CFB Zeitgeist Score
79
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 94th percentile.
Roman Hemby
Roman Hemby is a cornerstone for Indiana — measured against the line he joined.
PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP
-44
perception vs production percentile · 2025
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Indiana for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Indiana
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Indiana · Last season: 16-0 (AP #1) · Talent rank #72 · 2026 recruiting class #47
RB · INDIANA · BIG TEN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
79
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 94th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#90
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Maryland · RB
—
2022
Maryland · RB
—
2023
Maryland · RB
—
2024
Maryland · RB
—
2025
Indiana · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025Up 1477% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8293 | No. 1767 recruit | HighSchool | Maryland |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Maryland
Composite
0.8293
#1767 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
Only 3 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,120.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,120.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Roman Hemby is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,120 rushing yards, 17 catches, and 203 return yards for Indiana. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 16 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 27-14vs Old Dominion | 23 | 111 | 4.8 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 2 | W 56-9vs Kennesaw State | 9 | 64 | 7.1 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 3 | W 73-0vs Indiana State | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 4 | W 63-10vs Illinois | 14 | 65 | 4.6 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 5 | W 20-15@ Iowa | 15 | 86 | 5.7 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 7 | W 30-20@ Oregon | 19 | 70 | 3.7 | 2 | 14 | |
| Wk 8 | W 38-13vs Michigan State | 6 | 11 | 1.8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | W 56-6vs UCLA | 17 | 81 | 4.8 | 2 | 15 | |
| Wk 10 | W 55-10@ Maryland | 18 | 88 | 4.9 | 1 | 16 | |
| Wk 11 | W 27-24@ Penn State | 12 | 55 | 4.6 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 12 | W 31-7vs Wisconsin | 14 | 58 | 4.1 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 14 | W 56-3@ Purdue | 12 | 152 | 12.7 | 1 | 82 | Season-high 152 yds |
| Wk 15 | W 13-10@ Ohio State | 13 | 52 | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Bowl | W 38-3vs Alabama | 18 | 89 | 4.9 | 1 | 21 | |
| Bowl | W 56-22vs Oregon | 17 | 53 | 3.1 | 0 | 12 | |
| Bowl | W 27-21vs Miami | 19 | 60 | 3.2 | 0 | 15 | |
| Total | 230 | 1120 | 5.0 | 7 | 82 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1,120 | #23/735 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 7 | #62/739 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.9 | #305/735 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 17 | #111/552 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 165 | #82/548 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.09 | #226/362 | 38th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 226 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 22.7% | #67/738 | 91st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 230 | #12/739 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 82 | #21/733 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 26 | #157/540 | 71st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.7 | #139/548 | 75th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 203 | #37/200 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 22.6 | #47/199 | 77th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 9 | #34/206 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 35.7% | #86/738 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 25.5% | #75/738 | 90th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 24.8% | #76/738 | 90th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 24.5% | #50/738 | 93rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 16.2% | #49/738 | 93rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 14.5% | #76/738 | 90th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.5% | #188/738 | 75th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 16 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home10g | 61.7 | 4.5 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 83.8 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins16g | 70.0 | 5.0 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-79g | 69.2 | 4.8 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 71.0 | 5.3 | 0.6 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Elite: carries (96th). Strength: long run (94th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Christian Turner’s 2023 season.
Christian Turner
Myles Montgomery
Shomari Lawrence
Alex Fontenot
Ari Broussard
Matches Christian on
Differs from Christian on
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jaquez Moore's graduate season at Duke (2025).
Jaquez Moore
Kevorian Barnes
Harrison Waylee
Micah Bernard
Matthew Sluka
Matches Jaquez on
Differs from Jaquez on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Curt Cignetti
Pass share
38.7%
404 pass / 641 run
Plays / game
65.3
16 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.3%
275 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Tom Allen → Curt Cignetti. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Big Ten
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Indiana | Big Ten | RB |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Maryland | RB4 | #90 | #107 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Maryland | RB4 | #186 | #252 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Maryland | RB4 | #131 | #191 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Maryland | RB4 | #1103 | #1027 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Indiana | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 208 lb | Edgewood, MD |
| 2024 | Maryland | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 208 lb | Edgewood, MD |
| 2023 | Maryland | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 208 lb | Edgewood, MD |
| 2022 | Maryland | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 208 lb | Edgewood, MD |
| 2021 | Maryland | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-0 | 208 lb | Edgewood, MD |