cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Shawn Miller /New Mexico

Shawn Miller

WR · New Mexico · Jr · #14

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

199 REC YDS · 15 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to New Mexico for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to New Mexico for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · New Mexico

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 New Mexico player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (15 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

New Mexico · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #131 · 2026 recruiting class #138

WR · NEW MEXICO · MOUNTAIN WEST

Shawn Miller

  • 3
  • #14
  • 6-0 | 199 lb
  • Chandler, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

28

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 55th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5370

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#709 national
CFB
College
New Mexico
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey14
Measurements6-0 | 199 lb
HometownChandler, AZ
Primary teamNew Mexico

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 709 recruit
Composite rating 0.8730 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin IMG Academy Bradenton, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8730 No. 709 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination New Mexico 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 4, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Illinois -> New Mexico 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5370Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6100Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8730

#709 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Shawn Miller

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Shawn Miller

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
199Rec yards
15Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
24.9Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
323.4Rec yards
24Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 199): needs 100.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 199): needs 160.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 15): needs 9/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 15): needs 13/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Shawn Miller's story is about how role and output meet each other. For New Mexico, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5370 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 15 1 rec TD | #484/1110 (56th pct)
Receiving yards 199 13.3 per catch | #468/1107 (58th pct)
Scrimmage yards 199 Total offensive yardage | #468/1107 (58th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
15 56th
YDS
199 58th
YPR
13.3 62nd
TD
1 64th

Returns

PR YDS
-16 0th
PR AVG
-8.0 0th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3W 35-10@ UCLA11414.0014
Wk 5W 38-20vs New Mexico State48020.0131Season-high 80 yds
Wk 6L 28-35@ San José State46616.5042
Wk 7L 25-41@ Boise State133.003
Wk 8W 24-22vs Nevada
Wk 9W 33-14vs Utah State2178.5010
Wk 14W 23-17vs San Diego State2136.509
BowlL 17-20@ Minnesota166.006
Total1519910.6142
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025New Mexico9-4HC: Jason Eck · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico1519913.31--
Career1 loaded season1519913.31--
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico-------16--
Career1 loaded season-------16--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.2% 8.9% pass-game share | #537/1137 (53rd pct)
Return yards -16 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 15 #484/1110 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 199 #468/1107 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.3 #420/1106 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards -16 #224/224 0th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.9% #537/1137 53rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 42 #407/1105 63rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 2 #156/237 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg -8.0 #222/222 0th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.2% #402/1137 65th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.7% #420/1137 63rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.2% #612/1137 46th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.2% #582/1137 49th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.9% #830/1137 27th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 2.9% #914/1137 20th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g2.027.511.70.2
Road4g1.822.29.90.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g1.824.812.20.2
Losses3g2.025.08.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.233.811.90.2
Weeks 8+3g1.310.07.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

28Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (12th).

Yards / catch#250 / 558 · 55th pct
13.3rece
Long catch#350 / 558 · 36th pct
42rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Rec yards#464 / 558 · 17th pct
199rece
Receptions#484 / 558 · 12th pct
15rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Shawn MillerNew MexicoMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 54% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 52% simSean WilsonDelaware· 52% sim
Yards / catch
55
Miller
9
III
40
Walker
49
Wilson
Long catch
36
Miller
16
III
39
Walker
58
Wilson
Fumbles lost
36
Miller
6
III
6
Walker
36
Wilson
Rec TDs
24
Miller
24
III
42
Walker
57
Wilson
Rec yards
17
Miller
70
III
89
Walker
91
Wilson
Receptions
12
Miller
92
III
95
Walker
94
Wilson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Chimere Dike’s 2023 season.

Chimere Dike

85%match

Wisconsin · 2023

NFL Rd 4
#2

Javon Tracy

Miami (OH) · 2023

78%
#3

Kelvontay Dixon

SMU · 2024

77%
#4

Diante Vines

Iowa · 2023

77%
#5

Sean Ryan

West Virginia · 2021

72%

Matches Chimere on

TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Diante Vines's sophomore season at Iowa (2023).

Diante Vines

83%match

Iowa · 2023

#2

Makai Jackson

App State · 2023

All-Sun Belt
76%
#3

Micah Tease

Tulsa · 2025

76%
#4

Kobe Drake

Memphis · 2022

74%
#5

Kearis Jackson

Georgia · 2021

73%

Matches Diante on

TD rate
Recruiting rating
Yards / reception

Differs from Diante on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jason Eck

Pass share

43.3%

350 pass / 459 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.3%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jason Eck
New Mexico

Played his entire career under Jason Eck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChandler, AZ
Height6'0"
Weight199 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey14

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 New Mexico WR3 #5370 #6100 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Illinois WR3 #4056 #4112 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Illinois WR3 #2975 #2662 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico Mountain West WR 3 No. 14 | 6-0 | 199 lb | Chandler, AZ
2024 New Mexico Mountain West WR 3 No. 14 | 6-0 | 199 lb | Chandler, AZ
2023 Illinois Big Ten WR 3 No. 14 | 6-0 | 199 lb | Chandler, AZ
2022 Illinois Big Ten WR 3 No. 14 | 6-0 | 199 lb | Chandler, AZ