cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tahj Ra-El /Purdue

Tahj Ra-El

DB · Purdue · Sr · #21

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

110 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Purdue for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Purdue for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Purdue

Returning around him

  • 54% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (29 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Purdue · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #54 · 2026 recruiting class #99

DB · PURDUE · BIG TEN

Tahj Ra-El

  • 4
  • #21
  • 6-2 | 208 lb
  • Charlotte, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

58

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10440

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#2485 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey21
Measurements6-2 | 208 lb
HometownCharlotte, NC
Primary teamPurdue

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 2485 recruit
Composite rating 0.7967 HighSchool
Signed with Old Dominion 2021
Origin Myers Park Charlotte, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 2-star | 0.7967 No. 2485 recruit | HighSchool | Old Dominion

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10440Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10531Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to Old Dominion

Composite

0.7967

#2485 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tahj Ra-El

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tahj Ra-El

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
110Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
9Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
119Tackles
2.7Tackles for loss
0Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 110.

✓ Hit 100-tackle season · finished with 110.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tahj Ra-El is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Purdue's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10440 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 110 63 solo | #26/4942 (99th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
110 99th
SOLO
63 100th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 31-0vs Ball State771.00.00
Wk 2W 34-17vs Southern Illinois770.00.00
Wk 3L 17-33vs USC320.00.00
Wk 4L 30-56@ Notre Dame980.00.00
Wk 6L 27-43vs Illinois910.50.00
Wk 7L 20-27@ Minnesota740.50.01
Wk 8L 0-19@ Northwestern1120.50.03
Wk 9L 24-27vs Rutgers1530.00.00Season-high 15 tackles
Wk 10L 16-21@ Michigan13110.00.00
Wk 11L 10-34vs Ohio State1050.00.01
Wk 12L 13-49@ Washington760.00.00
Wk 14L 3-56vs Indiana1270.00.00
Total110632.50.05
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Old Dominion6-6HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Old Dominion3-9HC: Ricky Rahne · Pass-leaning, slow tempo
2023Old Dominion6-7HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-leaning
2024Memphis11-2HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Purdue2-10HC: Barry Odom · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Purdue110632.50.05----
2024Memphis1860.00.0--1--
2023Old Dominion84415.50.061--
2022Old Dominion40200.00.0------
2021Old Dominion820.00.01----
Career5 loaded seasons2601328.00.0122--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 110 #26/4942 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 63 #12/4584 100th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g9.00.20.00.1
Road5g9.40.20.00.8

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g7.00.50.00.0
Losses10g9.60.10.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g7.00.30.00.2
Weeks 8+6g11.30.10.00.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

58Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (99th). Strength: tackles (99th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#12 / 2975 · 100th pct
63defe
Tackles#26 / 2975 · 99th pct
110defe
Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tahj Ra-ElPurdueTyler MartinMassachusetts· 89% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 85% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 84% sim
Solo tackles
100
Ra-El
87
Martin
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
Tackles
99
Ra-El
98
Martin
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
Passes defended
91
Ra-El
67
Martin
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
Tackles for loss
56
Ra-El
63
Martin
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette
Forced fumbles
47
Ra-El
47
Martin
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Ra-El
24
Martin
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
Ra-El
22
Martin
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Devin Lafayette’s 2025 season.

Devin Lafayette

93%match

Troy · 2025

All-Sun Belt
#2

Tra Fluellen

Middle Tennessee · 2022

79%
#3

Jonas Sanker

Virginia · 2024

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 29
79%
#4

Ty Benefield

Boise State · 2025

All-Mountain West
78%
#5

Beau Freyler

Iowa State · 2023

77%

Matches Devin on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Eli Blakey's graduate season at Miami (OH) (2025).

Eli Blakey

80%match

Miami (OH) · 2025

All-MAC
#2

John Miller

Utah State · 2025

76%
#3

Jordan Stringer

Troy · 2025

76%
#4

Maxen Hook

Toledo · 2024

All-MAC
75%
#5

Jacob Rodriguez

Texas Tech · 2025

NagurskiBednarikButkusNFL Rd 2 · Pk 11
74%

Matches Eli on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Barry Odom

Pass share

52.0%

404 pass / 373 run

Plays / game

64.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

348 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Jeff Brohm
Purdue
2022
Jeff Brohm
Purdue
2023
Ryan Walters
Purdue
era →
2024
Ryan Walters
Purdue
2025
Barry Odom
Purdue
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Jeff Brohm, Ryan Walters, and Barry Odom. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCharlotte, NC
Height6'2"
Weight208 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey21

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Memphis DB4 #10440 #10531 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Old Dominion DB4 #10983 #11213 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Old Dominion DB4 #14137 #14212 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Old Dominion DB4 #12287 #12296 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Purdue Big Ten DB 4 No. 21 | 6-2 | 208 lb | Charlotte, NC
2024 Memphis American Athletic DB 4 No. 21 | 6-2 | 208 lb | Charlotte, NC
2023 Old Dominion Sun Belt DB 4 No. 21 | 6-2 | 208 lb | Charlotte, NC
2022 Old Dominion Sun Belt DB 4 No. 21 | 6-2 | 208 lb | Charlotte, NC
2021 Old Dominion Conference USA DB 4 No. 21 | 6-2 | 208 lb | Charlotte, NC