cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Samari Howard /Army

Samari Howard

WR · Army · Jr · #27

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

133 REC YDS · 11 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Army for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Army for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Army

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (0 in / 2 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Army · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #134 · 2026 recruiting class #130

WR · ARMY · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Samari Howard

  • 3
  • #27
  • 5-7 | 190 lb
  • Temple, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

25

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 40th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1205

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
11.02024
1332025

+1109%

Up 1109% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Army
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey27
Measurements5-7 | 190 lb
HometownTemple, TX
Primary teamArmy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1205Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1071Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Samari Howard

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Colorado adds 2027 safety Samari Howard after huge recruiting weekend &nbsp;&nbs"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Samari Howard

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
133Rec yards
11Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
14.8Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
192.1Rec yards
16Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 133): needs 141.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 133): needs 216.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 11): needs 12.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 11): needs 17.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Samari Howard's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Army, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1205 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 11 1 rec TD | #559/1110 (50th pct)
Receiving yards 133 12.1 per catch | #562/1107 (49th pct)
Scrimmage yards 174 Total offensive yardage | #562/1107 (49th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
11 50th
YDS
133 49th
YPR
12.1 52nd
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
13 93rd
YDS
41 82nd
YPC
3.2 37th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 24-21@ Kansas State3165.308
Wk 4L 38-45vs North Texas22110.5117
Wk 5L 6-28@ East Carolina22613.0013
Wk 6W 31-13@ UAB24824.0041Season-high 48 yds
Wk 8L 17-24@ Tulane188.008
Wk 11W 14-13vs Temple
Wk 13L 25-26vs Tulsa
Wk 14W 27-24@ UTSA11414.0014
Wk 16L 16-17@ Navy
Total1113312.5141
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Army12-2HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy
2025Army7-6HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Army1113312.11--
2024Army2115.50--
Career2 loaded seasons1314411.11--
SeasonTeam
2025Army1341------
2024Army23128------
Career2 loaded seasons36169------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.3% 14.9% pass-game share | #252/1137 (78th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 11 #559/1110 50th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 133 #562/1107 49th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.1 #537/1106 52nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 14.9% #252/1137 78th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 41 #73/397 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #106/346 70th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 13 #30/407 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 3.2 #250/393 37th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 41 #430/1105 61st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.6% #442/1137 61st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.8% #449/1137 61st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.6% #440/1137 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.3% #566/1137 50th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.7% #844/1137 26th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.6% #71/1137 94th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.5% #912/1137 20th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g0.77.010.50.3
Road6g1.518.712.90.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.519.514.40.0
Losses5g1.011.010.50.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.227.813.20.2
Weeks 8+5g0.44.411.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

25Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Rush yards#67 / 287 · 77th pct
41rush
Yards / catch#333 / 558 · 40th pct
12.1rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Long catch#367 / 558 · 33rd pct
41rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Rec yards#533 / 558 · 5th pct
133rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
11rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Samari HowardArmyJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 54% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 52% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 48% sim
Rush yards
77
Howard
76
Gibson
89
Jr.
6
III
Yards / catch
40
Howard
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
9
III
Rush TDs
39
Howard
39
Gibson
39
Jr.
39
III
Long catch
33
Howard
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
16
III
Rec TDs
24
Howard
7
Gibson
24
Jr.
24
III
Rec yards
5
Howard
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
70
III
Receptions
0
Howard
92
Gibson
94
Jr.
92
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Monken

Pass share

14.5%

125 pass / 740 run

Plays / game

66.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

104 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jeff Monken
Army
2025
Jeff Monken
Army

Played his entire career under Jeff Monken.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTemple, TX
Height5'7"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey27

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Army WR3 #1205 #1071 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Army WR3 #3928 #3906 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Army American Athletic WR 3 No. 27 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Temple, TX
2024 Army American Athletic WR 3 No. 27 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Temple, TX
2023 Army FBS Independents WR 3 No. 27 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Temple, TX