cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Riley Nowakowski /Indiana

Riley Nowakowski

TE · Indiana · Sr · #37

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

387 REC YDS · 32 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Pittsburgh — Rd 5, Pick 29, #169 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Pittsburgh2026 NFL rookie season

#169Rd 5 · Pick 29
Pittsburgh2026 NFL rookie season

TE · INDIANA · BIG TEN

Riley Nowakowski

  • 4
  • #37
  • 6-2 | 243 lb
  • Milwaukee, WI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

67

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 77th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2209

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Wisconsin · TE

2024

Wisconsin · TE

2025

Indiana · TE

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 5, Pick 29 · #169 overall · Pittsburgh

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
57.02023
74.02024
3872025

+579%

Up 579% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 &middot; #169
Pittsburgh &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey37
Measurements6-2 | 243 lb
HometownMilwaukee, WI
Primary teamIndiana

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2209Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2800Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (387).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 5, Pick 29

#169 overall · Pittsburgh

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Riley Nowakowski

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "National powerhouse Indiana Hoosiers and Miami Hurricanes clash in a shocking na"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief -100 · "Meanwhile three former Badgers were selected: - WR Skyler Bell (Round 4, pick 12"RivalsNational: 2 mentions · belief -50 · "I want to be transparent: I have spent an embarrassing number of hours on this. "National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Riley Nowakowski

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.1

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #286 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 46th

Why it matters

#286 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.1 yards per reception (32 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.1 (46th)

HIGH · n=32 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#312 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 12 vs Wisconsin — 65 ypr

Result W 31-7

The week the volume broke through — put up 65 yds vs Wisconsin.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 14g
387Rec yards
32Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
27.6Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
387Rec yards
32Receptions
2Rec TDs

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Riley Nowakowski already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #2209 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 32 2 rec TD | #42/475 (91st pct)
Receiving yards 387 12.1 per catch | #40/475 (92nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 389 Total offensive yardage | #40/475 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
32 91st
YDS
387 92nd
YPR
12.1 75th
TD
2 84th

Rushing

CAR
2 68th
YDS
2 43rd
YPC
1.0 40th
TD
2 98th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-14vs Old Dominion2157.509
Wk 2W 56-9vs Kennesaw State11414.0014
Wk 4W 63-10vs Illinois14343.0143
Wk 5W 20-15@ Iowa144.004
Wk 7W 30-20@ Oregon3113.706
Wk 8W 38-13vs Michigan State35418.0039
Wk 9W 56-6vs UCLA3175.706
Wk 10W 55-10@ Maryland22211.0019
Wk 11W 27-24@ Penn State35117.0029
Wk 12W 31-7vs Wisconsin46516.3137Season-high 65 yds
Wk 15W 13-10@ Ohio State22010.0011
BowlW 38-3vs Alabama33612.0031
BowlW 56-22vs Oregon2189.0013
BowlW 27-21vs Miami2178.509
Total3238712.8243
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Wisconsin7-6HC: Luke Fickell · Balanced
2024Wisconsin5-7HC: Luke Fickell · Run-leaning
2025Indiana16-0HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Indiana3238712.12--
2024Wisconsin11746.70--
2023Wisconsin7578.11--
Career3 loaded seasons5051810.43--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.9% 9.4% pass-game share | #106/468 (78th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #79/475 (84th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 32 #42/475 91st pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 387 #40/475 92nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #79/475 84th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 12.1 #119/475 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 9.4% #106/468 78th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Rushing Carries 2 #20/59 68th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Rush TD 2 #2/62 98th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing yards 2 #31/53 43rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing LONG 1 #39/50 24th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Rushing Yards / carry 1.0 #33/53 40th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 43 #59/475 88th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 5.0% #147/468 69th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.9% #131/468 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 3.7% #149/468 68th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.7% #211/468 55th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.6% #209/468 56th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 3.5% #168/468 64th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.2% #54/468 89th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home9g2.331.014.90.2
Road5g2.221.69.10.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins14g2.327.612.80.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-78g1.919.812.70.1
Weeks 8+6g2.838.213.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

67Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (92nd).

Rush TDs#2 / 33 · 92nd pct
2rush
Rec yards#40 / 175 · 77th pct
387rece
Receptions#42 / 175 · 75th pct
32rece
Yards / catch#49 / 175 · 71st pct
12.1rece
Long catch#53 / 175 · 69th pct
43rece
Rec TDs#76 / 175 · 43rd pct
2rece
Rush yards#18 / 33 · 42nd pct
2rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Riley NowakowskiIndianaJyrin JohnsonBowling Green· 91% simJett CarpenterNevada· 91% simHunter TiptonMiddle Tennessee· 86% sim
Rush TDs
92
Nowakowski
Rec yards
77
Nowakowski
88
Johnson
74
Carpenter
81
Tipton
Receptions
75
Nowakowski
86
Johnson
80
Carpenter
90
Tipton
Yards / catch
71
Nowakowski
79
Johnson
51
Carpenter
47
Tipton
Long catch
69
Nowakowski
59
Johnson
71
Carpenter
58
Tipton
Rec TDs
43
Nowakowski
43
Johnson
43
Carpenter
43
Tipton
Rush yards
42
Nowakowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyrick James’s 2021 season.

Tyrick James

82%match

Tulane · 2021

#2

Tyler Neville

Virginia · 2024

78%
#3

Justin Ford

Louisville · 2022

70%
#4

Dylan Wade

Maryland · 2024

68%
#5

Lance Mason

Wisconsin · 2025

All-Big Ten
60%

Matches Tyrick on

EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume
Height

Differs from Tyrick on

TD rate (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Treyton Welch's senior season at Wyoming (2023).

Treyton Welch

79%match

Wyoming · 2023

#2

Bru McCoy

Tennessee · 2024

77%
#3

Josh Cuevas

Alabama · 2025

NFL Rd 5
74%
#4

Lance Mason

Wisconsin · 2025

All-Big Ten
67%
#5

Bryce Kennon

Charlotte · 2024

72%

Matches Treyton on

Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
Height

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Curt Cignetti

Pass share

38.7%

404 pass / 641 run

Plays / game

65.3

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

275 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Tom Allen
Indiana
2024
Curt Cignetti
Indiana
era →
2025
Curt Cignetti
Indiana

Coaching transition mid-career: Tom Allen → Curt Cignetti. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMilwaukee, WI
Height6'2"
Weight243 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey37

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Indiana | Big Ten TE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wisconsin TE4 #2209 #2800 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Wisconsin TE4 #2175 #2234 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Wisconsin TE4 #3520 #3429 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Wisconsin TE4 #3399 #3312 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Indiana Big Ten TE 4 No. 37 | 6-2 | 243 lb | Milwaukee, WI
2024 Wisconsin Big Ten TE 4 No. 37 | 6-2 | 243 lb | Milwaukee, WI
2023 Wisconsin Big Ten TE 4 No. 37 | 6-2 | 243 lb | Milwaukee, WI
2022 Wisconsin Big Ten TE 4 No. 37 | 6-2 | 243 lb | Milwaukee, WI
2021 Wisconsin Big Ten TE 4 No. 37 | 6-2 | 243 lb | Milwaukee, WI