CFB Zeitgeist Score
63
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 63rd percentile.
Ryan Nolan
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
72 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
In Portal · 2026
In transfer portal
2025Texas State
DestinationTBD
S · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT
Ryan Nolan
- 3
- #7
- 5-10 | 181 lb
- Gainesville, FL
Heisman Heat
#12726
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
Texas State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-star | 0.7894 | No. 167 recruit | JUCO | Texas State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Texas State -> -- | 2-star | Withdrawn |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to Texas State
Composite
0.7894
#167 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ryan Nolan
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ryan Nolan
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 11g
72Tackles
3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
7Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
85Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 72): needs 4/game over remaining 2.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 72): needs 14/game over remaining 2.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ryan Nolan is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
72 95th
SOLO
35 92nd
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
2 64th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-27vs Eastern Michigan | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 43-36@ UTSA | 11 | 5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 1 | Season-high 11 tackles |
| Wk 3 | L 15-34@ Arizona State | 7 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 35-3vs Nicholls | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-31@ Arkansas State | 9 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 7 | L 41-48vs Troy | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 39-42@ Louisiana | 10 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | W 41-14@ Southern Miss | 6 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 31-14vs UL Monroe | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-26vs South Alabama | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | W 41-10vs Rice | 4 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 72 | 35 | 3.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 72 | 35 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 72 | 35 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 72 | #242/4942 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 3.0 | #1006/4972 | 80th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 2 | #792/2184 | 64th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 2 | #647/1878 | 66th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 35 | #353/4584 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 4.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 8.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Losses4g | 8.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 6.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 6.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort
63Solid starter
Elite: tackles (91st). Strength: solo tackles (87th). Concern: sacks (23rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · S · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ryan NolanTexas StateBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 89% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 85% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 84% sim
Tackles
Solo tackles
QB hurries
Passes defended
Tackles for loss
Sacks
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Box Safety
Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tanner Ingle’s 2022 season.
Tanner Ingle
90%match
All-ACC
#2
Cory McCoy
85%
#3
Malachi McLean
84%
#4
Ayden Jackson
81%
#5
J.J. Roberts
81%
Matches Tanner on
PD rate
Height
Tackle volume
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Patrick Smith-Young's sophomore season at North Texas (2025).
Patrick Smith-Young
84%match
#2
Tysheem Johnson
77%
#3
Alonzo Addae
74%
#4
Shaquez Bond
74%
#5
Elijah Hicks
NFL Rd 7
73%
Matches Patrick on
Class year
Tackle volume
PD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
G.J. Kinne
Pass share
39.5%
358 pass / 549 run
Plays / game
69.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.4%
267 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
Played his entire career under G.J. Kinne.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGainesville, FL
Height5'10"
Weight181 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTexas State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Texas State | S3 | #12726 | #12620 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | Sun Belt | S | 3 | No. 7 | 5-10 | 181 lb | Gainesville, FL |
| 2024 | Texas State | Sun Belt | S | 3 | No. 7 | 5-10 | 181 lb | Gainesville, FL |