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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Sterling Berkhalter /Wake Forest

Sterling Berkhalter

WR · Wake Forest · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

416 REC YDS · 30 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Wake Forest → Texas for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Texas

2025Wake Forest
2026Texas

WR · WAKE FOREST · ACC

Sterling Berkhalter

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-3 | 203 lb
  • Cincinnati, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

51

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 50th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#851

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
1912024
4162025

+118%

Up 118% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-3 | 203 lb
HometownCincinnati, OH
Primary teamWake Forest

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Texas 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 15, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Wake Forest -> Texas 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate
2025 Cincinnati -> Wake Forest 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2023 North Carolina A&T -> Cincinnati 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#851Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#925Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Sterling Berkhalter

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

67

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +33 · "Do the Texas Longhorns boast the top wide receiver room in the country heading i"Own fansNational: 5 mentions · belief +0 · "\[Player 247 profile page\](https://247sports.com/player/sterling-berkhalter-460"National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • National · n=5

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Sterling Berkhalter

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.9

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #168 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 68th

Why it matters

#168 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.9 yards per reception (30 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.9 (68th)

HIGH · n=30 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#287 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs Western Carolina — 72 ypr

Result W 42-10

The week the volume broke through — put up 72 yds vs Western Carolina.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
416Rec yards
30Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
34.7Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
450.7Rec yards
32Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 416): needs 284/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 416): needs 584/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 30): needs 30/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 30): needs 50/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Sterling Berkhalter's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Wake Forest, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #851 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 3 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 30 2 rec TD | #282/1110 (75th pct)
Receiving yards 416 13.9 per catch | #278/1107 (75th pct)
Scrimmage yards 416 Total offensive yardage | #278/1107 (75th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
30 75th
YDS
416 75th
YPR
13.9 67th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 10-9vs Kennesaw State33411.3018
Wk 2W 42-10vs Western Carolina27236.0151Season-high 72 yds
Wk 3L 24-34vs NC State34314.3026
Wk 5L 29-30vs Georgia Tech25025.0039
Wk 7W 39-14@ Oregon State3268.7011
Wk 9W 13-12vs SMU55811.6022
Wk 10L 7-42@ Florida State11313.0013
Wk 11W 16-9@ Virginia199.009
Wk 12W 28-12vs North Carolina2199.5013
Wk 13W 52-14vs Delaware24221.0123
Wk 14L 32-49@ Duke11616.0016
BowlW 43-29@ Mississippi State5346.8015
Total3041615.2251
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Cincinnati5-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced
2025Wake Forest9-4HC: Jake Dickert · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Wake Forest3041613.92--
2024Cincinnati1119117.41--
Career2 loaded seasons4160714.83--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.5% 11.6% pass-game share | #400/1137 (65th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 30 #282/1110 75th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 416 #278/1107 75th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.9 #368/1106 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.6% #400/1137 65th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 51 #260/1105 77th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.4% #278/1137 76th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.2% #282/1137 75th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.5% #423/1137 63rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.4% #459/1137 60th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.8% #580/1137 49th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.6% #582/1137 49th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g2.745.418.40.3
Road5g2.219.610.70.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g2.936.814.20.2
Losses4g1.830.517.10.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.043.217.00.2
Weeks 8+6g2.026.213.30.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

51Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Yards / catch#209 / 558 · 62nd pct
13.9rece
Long catch#230 / 558 · 58th pct
51rece
Rec yards#278 / 558 · 50th pct
416rece
Receptions#282 / 558 · 48th pct
30rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Sterling BerkhalterWake ForestSean WilsonDelaware· 71% simRyan DavisUtah· 71% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 70% sim
Yards / catch
62
Berkhalter
49
Wilson
36
Davis
84
McMillan
Long catch
58
Berkhalter
58
Wilson
67
Davis
65
McMillan
Rec yards
50
Berkhalter
91
Wilson
83
Davis
96
McMillan
Receptions
48
Berkhalter
94
Wilson
91
Davis
90
McMillan
Rec TDs
42
Berkhalter
57
Wilson
68
Davis
57
McMillan

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Damonte Coxie’s 2020 season.

Damonte Coxie

82%match

Memphis · 2020

#2

Donovan Ollie

Washington State · 2022

83%
#3

Ja'Cyais Credle

Georgia State · 2022

81%
#4

CJ Windham

Middle Tennessee · 2020

77%
#5

Darryl Jones

Maryland · 2021

80%

Matches Damonte on

TD rate
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Damonte on

Class year (higher)
Reception volume (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Landon Ruggieri’s path through Bryant.

Landon Ruggieri

99%match

Bryant · 2023

#2

Noah Gray

Duke · 2020

NFL Rd 5
99%
#3

Nate Stewart

Akron · 2020

98%
#4

Brandon Smith

Iowa · 2020

98%
#5

Miequle Brock

Nicholls · 2025

98%

Matches Landon on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Bralon Brown's senior season at Southern Miss (2025).

Bralon Brown

83%match

Southern Miss · 2025

#2

Tre Mosley

Michigan State · 2023

80%
#3

Boobie Curry

Buffalo · 2023

79%
#4

Hal Presley

Baylor · 2024

79%
#5

Andrew Erickson

New Mexico · 2023

78%

Matches Bralon on

Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jake Dickert

Pass share

48.0%

405 pass / 439 run

Plays / game

64.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

2 coaches
2024
Dave Clawson
Wake Forest
2025
Jake Dickert
Wake Forest
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Dave Clawson → Jake Dickert. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCincinnati, OH
Height6'3"
Weight203 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Cincinnati WR4 #851 #925 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Cincinnati WR4 #4555 #4957 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 203 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2024 Cincinnati Big 12 WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 203 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2023 Cincinnati Big 12 WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 203 lb | Cincinnati, OH