cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Sam Brumfield /Memphis

Sam Brumfield

LB · Memphis · Sr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

90 TACKLES · 4.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Memphis

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 Memphis player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +4 net (51 in / 47 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Memphis · Last season: 8-5 (AP #22) · Talent rank #59 · 2026 recruiting class #60

LB · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Sam Brumfield

  • 4
  • #3
  • 5-11 | 225 lb
  • Pearl, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

71

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10261

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2023

Middle Tennessee · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Memphis · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#134 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements5-11 | 225 lb
HometownPearl, MS
Primary teamMemphis

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 134 recruit
Composite rating 0.8300 JUCO
Signed with Middle Tennessee 2023
Origin Northwest Mississippi C.C. Pearl, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8300 No. 134 recruit | JUCO | Middle Tennessee

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Memphis 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Virginia Tech -> Memphis 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2024 Middle Tennessee -> Virginia Tech 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10261Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10208Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Middle Tennessee

Composite

0.8300

#134 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Sam Brumfield

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Sam Brumfield

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
90Tackles
11Tackles for loss
4.5Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Projected (13g)
106Tackles
13Tackles for loss
5.3Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 90.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 90): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 4.5): needs 0.8/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 4.5): needs 2.8/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Sam Brumfield is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Memphis's defense, with 4.5 sacks, 11.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10261 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 90 40 solo | #86/4942 (98th pct)
TFL 11.0 Backfield disruption | #74/4972 (99th pct)
Sacks 4.5 Pass-rush finish | #136/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
90 98th
SOLO
40 95th
TFL
11.0 99th
SACK
4.5 97th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Chattanooga531.01.00
Wk 2W 38-16@ Georgia State851.01.00
Wk 3W 28-7@ Troy401.51.00
Wk 4W 32-31vs Arkansas520.00.00
Wk 5W 55-26@ Florida Atlantic820.50.00
Wk 6W 45-7vs Tulsa512.00.00
Wk 8L 24-31@ UAB632.50.5102.5 TFL
Wk 9W 34-31vs South Florida1392.51.002.5 TFL
Wk 12L 27-31@ East Carolina1250.00.00
Wk 14L 17-28vs Navy1790.00.00Season-high 17 tackles
BowlL 7-31@ NC State710.00.00
Total904011.04.510
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2025Memphis8-5HC: Ryan Silverfield · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis904011.04.5--1--
2023Middle Tennessee82466.53.5------
Career2 loaded seasons1728617.58.0--1--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 90 #86/4942 98th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 11.0 #74/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.5 #136/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 40 #212/4584 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g9.01.10.40.0
Road6g7.50.90.40.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g6.91.20.60.0
Losses4g10.50.60.10.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g6.00.90.40.0
Weeks 8+4g12.01.20.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

71Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (97th). Strength: tackles (97th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles for loss#74 / 2975 · 97th pct
11.0defe
Tackles#86 / 2975 · 97th pct
90defe
Sacks#136 / 2975 · 95th pct
4.5defe
Solo tackles#212 / 2975 · 92nd pct
40defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Sam BrumfieldMemphisMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 91% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 88% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 87% sim
Tackles for loss
97
Brumfield
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
95
Baranowski
Tackles
97
Brumfield
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
98
Baranowski
Sacks
95
Brumfield
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
89
Baranowski
Solo tackles
92
Brumfield
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
98
Baranowski
QB hurries
72
Brumfield
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
82
Baranowski
Interceptions
31
Brumfield
31
Parker
31
Wesloski
Passes defended
18
Brumfield
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
48
Baranowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Josh Chandler’s 2022 season.

Josh Chandler

82%match

Colorado · 2022

#2

Darren Anders

Bowling Green · 2023

All-MAC
74%
#3

Sam Brumfield

Middle Tennessee · 2023

All-Conference USA
74%
#4

Mason Woods

Kent State · 2025

73%
#5

Jake Chaney

Wisconsin · 2023

73%

Matches Josh on

Weight
Tackle volume
PD rate

Differs from Josh on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Josh Chandler's junior season at Colorado (2022).

Josh Chandler

86%match

Colorado · 2022

#2

Eli Neal

Marshall · 2022

82%
#3

Keye Thompson

Ohio · 2023

All-MAC
81%
#4

DJ Schramm

Boise State · 2022

All-Mountain West
80%
#5

Mason Cobb

Oklahoma State · 2022

80%

Matches Josh on

Sack rate
TFL rate
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Silverfield

Pass share

46.9%

412 pass / 466 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

285 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2025
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis

Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPearl, MS
Height5'11"
Weight225 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-AAC all_conference Memphis | AAC LB
2023 All-Conference USA all_conference Middle Tennessee | Conference USA LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Virginia Tech LB4 #10261 #10208 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Middle Tennessee LB4 #8736 #9739 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Memphis American Athletic LB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 225 lb | Pearl, MS
2024 Virginia Tech ACC LB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 225 lb | Pearl, MS
2023 Middle Tennessee Conference USA LB 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 225 lb | Pearl, MS