CFB Zeitgeist Score
74
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.
Ryan Henderson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
21 TACKLES · 7 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Texas A&M
EDGE · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
CFB Zeitgeist Score
74
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#14725
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8448 | No. 1405 recruit | HighSchool | San Diego State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | San Diego State -> Texas A&M | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to San Diego State
Composite
0.8448
#1405 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 21): needs 19.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 21): needs 26.3/game over remaining 3.
✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 7.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 7): needs 1/game over remaining 3.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ryan Henderson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on San Diego State's defense, with 7.0 sacks, 9.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
Coverage & Takeaways
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-0vs Stony Brook | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 13-36@ Washington State | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-0vs California | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 6-3@ Northern Illinois | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 44-10@ Nevada | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 23-0@ Fresno State | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-7vs Wyoming | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | W 25-3vs San José State | 3 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 14 | L 17-23@ New Mexico | 5 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 5 tackles |
| Bowl | L 47-49vs North Texas | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 21 | 17 | 9.0 | 7.0 | — | 1 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | 21 | 17 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | San Diego State | 6 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 27 | 22 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 21 | #1929/4942 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 9.0 | #142/4972 | 97th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 7.0 | #39/4972 | 99th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 1 | #1241/2184 | 43rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 4 | #291/1878 | 85th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 17 | #1252/4584 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Losses3g | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort
Elite: sacks (98th). Strength: tackles for loss (94th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Bends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ali Fayad’s 2021 season.
Ali Fayad
Dennard Flowers
Malachi Lawrence
Cashius Howell
Nathan Latu
Matches Ali on
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jonah Elliss's junior season at Utah (2023).
Jonah Elliss
Eli Hall
Malachi Lawrence
Darris Smith
Trey Moore
Matches Jonah on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sean Lewis
Pass share
35.3%
290 pass / 532 run
Plays / game
63.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
224 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | San Diego State | EDGE3 | #14725 | #14805 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | San Diego State | EDGE3 | #14081 | #14181 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | San Diego State | EDGE3 | #11708 | #11501 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | Mountain West | EDGE | 3 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 255 lb | Las Vegas, NV |
| 2024 | San Diego State | Mountain West | EDGE | 3 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 255 lb | Las Vegas, NV |
| 2023 | San Diego State | Mountain West | EDGE | 3 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 255 lb | Las Vegas, NV |
| 2022 | San Diego State | Mountain West | EDGE | 3 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 255 lb | Las Vegas, NV |