CFB Zeitgeist Score
14
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 50th percentile.
Sterling Lockett
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
39 REC YDS · 3 REC · 0 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Kansas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Kansas State
Returning around him
- 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Kansas State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (26 in / 33 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Kansas State · Last season: 6-6 (AP #17) · Talent rank #47 · 2026 recruiting class #35
WR · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12
Sterling Lockett
- 3
- #6
- 5-10 | 169 lb
- Leawood, KS
Heisman Heat
#2377
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Kansas State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8370 | No. 1561 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Kansas State
Composite
0.8370
#1561 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Sterling Lockett
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
38
Skeptical
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Sterling Lockett
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 10g
39Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
3.9Rec yards
0Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
50.7Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 39): needs 220.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 39): needs 320.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 3): needs 19/game over remaining 3.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 3): needs 25.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Sterling Lockett's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
3 27th
YDS
39 26th
YPR
13.0 59th
TD
0 45th
Returns
KR YDS
44 44th
KR AVG
22.0 70th
PR YDS
56 56th
PR AVG
4.3 23rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-35vs North Dakota | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 2 | L 21-24vs Army | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 3 | L 17-23@ Arizona | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 5 | W 34-20vs UCF | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 6 | L 34-35@ Baylor | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-28vs TCU | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-17@ Kansas | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 12 | W 14-6@ Oklahoma State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 13 | L 47-51@ Utah | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 14 | W 24-14vs Colorado | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 0 | 19 | Season-high 26 yds |
| Total | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 0 | 19 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Kansas State6-6HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | -- | -- | 44 | 56 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | -- | -- | 44 | 56 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #811/1110 | 27th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 39 | #820/1107 | 26th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #615/1111 | 45th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 13.0 | #450/1106 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 44 | #134/238 | 44th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 56 | #100/224 | 56th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.2% | #591/1137 | 48th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 19 | #783/1105 | 29th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 22.0 | #71/236 | 70th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 13 | #47/237 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 4.3 | #171/222 | 23rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 2 | #132/243 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.5% | #198/1137 | 83rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.9% | #397/1137 | 65th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 3.2% | #727/1137 | 36th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 1.6% | #946/1137 | 17th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 1.3% | #978/1137 | 14th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 0.8% | #1063/1137 | 7th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 0.6 | 7.8 | 13.0 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | — | — | — | — |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 0.5 | 6.5 | 13.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | — | — | — | — |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 0.2 | 2.2 | 13.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 0.5 | 6.5 | 13.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
14Below cohort
Concern: receptions (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Sterling LockettKansas StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 48% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 42% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 40% sim
Yards / catch
Fumbles lost
Rec TDs
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Chris Klieman
Pass share
46.4%
342 pass / 395 run
Plays / game
61.4
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
288 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Chris Klieman
Kansas State
Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLeawood, KS
Height5'10"
Weight169 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey6
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamKansas State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kansas State | WR3 | #2377 | #2107 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Kansas State | WR3 | #2918 | #2579 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Kansas State | WR3 | #2495 | #2016 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 169 lb | Leawood, KS |
| 2024 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 169 lb | Leawood, KS |
| 2023 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 169 lb | Leawood, KS |
| 2022 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 169 lb | Leawood, KS |