cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / River Helms /Georgia Southern

River Helms

TE · Georgia Southern · Sr · #87

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

4 REC YDS · 1 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia Southern for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia Southern for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Georgia Southern

Returning around him

  • 92% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (17 in / 18 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia Southern · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #93 · 2026 recruiting class #80

TE · GEORGIA SOUTHERN · SUN BELT

River Helms

  • 4
  • #87
  • 6-4 | 230 lb
  • Lester, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

5

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 21st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3708

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
2892023
4.02025

-99%

Sharp dropoff (-99%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#555 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey87
Measurements6-4 | 230 lb
HometownLester, AL
Primary teamGeorgia Southern

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 555 recruit
Composite rating 0.8770 HighSchool
Signed with Western Kentucky 2021
Origin West Limestone Lester, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8770 No. 555 recruit | HighSchool | Western Kentucky

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3708Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3559Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Western Kentucky

Composite

0.8770

#555 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on River Helms

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about River Helms

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

River Helms's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia Southern, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3708 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 1 1 rec TD | #406/475 (15th pct)
Receiving yards 4 4.0 per catch | #455/475 (4th pct)
Scrimmage yards 4 Total offensive yardage | #455/475 (4th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
1 15th
YDS
4 4th
YPR
4.0 8th
TD
1 71st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 14-42@ Fresno State144.014Season-high 4 yds
Total144.014
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Western Kentucky8-5HC: Tyson Helton · Pass-leaning
2025Georgia Southern7-6HC: Clay Helton · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia Southern144.01--
2023Western Kentucky2228913.13--
Career2 loaded seasons2329312.74--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.3% 11.5% pass-game share | #60/468 (87th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #140/475 (71st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 1 #406/475 15th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 4 #455/475 4th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #140/475 71st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 4.0 #439/475 8th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 11.5% #60/468 87th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 4 #453/475 5th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.5% #4/468 99th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.1% #36/468 93rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 6.9% #23/468 95th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 6.3% #40/468 92nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 5.3% #132/468 72nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #401/468 15th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Road1g1.04.04.01.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Losses1g1.04.04.01.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g1.04.04.01.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

5Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (0th).

Rec TDs#126 / 175 · 21st pct
1rece
Rec yards#176 / 175 · 0th pct
4rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
1rece
Yards / catch#176 / 175 · 0th pct
4.0rece
Long catch#176 / 175 · 0th pct
4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
River HelmsGeorgia SouthernBryce CaufieldOregon State· 60% simHayden HansenFlorida· 57% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 53% sim
Rec TDs
21
Helms
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Fortenberry
Rec yards
0
Helms
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
58
Fortenberry
Receptions
0
Helms
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
75
Fortenberry
Yards / catch
0
Helms
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
26
Fortenberry
Long catch
0
Helms
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
32
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Clay Helton

Pass share

48.9%

429 pass / 448 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.6%

325 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern
2025
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern

Played his entire career under Clay Helton.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLester, AL
Height6'4"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey87

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Western Kentucky TE4 #3708 #3559 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Western Kentucky TE4 #1279 #1445 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Western Kentucky TE4 #4024 #3819 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Western Kentucky TE4 #4576 #4622 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia Southern Sun Belt TE 4 No. 87 | 6-4 | 230 lb | Lester, AL
2024 Western Kentucky Conference USA TE 4 No. 87 | 6-4 | 230 lb | Lester, AL
2023 Western Kentucky Conference USA TE 4 No. 87 | 6-4 | 230 lb | Lester, AL
2022 Western Kentucky Conference USA TE 4 No. 87 | 6-4 | 230 lb | Lester, AL
2021 Western Kentucky Conference USA TE 4 No. 87 | 6-4 | 230 lb | Lester, AL