cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ryan Davis /Kansas State

Ryan Davis

DE · Kansas State · So · #52

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

14 TACKLES · 4 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive end · Kansas State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Kansas State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (26 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas State · Last season: 6-6 (AP #17) · Talent rank #47 · 2026 recruiting class #35

DE · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12

Ryan Davis

  • 2
  • #52
  • 6-4 | 252 lb
  • Phoenix, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10122

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1225 national
CFB
College
Kansas State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class2
Jersey52
Measurements6-4 | 252 lb
HometownPhoenix, AZ
Primary teamKansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1225 recruit
Composite rating 0.8564 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Sandra Day O'Connor Glendale, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8564 No. 1225 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10122Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9904Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8564

#1225 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ryan Davis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ryan Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
14Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
4Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.9Tackles for loss
0.7Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
11.9Tackles for loss
8.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 14): needs 9.4/game over remaining 7.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 14): needs 12.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 4): needs 0.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 4): needs 0.9/game over remaining 7.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ryan Davis is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Kansas State's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10122 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 4.0 sacks | 5.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 14 12 solo | #2476/4942 (50th pct)
TFL 5.5 Backfield disruption | #477/4972 (90th pct)
Sacks 4.0 Pass-rush finish | #169/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
14 50th
SOLO
12 62nd
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
4.0 97th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 3L 17-23@ Arizona110.00.00
Wk 5W 34-20vs UCF110.00.00
Wk 9W 42-17@ Kansas321.51.02
Wk 10L 20-43vs Texas Tech220.00.00
Wk 12W 14-6@ Oklahoma State111.01.02
Wk 14W 24-14vs Colorado653.02.00Season-high 6 tackles
Total14125.54.04
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Kansas State6-6HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas State14125.54.04----
Career1 loaded season14125.54.04----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 14 #2476/4942 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.5 #477/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.0 #169/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 12 #1735/4584 62nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home3g3.01.00.70.0
Road3g1.70.80.71.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g2.81.41.01.0
Losses2g1.50.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.00.00.00.0
Weeks 8+4g3.01.41.01.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

65Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (93rd). Strength: passes defended (85th). Concern: tackles (15th).

Sacks#169 / 2975 · 93rd pct
4.0defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles for loss#477 / 2975 · 83rd pct
5.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Solo tackles#1735 / 2975 · 40th pct
12defe
Tackles#2476 / 2975 · 16th pct
14defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Ryan DavisKansas StateColton PharesApp State· 61% simRasheem BilesPittsburgh· 61% simGavin MoulDelaware· 60% sim
Sacks
93
Davis
80
Phares
95
Biles
80
Moul
Passes defended
86
Davis
78
Phares
86
Biles
78
Moul
Tackles for loss
83
Davis
96
Phares
100
Biles
90
Moul
QB hurries
55
Davis
72
Phares
88
Biles
72
Moul
Forced fumbles
47
Davis
47
Phares
47
Biles
47
Moul
Solo tackles
40
Davis
95
Phares
91
Biles
98
Moul
Tackles
16
Davis
98
Phares
98
Biles
99
Moul

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Rusher

Bends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Samuel Okunlola’s 2023 season.

Samuel Okunlola

84%match

Pittsburgh · 2023

#2

John Henry Daley

Utah · 2025

All-Big 12
82%
#3

Cam Robertson

SMU · 2023

75%
#4

Dayon Hayes

Pittsburgh · 2022

75%
#5

Jahfari Harvey

SMU · 2024

72%

Matches Samuel on

Sack rate
Weight
Height

Differs from Samuel on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Colin Simmons's sophomore season at Texas (2025).

Colin Simmons

80%match

Texas · 2025

#2

Mykel Williams

Georgia · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 11
78%
#3

Bralen Trice

Washington · 2022

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 10
70%
#4

David Ojabo

Michigan · 2021

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 13
68%
#5

LaQuan Johnson

Central Michigan · 2022

67%

Matches Colin on

Class year
Sack rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chris Klieman

Pass share

46.4%

342 pass / 395 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Chris Klieman
Kansas State

Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPhoenix, AZ
Height6'4"
Weight252 lb
Class2
PositionDE
Jersey52

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas State DE2 #10122 #9904 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kansas State DE2 #10841 #10588 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas State Big 12 DE 2 No. 52 | 6-4 | 252 lb | Phoenix, AZ
2024 Kansas State Big 12 DE 2 No. 52 | 6-4 | 252 lb | Phoenix, AZ
2023 Kansas State Big 12 DE 2 No. 52 | 6-4 | 252 lb | Phoenix, AZ