cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / RJ Moss Jr. /South Alabama

RJ Moss Jr.

DL · South Alabama · So · #18

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

24 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred South Alabama → Florida International for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Florida International

2025South Alabama
2026Florida International

DL · SOUTH ALABAMA · SUN BELT

RJ Moss Jr.

  • 2
  • #18
  • 6-3 | 273 lb
  • Biloxi, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

45

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13680

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
South Alabama
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey18
Measurements6-3 | 273 lb
HometownBiloxi, MS
Primary teamSouth Alabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Florida International 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 South Alabama -> Florida International 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13680Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13604Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on RJ Moss Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about RJ Moss Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
24Tackles
1Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
31Tackles
1.3Tackles for loss
1.3Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 24): needs 18.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 24): needs 25.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

RJ Moss Jr. is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on South Alabama's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13680 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 1.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 24 9 solo | #1737/4942 (65th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
24 65th
SOLO
9 54th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-21vs Morgan State100.00.00
Wk 2L 31-33vs Tulane410.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 3L 15-31@ Auburn220.00.00
Wk 4L 20-38vs Coastal Carolina100.00.00
Wk 5L 22-36@ North Texas210.00.00
Wk 6L 24-31@ Troy310.00.00
Wk 8L 14-15vs Arkansas State420.00.00
Wk 10L 22-31vs Louisiana300.00.00
Wk 13W 42-35vs Southern Miss111.01.01
Wk 14L 26-49@ Texas State310.00.00
Total2491.01.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023South Alabama7-6HC: Kane Wommack · Balanced
2025South Alabama4-8HC: Major Applewhite · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025South Alabama2491.01.01----
2023South Alabama530.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons29121.01.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 24 #1737/4942 65th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 9 #2127/4584 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.30.20.20.2
Road4g2.50.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g1.00.50.50.5
Losses8g2.80.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.20.00.00.0
Weeks 8+4g2.80.20.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

45Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (25th).

Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles#1737 / 2975 · 40th pct
24defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Solo tackles#2127 / 2975 · 26th pct
9defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
RJ Moss Jr.South AlabamaTyler MartinMassachusetts· 60% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 58% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 57% sim
Sacks
63
Jr.
24
Martin
63
Johnson
63
Vaughns
QB hurries
55
Jr.
22
Martin
22
Johnson
22
Vaughns
Passes defended
48
Jr.
67
Martin
96
Johnson
48
Vaughns
Forced fumbles
47
Jr.
47
Martin
47
Johnson
47
Vaughns
Tackles
40
Jr.
98
Martin
98
Johnson
99
Vaughns
Tackles for loss
28
Jr.
63
Martin
47
Johnson
85
Vaughns
Solo tackles
26
Jr.
87
Martin
97
Johnson
96
Vaughns

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Rodney Croom’s 2020 season.

Rodney Croom

85%match

Marshall · 2020

#2

Ryan Jenkins

South Florida · 2025

82%
#3

Jacob Sykes

UCLA · 2022

82%
#4

Ronald McGee

Kansas · 2021

81%
#5

Jeramy Passmore

Florida International · 2022

81%

Matches Rodney on

TFL rate
Weight
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Deandre Lynch's junior season at Old Dominion (2025).

Deandre Lynch

79%match

Old Dominion · 2025

#2

Tyler Rich

Tulsa · 2025

78%
#3

Jonah Lea'Ea

Utah · 2025

76%
#4

Brian Allen

Iowa · 2025

NFL Rd 4
75%
#5

Anthony Bynum

Middle Tennessee · 2025

All-Conference USA
74%

Matches Deandre on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Major Applewhite

Pass share

37.0%

310 pass / 527 run

Plays / game

69.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Kane Wommack
South Alabama
2025
Major Applewhite
South Alabama
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Kane Wommack → Major Applewhite. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBiloxi, MS
Height6'3"
Weight273 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 South Alabama DL2 #13680 #13604 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 South Alabama DL2 #12471 #12391 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Alabama Sun Belt DL 2 No. 18 | 6-3 | 273 lb | Biloxi, MS
2024 South Alabama Sun Belt DL 2 No. 18 | 6-3 | 273 lb | Biloxi, MS
2023 South Alabama Sun Belt DL 2 No. 18 | 6-3 | 273 lb | Biloxi, MS