g4.60.70.20.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.60.20.10.3
Weeks 8+6g6.20.90.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

79All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (89th). Strength: tackles (83rd).

Tackles for loss#277 / 2975 · 90th pct
7.0defe
Tackles#484 / 2975 · 83rd pct
55defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Solo tackles#608 / 2975 · 79th pct
28defe
Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Talan CarterJacksonville StateTreylin PayneTexas State· 91% simRay ConeyTulsa· 91% simJaylen WesterWestern Kentucky· 90% sim
Tackles for loss
90
Carter
87
Payne
90
Coney
90
Wester
Tackles
83
Carter
98
Payne
100
Coney
99
Wester
QB hurries
82
Carter
82
Payne
88
Coney
82
Wester
Solo tackles
79
Carter
95
Payne
93
Coney
98
Wester
Sacks
74
Carter
80
Payne
80
Coney
74
Wester
Passes defended
67
Carter
67
Payne
67
Coney
67
Wester

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Justin Benton’s 2025 season.

Justin Benton

86%match

East Carolina · 2025

#2

Ahmad Poole

Missouri State · 2025

82%
#3

Dominic Wiseman

South Alabama · 2025

81%
#4

Curt Neal

Wisconsin · 2023

81%
#5

Markus Clark

App State · 2023

81%

Matches Justin on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Benton's sophomore season at East Carolina (2025).

Justin Benton

85%match

East Carolina · 2025

#2

Markus Clark

App State · 2023

80%
#3

Kam Curry

Troy · 2025

80%
#4

Mychal Mcmullin

James Madison · 2025

80%
#5

Demeco Kennedy

Purdue · 2025

79%

Matches Justin on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Kelly

Pass share

33.8%

328 pass / 642 run

Plays / game

69.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

243 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Charles Kelly
Jacksonville State

Played his entire career under Charles Kelly.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOcean Springs, MS
Height6'1"
Weight300 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey92

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Jacksonville State DL2 #13250 #13277 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Jacksonville State Conference USA DL 2 No. 92 | 6-1 | 300 lb | Ocean Springs, MS
2024 Jacksonville State Conference USA DL 2 No. 92 | 6-1 | 300 lb | Ocean Springs, MS