cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ryan Burger /Liberty

Ryan Burger

QB · Liberty · Jr · #18

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Liberty for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Liberty for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Liberty

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (26 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Liberty · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #84 · 2026 recruiting class #86

QB · LIBERTY · CONFERENCE USA

Ryan Burger

  • 3
  • #18
  • 6-4 | 205 lb
  • Myrtle Beach, SC

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#863

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2024
40.02022
73.02023
88.02024

+120%

Up 120% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1713 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey18
Measurements6-4 | 205 lb
HometownMyrtle Beach, SC
Primary teamLiberty

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1713 recruit
Composite rating 0.8304 HighSchool
Signed with App State 2022
Origin Myrtle Beach Myrtle Beach, SC, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8304 No. 1713 recruit | HighSchool | App State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Liberty 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 26, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 App State -> Liberty 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#863Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#799Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to App State

Composite

0.8304

#1713 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ryan Burger

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ryan Burger

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ryan Burger's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Liberty, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #863 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 88 0 TD | 0 INT | #279/382 (27th pct)
Completion rate 42.1% 8/19 completions | #360/383 (6th pct)
Yards/attempt 4.6 Explosiveness through the air | #326/382 (15th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Balanced profile

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
8 28th
ATT
19 37th
CMP%
42.1% 6th
Y/A
4.6 15th

Passing Production

YDS
88 27th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
17 49th
YDS
70 59th
YPC
4.1 66th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022App State6-6HC: Shawn Clark · Run-leaning
2023App State9-5HC: Shawn Clark · Balanced
2024Liberty8-4HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2024Liberty81942.1%884.60081.0----
2023App State71163.6%736.610149.4----
2022App State4666.7%406.700122.7----
Career3 loaded seasons193652.8%2015.610108.8----
SeasonTeam
2024Liberty17704.11--
2023App State4-10-2.50--
2022App State22311.50--
Career3 loaded seasons23833.61--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 70 1 rush TD | #170/408 (59th pct)
Usage 10.1% 18.6% pass share | 5.9% rush share | #274/428 (36th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 88 #279/382 27th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 8 #276/383 28th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 42.1% #360/383 6th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 4.6 #326/382 15th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 70 #170/408 59th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 10.1% #274/428 36th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 19 #257/407 37th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 57 #35/391 91st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 17 #211/408 49th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.1 #138/407 66th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 21.3% #232/428 46th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 18.6% #264/428 39th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 18.5% #244/428 43rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.1% #281/428 35th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 6.7% #291/428 32nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 6.1% #311/428 28th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 5.9% #255/428 41st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #163/258 37th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jamey Chadwell

Pass share

38.7%

314 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

67.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2024

2 coaches
2022
Hugh Freeze
Liberty
2023
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
era →
2024
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty

Coaching transition mid-career: Hugh Freeze → Jamey Chadwell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMyrtle Beach, SC
Height6'4"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Liberty QB3 #863 #799 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 App State QB3 #935 #799 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 App State QB3 #1096 #1068 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Liberty Conference USA QB 3 No. 18 | 6-4 | 205 lb | Myrtle Beach, SC
2024 Liberty Conference USA QB 3 No. 18 | 6-4 | 205 lb | Myrtle Beach, SC
2023 App State Sun Belt QB 3 No. 18 | 6-4 | 205 lb | Myrtle Beach, SC
2022 App State Sun Belt QB 3 No. 18 | 6-4 | 205 lb | Myrtle Beach, SC