CFB Zeitgeist Score
38
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 55th percentile.
Skyler Locklear
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,418 PASS YDS · 13 PASS TD · 396 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Missouri State
QB · UTEP · CONFERENCE USA
CFB Zeitgeist Score
38
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 55th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#402
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2024–2025Down 11% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UTEP -> Missouri State | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Austin Peay -> UTEP | 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,418): needs 395.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,418): needs 645.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 13): needs 3/game over remaining 4.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 13): needs 4.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 13): needs 5.5/game over remaining 4.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Skyler Locklear's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For UTEP, he has 1,418 passing yards and 13 touchdown passes, but he also adds 396 rushing yards and 8 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 42-17vs UT Martin | 1/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 76.4 | |
| Wk 5 | L 11-30vs Louisiana Tech | 4/6 | 74 | 1 | 1 | 12.3 | 54.4 | |
| Wk 7 | L 8-19vs Liberty | 9/17 | 90 | 0 | 2 | 5.3 | 56.3 | |
| Wk 8 | W 35-17@ Sam Houston | 21/26 | 236 | 2 | 1 | 9.1 | 60.1 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-33@ Kennesaw State | 14/29 | 160 | 2 | 0 | 5.5 | 29.3 | |
| Wk 11 | L 27-30vs Jacksonville State | 16/32 | 244 | 2 | 1 | 7.6 | 41.1 | |
| Wk 12 | L 24-38@ Missouri State | 14/29 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 4.3 | 44.8 | |
| Wk 13 | L 31-34vs New Mexico State | 16/30 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 5.0 | 32.6 | |
| Wk 14 | L 31-61@ Delaware | 22/39 | 338 | 4 | 5 | 8.7 | 36.3 | Season-high 338 yds · 5 INTs — rough day |
| Total | 117/211 | 1418 | 13 | 11 | 6.4 | 47.9 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,418 | #118/382 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 13 | #80/407 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 117 | #126/383 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 55.5% | #279/383 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.7 | #210/382 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 396 | #48/408 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.07 | #195/200 | 3rd pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 180 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 49.4% | #89/428 | 79th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 211 | #118/407 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 11 | #386/407 | 5th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 103 | #50/408 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 63 | #19/391 | 95th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 8 | #33/408 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.8 | #153/407 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 68.0% | #143/428 | 67th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 57.0% | #115/428 | 73rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 55.5% | #128/428 | 70th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 47.3% | #98/428 | 77th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 46.4% | #55/428 | 87th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 46.1% | #59/428 | 86th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 28.9% | #18/428 | 96th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.27 | #58/140 | 59th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 66 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 112 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 |
| Road4g | 215 | 2.0 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 118 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| Losses7g | 169 | 1.6 | 7.0 | 1.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 54.7 | 0.3 | 5.9 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 209 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: rush tds (81st). Concern: interceptions (9th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jiya Wright’s 2023 season.
Jiya Wright
Cooper Legas
Thomas Castellanos
Isaac Wilson
McCae Hillstead
Matches Jiya on
Differs from Jiya on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ross Bowers’s path through Northern Illinois.
Ross Bowers
DJ Williams
Logan Fife
McCae Hillstead
Jacob Free
Matches Ross on
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Colandrea's sophomore season at Virginia (2024).
Anthony Colandrea
Thomas Castellanos
Justin Tomlin
Tyler Buchner
Brady McBride
Matches Anthony on
Differs from Anthony on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scotty Walden
Pass share
52.4%
410 pass / 372 run
Plays / game
65.2
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.2%
342 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Scotty Walden.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UTEP | QB3 | #402 | #680 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
Team, conference, and class by season.