CFB Zeitgeist Score
57
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 87th percentile.
Sahmir Hagans
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
512 REC YDS · 44 REC · 6 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Duke for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Duke
Returning around him
- 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 3 Duke players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +2 net (19 in / 17 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Duke · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #58 · 2026 recruiting class #30
WR · DUKE · ACC
Sahmir Hagans
- 4
- #2
- 5-10 | 190 lb
- Philadelphia, PA
Heisman Heat
#313
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Duke · WR
—
2022
Duke · WR
—
2023
Duke · WR
—
2024
Duke · WR
—
★
2025
Duke · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025+10140%
Up 10140% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Duke
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8470 | No. 1281 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8470
#1281 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Sahmir Hagans
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Sahmir Hagans
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
6
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #55 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 90th
Why it matters
#55 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 6 TDs on 44 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 6 (90th)
HIGH · n=44 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#208 / 531
- Yards per reception#311 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 vs Elon — 2 receiving_tds
Result W 45-17
The week the volume broke through — stacked 2 td vs Elon.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 14g
512Rec yards
44Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
36.6Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
512Rec yards
44Receptions
6Rec TDs
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Sahmir Hagans already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
44 86th
YDS
512 81st
YPR
11.6 48th
TD
6 95th
Returns
KR YDS
467 94th
KR AVG
33.4 98th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-17vs Elon | 5 | 54 | 10.8 | 2 | 21 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 2 | L 19-45vs Illinois | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | 0 | 24 | |
| Wk 3 | L 27-34@ Tulane | 1 | 29 | 29.0 | 1 | 29 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-33vs NC State | 3 | 63 | 21.0 | 1 | 33 | |
| Wk 5 | W 38-3@ Syracuse | 5 | 59 | 11.8 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-21@ California | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 8 | L 18-27vs Georgia Tech | 5 | 69 | 13.8 | 1 | 24 | Season-high 69 yds |
| Wk 10 | W 46-45@ Clemson | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 11 | L 34-37@ UConn | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 12 | L 17-34vs Virginia | 1 | 35 | 35.0 | 0 | 35 | |
| Wk 13 | W 32-25@ North Carolina | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-32vs Wake Forest | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 1 | 30 | |
| Wk 15 | W 27-20@ Virginia | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | 0 | 35 | |
| Bowl | W 42-39vs Arizona State | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Total | 44 | 512 | 14.0 | 6 | 35 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Duke3-9HC: David Cutcliffe · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 44 | #153/1110 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 512 | #212/1107 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 6 | #56/1111 | 95th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.6 | #578/1106 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 467 | #15/238 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.3% | #420/1137 | 63rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 35 | #527/1105 | 52nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 33.4 | #6/236 | 98th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 14 | #36/243 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return TD | 1 | #4/20 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.6% | #193/1137 | 83rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.0% | #238/1137 | 79th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 6.1% | #351/1137 | 69th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.0% | #425/1137 | 63rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 5.0% | #509/1137 | 55th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.4% | #470/1137 | 59th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 3.6 | 46.9 | 16.2 | 0.7 |
| Road7g | 2.7 | 26.3 | 11.7 | 0.1 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 3.6 | 35.9 | 10.6 | 0.4 |
| Losses5g | 2.4 | 37.8 | 20.1 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.7 | 41.9 | 13.5 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 2.6 | 31.3 | 14.4 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
57Solid starter
Elite: rec tds (86th). Concern: long catch (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Sahmir HagansDukeAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 83% simGermie BernardAlabama· 79% simPofele AshlockHawai'i· 78% sim
Rec TDs
Receptions
Rec yards
Fumbles lost
Yards / catch
Long catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tony Johnson’s 2024 season.
Tony Johnson
88%match
#2
Ainias Smith
All-SECNFL Rd 5
83%
#3
Jaylin Lane
All-Conference USANFL Rd 4
82%
#4
Jarrin Pierce
82%
#5
Jordan Watkins
NFL Rd 4
79%
Matches Tony on
Yards / reception
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Marshel Martin’s path through Sacramento State.
Marshel Martin
98%match
#2
Jaden Smith
97%
#3
Devin Young
97%
#4
Eugene Wilson
96%
#5
Karim Page
95%
Matches Marshel on
Yards per reception
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Williams's graduate season at Indiana (2024).
Justin Williams
75%match
#2
TJ Sheffield
71%
#3
Dontae McMillan
All-MAC
71%
#4
Deion Burks
All-SECNFL Rd 7
70%
#5
Luke Wysong
All-Mountain West
68%
Matches Justin on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Height
Differs from Justin on
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Manny Diaz
Pass share
53.3%
506 pass / 444 run
Plays / game
67.9
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.7%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
4 coaches2021
David Cutcliffe
Duke
2022era →
Mike Elko
Duke
2023era →
Trooper Taylor
Duke
2024era →
Manny Diaz
Duke
2025
Manny Diaz
Duke
Played under 4 different head coaches: David Cutcliffe, Mike Elko, Trooper Taylor, and Manny Diaz. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPhiladelphia, PA
Height5'10"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamDuke
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-ACC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-ACC | all_conference | Duke | ACC | RS |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Duke | WR4 | #313 | #352 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Duke | WR4 | #1596 | #1642 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Duke | WR4 | #428 | #486 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | Duke | WR4 | #3471 | #3441 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Duke | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 2 | 5-10 | 190 lb | Philadelphia, PA |
| 2024 | Duke | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 2 | 5-10 | 190 lb | Philadelphia, PA |
| 2023 | Duke | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 2 | 5-10 | 190 lb | Philadelphia, PA |
| 2022 | Duke | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 2 | 5-10 | 190 lb | Philadelphia, PA |
| 2021 | Duke | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 2 | 5-10 | 190 lb | Philadelphia, PA |