cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Stephen Kittleman /Tulsa

Stephen Kittleman

QB · Tulsa · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

18 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 4 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulsa for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Tulsa

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (21 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulsa · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #85 · 2026 recruiting class #109

QB · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Stephen Kittleman

  • 4
  • #9
  • 5-10 | 200 lb
  • Tulsa, OK

CFB Zeitgeist Score

35

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 82nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#689

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2024–2025
51.02024
18.02025

-65%

Sharp dropoff (-65%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Tulsa
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements5-10 | 200 lb
HometownTulsa, OK
Primary teamTulsa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#689Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#880Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Stephen Kittleman

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Stephen Kittleman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
18Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
4.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
58.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 18): needs 331.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 18): needs 442.4/game over remaining 9.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.8/game over remaining 9.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.9/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Stephen Kittleman's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulsa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #689 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 18 0 TD | 0 INT | #347/382 (9th pct)
Completion rate 66.7% 2/3 completions | #98/383 (75th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.0 Explosiveness through the air | #265/382 (31st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

EfficientPocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
2 13th
ATT
3 15th
CMP%
66.7% 75th
Y/A
6.0 31st

Passing Production

YDS
18 9th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
3 20th
YDS
4 24th
YPC
1.3 29th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 35-7vs Abilene Christian2/318006.041.5Season-high 18 yds
Wk 8L 27-41@ East Carolina
Wk 12W 31-14vs Oregon State
Wk 14L 24-31vs UAB
Total2/318006.041.5
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Tulsa3-9HC: Kevin Wilson · Balanced
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa2366.7%186.000117.1----
2024Tulsa33100.0%5117.000242.8----
Career2 loaded seasons5683.3%6911.500179.9----
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa341.31--
2024Tulsa2115.51--
Career2 loaded seasons5153.02--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 4 1 rush TD | #311/408 (24th pct)
Usage 2.0% 2.4% pass share | 1.8% rush share | #396/428 (8th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 18 #347/382 9th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 2 #336/383 13th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 66.7% #98/383 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.0 #265/382 31st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 4 #311/408 24th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 2.0% #396/428 8th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 3 #346/407 15th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 3 #327/408 20th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 3 #376/391 4th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 1.3 #288/407 29th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.8% #373/428 13th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 2.4% #389/428 9th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 2.2% #380/428 11th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.1% #389/428 9th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 1.9% #394/428 8th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 1.8% #373/428 13th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #400/428 7th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home3g6.00.06.00.0
Road1g

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins2g9.00.06.00.0
Losses2g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-71g18.00.06.00.0
Weeks 8+3g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

35Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: completion % (81st). Concern: pass tds (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Completion %#34 / 183 · 82nd pct
66.7%pass
Rush TDs#123 / 183 · 26th pct
1rush
Rush yards#142 / 183 · 22nd pct
4rush
Yards / att#158 / 183 · 13th pct
6.0pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
18pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Stephen KittlemanTulsaNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 58% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 57% simCade KlubnikClemson· 52% sim
Interceptions
99
Kittleman
44
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
56
Klubnik
Completion %
82
Kittleman
41
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
73
Klubnik
Rush TDs
26
Kittleman
39
Vattiato
59
Lindsey
59
Klubnik
Rush yards
22
Kittleman
27
Vattiato
1
Lindsey
42
Klubnik
Yards / att
13
Kittleman
13
Vattiato
16
Lindsey
63
Klubnik
Pass yards
0
Kittleman
57
Vattiato
61
Lindsey
78
Klubnik
Pass TDs
0
Kittleman
64
Vattiato
72
Lindsey
64
Klubnik

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tre Lamb

Pass share

45.9%

407 pass / 480 run

Plays / game

73.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

357 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

2 coaches
2024
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2025
Tre Lamb
Tulsa
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Kevin Wilson → Tre Lamb. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTulsa, OK
Height5'10"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tulsa QB4 #689 #880 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Tulsa QB4 #2429 #2660 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Tulsa QB4 #2187 #2292 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulsa American Athletic QB 4 No. 9 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Tulsa, OK
2024 Tulsa American Athletic QB 4 No. 9 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Tulsa, OK
2023 Tulsa American Athletic QB 4 No. 9 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Tulsa, OK
2022 Tulsa American Athletic QB 4 No. 9 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Tulsa, OK