CFB Zeitgeist Score
35
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 70th percentile.
Ryan Staub
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
426 PASS YDS · 3 PASS TD · 30 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Tennessee
2025Colorado
2026Tennessee
QB · COLORADO · BIG 12
Ryan Staub
- 2
- #16
- 6-1 | 200 lb
- Stevenson Ranch, CA
Heisman Heat
#633
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025+68%
Up 68% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Colorado
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8744 | No. 733 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Colorado -> Tennessee | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Colorado
Composite
0.8744
#733 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ryan Staub
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
56
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=9
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ryan Staub
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
ESPN QBR (season average)
49.0
QBR
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games
National rank #79 of 92
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games 14th
Why it matters
#79 of 92 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by ESPN QBR — 49.0 across 4 games.
Vs cohort
This player 49.0 (14th)
HIGH · n=4 cohort 92
- Also strong
- Third-down snap share#85 / 93
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 4g
426Pass yards
3Pass TDs
4INT
Per game
106.5Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,384Pass yards
10Pass TDs
13INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 426): needs 286/game over remaining 9.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 426): needs 397.1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.4/game over remaining 9.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 3/game over remaining 9.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 3.6/game over remaining 9.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ryan Staub's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Colorado, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
30 47th
ATT
55 52nd
CMP%
54.5% 26th
Y/A
7.7 71st
Passing Production
YDS
426 51st
TD
3 57th
INT
4 36th
Rushing
CAR
19 50th
YDS
30 47th
YPC
1.6 34th
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 4 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 31-7vs Delaware | 7/10 | 157 | 2 | 0 | 15.7 | 98.9 | |
| Wk 3 | L 20-36@ Houston | 19/35 | 204 | 1 | 2 | 5.8 | 27.7 | Season-high 204 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 7-53@ Utah | 4/8 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 8.1 | 69.6 | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-52vs Arizona | 0/2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 30/55 | 426 | 3 | 4 | 7.4 | 49.0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Colorado4-8HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2024Colorado9-4HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Colorado3-9HC: Deion Sanders · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 426 | #187/382 | 51st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 3 | #178/407 | 57th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 30 | #203/383 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 54.5% | #285/383 | 26th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.7 | #111/382 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 30 | #216/408 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.31 | #69/200 | 66th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 66 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 29.5% | #180/428 | 58th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 55 | #196/407 | 52nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 4 | #263/407 | 36th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 29 | #113/391 | 71st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 19 | #205/408 | 50th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.6 | #269/407 | 34th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 48.6% | #185/428 | 57th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 39.8% | #184/428 | 57th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 34.0% | #197/428 | 54th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 31.9% | #174/428 | 60th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 23.8% | #187/428 | 57th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 22.8% | #189/428 | 56th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 8.4% | #187/428 | 57th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 4 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 78.5 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 1.0 |
| Road2g | 134 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 157 | 2.0 | 15.7 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 89.7 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 1.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 180 | 1.5 | 10.8 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 32.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
35Below cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: pass yards (2nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.31Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ryan StaubColoradoNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 61% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 57% simRocco BechtIowa State· 56% sim
Fumbles lost
Interceptions
Yards / att
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Completion %
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Deion Sanders
Pass share
45.6%
356 pass / 424 run
Plays / game
65.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.5%
320 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Deion Sanders
Colorado
2024
Deion Sanders
Colorado
2025
Deion Sanders
Colorado
Played his entire career under Deion Sanders.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownStevenson Ranch, CA
Height6'1"
Weight200 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey16
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamColorado
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.