cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Stone Earle /Marshall

Stone Earle

QB · Marshall · Sr · #4

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Abilene Christian)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Abilene Christian
DestinationTBD

QB · MARSHALL · SUN BELT

Stone Earle

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-0 | 215 lb
  • Fort Worth, TX

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#498

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2024
45.02022
2742023
6732024

+1396%

Up 1396% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-0 | 215 lb
HometownFort Worth, TX
Primary teamMarshall

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 27, 2025
Season Move Context
2026 Abilene Christian -> -- Immediate
2025 Marshall -> Abilene Christian Immediate
2024 North Texas -> Abilene Christian Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#498Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#645Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Stone Earle

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Stone Earle

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
416Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
208Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
2,704Pass yards
13Pass TDs
6INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 416): needs 234.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 416): needs 325.8/game over remaining 11.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.1/game over remaining 11.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.5/game over remaining 11.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 3/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Stone Earle's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Marshall, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #498 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 36.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 3 portal moves

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 673 7 TD | 2 INT | #163/382 (58th pct)
Completion rate 54.2% 65/120 completions | #288/383 (25th pct)
Yards/attempt 5.6 Explosiveness through the air | #289/382 (25th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Dual-threat

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
65 58th
ATT
120 63rd
CMP%
54.2% 25th
Y/A
5.6 25th

Passing Production

YDS
673 58th
TD
7 67th
INT
2 52nd

Rushing

CAR
57 74th
YDS
207 80th
YPC
3.6 61st
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 7-35@ Tulsa13/19140017.4--
Wk 3L 21-42@ TCU22/29276209.5--Season-high 276 yds
Total35/48416218.4
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022North Texas7-7HC: Seth Littrell · Run-leaning
2023North Texas5-7HC: Eric Morris · Balanced, fast tempo
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024Marshall6512054.2%6735.672117.2----
2023North Texas224055.0%2746.844125.5----
2022North Texas5862.5%455.610151.0----
Career3 loaded seasons9216854.8%9925.9126120.8----
SeasonTeam
2024Marshall572073.60--
2023North Texas16704.40--
2022North Texas181106.11--
Career3 loaded seasons913874.31--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 207 0 rush TD | #84/408 (80th pct)
Usage 36.5% 59.5% pass share | 18.7% rush share | #157/428 (64th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.29 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #87/200 (57th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 673 #163/382 58th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 7 #135/407 67th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 65 #161/383 58th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 54.2% #288/383 25th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 5.6 #289/382 25th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 207 #84/408 80th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.29 #87/200 57th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 105 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 36.5% #157/428 64th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 120 #153/407 63rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 2 #195/407 52nd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 57 #108/408 74th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 16 #207/391 47th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.6 #161/407 61st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 59.5% #170/428 61st pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 52.1% #137/428 68th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 40.0% #184/428 57th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 35.0% #139/428 68th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 34.5% #165/428 62nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 30.6% #163/428 62nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 18.7% #75/428 83rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.18 #103/140 27th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 42 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Road2g2081.08.40.5

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Losses2g2081.08.40.5

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g2081.08.40.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Gibson

Pass share

40.4%

335 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

69.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

244 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2024

1 coach
2022
Charles Huff
Marshall
2023
Charles Huff
Marshall
2024
Charles Huff
Marshall

Played his entire career under Charles Huff.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Worth, TX
Height6'0"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Marshall QB4 #498 #645 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 North Texas QB4 #1204 #1381 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 North Texas QB4 #967 #982 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Marshall Sun Belt QB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2023 North Texas American Athletic QB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2022 North Texas Conference USA QB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Fort Worth, TX