CFB Zeitgeist Score
21
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 50th percentile.
Rickie Collins
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Rickie Collins arrives at Syracuse with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
1,042PASS YDS6PASS TD126RUSH YDS
PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP
-42
perception vs production percentile · 2025
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Kennesaw State
2025Syracuse
2026Kennesaw State
QB · SYRACUSE · ACC
Rickie Collins
- 2
- #10
- 6-2 | 210 lb
- Baton Rouge, LA
Heisman Heat
#359
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025+34633%
Up 34633% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9167 | No. 231 recruit | HighSchool | LSU |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Syracuse -> Kennesaw State | 4-star | Immediate |
| 2025 | LSU -> Syracuse | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to LSU
Composite
0.9167
#231 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Rickie Collins
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- National · n=6
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Rickie Collins
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Third-down snap share
60%
rate
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 1
National rank #59 of 93
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 1 37th
Why it matters
#59 of 93 P4 + Notre Dame QBs in 3rd-down snap share — on the field for 60% of third-down plays.
Vs cohort
This player 60% (37th)
MODERATE cohort 93
- Also strong
- Yards per attempt#71 / 72
- TD : INT ratio#71 / 72
- ESPN QBR (season average)#89 / 92
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 7g
1,042Pass yards
6Pass TDs
10INT
Per game
148.9Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,935Pass yards
11Pass TDs
19INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,042): needs 326.3/game over remaining 6.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,042): needs 493/game over remaining 6.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 6): needs 3.2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 6.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 6): needs 4.8/game over remaining 6.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Rickie Collins's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Syracuse, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
97 64th
ATT
181 68th
CMP%
53.6% 24th
Y/A
5.8 27th
Passing Production
YDS
1,042 63rd
TD
6 66th
INT
10 8th
Rushing
CAR
54 72nd
YDS
126 71st
YPC
2.3 42nd
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 7 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | W 66-24vs Colgate | 4/6 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 10.8 | 64.1 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-21@ Clemson | 3/8 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 4.3 | 20.4 | |
| Wk 5 | L 3-38vs Duke | 24/37 | 229 | 0 | 1 | 6.2 | 20.1 | |
| Wk 6 | L 18-31@ SMU | 22/45 | 279 | 1 | 3 | 6.2 | 37.7 | Season-high 279 yds · 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 8 | L 13-30vs Pittsburgh | 15/31 | 126 | 2 | 3 | 4.1 | 26.5 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 9 | L 16-41@ Georgia Tech | 17/29 | 224 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 | 36.1 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-38@ Miami | 12/25 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 3.4 | 22.7 | |
| Total | 97/181 | 1042 | 6 | 10 | 6.1 | 32.5 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023LSU10-3HC: Brian Kelly · Balanced
2024LSU9-4HC: Brian Kelly · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2025Syracuse3-9HC: Fran Brown · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,042 | #141/382 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 6 | #141/407 | 66th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 97 | #138/383 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 53.6% | #293/383 | 24th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 5.8 | #279/382 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 126 | #118/408 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.17 | #162/200 | 20th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 191 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 44.1% | #125/428 | 71st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 181 | #130/407 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 10 | #377/407 | 8th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 54 | #114/408 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 24 | #145/391 | 63rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.3 | #236/407 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 69.7% | #141/428 | 67th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 69.4% | #48/428 | 89th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 60.0% | #101/428 | 77th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 46.7% | #104/428 | 76th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 33.3% | #147/428 | 66th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 30.7% | #160/428 | 63rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 13.5% | #120/428 | 72nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.24 | #73/140 | 49th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 36 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 7 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 140 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.7 |
| Road4g | 156 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 1.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 49.5 | 1.0 | 7.6 | 0.5 |
| Losses5g | 189 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 152 | 0.8 | 6.9 | 1.2 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 145 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 1.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
21Below cohort
Concern: completion % (7th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds56%of completions
37 comp5.8 yds avg
Middle
10–19 yds33%of completions
22 comp13.6 yds avg5 TD
Deep
20+ yds11%of completions
7 comp30.7 yds avg
Overall 52.8% completion on 125 attempts.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.17Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.24Low (p25–p50) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Rickie CollinsSyracuseLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 75% simRyan BrownePurdue· 74% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 73% sim
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Interceptions
Yards / att
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bryson Lucero’s 2020 season.
Bryson Lucero
63%match
#2
Bryson Barnes
68%
#3
Garret Rangel
63%
#4
Behren Morton
NFL Rd 7
63%
#5
Brennan Armstrong
63%
Matches Bryson on
Height
Yards / attempt
Differs from Bryson on
Rush usage (higher)
Class year (higher)
Weight (lower)
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Ross Bowers’s path through Northern Illinois.
Ross Bowers
88%match
#2
DJ Williams
86%
#3
CJ Ogbonna
86%
#4
Aidan Armenta
85%
#5
Kirk Francis
83%
Matches Ross on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kirk Francis's junior season at Tulsa (2025).
Kirk Francis
56%match
#2
Malachi Nelson
56%
#3
Jiya Wright
51%
#4
Brennan Armstrong
All-ACC
51%
#5
Ashton Daniels
All-ACC
48%
Matches Kirk on
Height
Differs from Kirk on
Rush usage (higher)
INT rate (higher)
Completion % (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Fran Brown
Pass share
48.6%
408 pass / 432 run
Plays / game
70.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.2%
379 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Nunzio Campanile
Syracuse
2024era →
Fran Brown
Syracuse
2025
Fran Brown
Syracuse
Coaching transition mid-career: Nunzio Campanile → Fran Brown. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBaton Rouge, LA
Height6'2"
Weight210 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSyracuse
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.