cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Richie Hagarty /Northwestern

Richie Hagarty

DL · Northwestern · Sr · #52

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

14 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Northwestern for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Northwestern for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Northwestern

Returning around him

  • 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Northwestern players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +9 net (17 in / 8 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Northwestern · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #57 · 2026 recruiting class #66

DL · NORTHWESTERN · BIG TEN

Richie Hagarty

  • 4
  • #52
  • 6-3 | 250 lb
  • New Palestine, IN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

34

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11933

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2069 national
CFB
College
Northwestern
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey52
Measurements6-3 | 250 lb
HometownNew Palestine, IN
Primary teamNorthwestern

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2069 recruit
Composite rating 0.8181 HighSchool
Signed with Miami (OH) 2019
Origin Cathedral Indianapolis, IN, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8181 No. 2069 recruit | HighSchool | Miami (OH)

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11933Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11963Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Miami (OH)

Composite

0.8181

#2069 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Richie Hagarty

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Richie Hagarty

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
14Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
26Tackles
1.9Tackles for loss
0.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 14): needs 11/game over remaining 6.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 14): needs 14.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 0.9/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 1.6/game over remaining 6.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Richie Hagarty is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Northwestern's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11933 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.5 sacks | 1.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 14 4 solo | #2476/4942 (50th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
14 50th
SOLO
4 34th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
2 66th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2W 42-7vs Western Illinois310.50.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 3L 14-34vs Oregon100.00.00
Wk 5W 17-14vs UCLA310.00.00
Wk 6W 42-7vs UL Monroe200.50.50
Wk 7W 22-21@ Penn State100.00.00
Wk 8W 19-0vs Purdue200.00.00
Wk 9L 21-28@ Nebraska220.00.00
Total1441.00.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Northwestern8-5HC: David Braun · Run-leaning
2025Northwestern7-6HC: David Braun · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Northwestern1441.00.5------
2023Northwestern31133.02.51----
Career2 loaded seasons45174.03.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 14 #2476/4942 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 4 #3005/4584 34th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.20.10.0
Road2g1.50.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g2.20.20.10.0
Losses2g1.50.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.00.20.10.0
Weeks 8+2g2.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

34Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (4th).

QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Tackles#2476 / 2975 · 16th pct
14defe
Solo tackles#2803 / 2975 · 4th pct
4defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Richie HagartyNorthwesternBlake FletcherAir Force· 45% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 43% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 42% sim
QB hurries
72
Hagarty
92
Fletcher
88
Parker
82
Davey
Sacks
51
Hagarty
24
Fletcher
80
Parker
63
Davey
Tackles for loss
28
Hagarty
28
Fletcher
87
Parker
91
Davey
Passes defended
18
Hagarty
67
Fletcher
18
Parker
18
Davey
Tackles
16
Hagarty
99
Fletcher
98
Parker
99
Davey
Solo tackles
4
Hagarty
91
Fletcher
96
Parker
99
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kobe Hilton’s 2022 season.

Kobe Hilton

90%match

Miami (OH) · 2022

#2

Roderick Daniels

Kennesaw State · 2025

86%
#3

Nico Davillier

Arkansas · 2024

86%
#4

Jason Mercier

Florida International · 2021

86%
#5

Ben Frye

Duke · 2021

86%

Matches Kobe on

Sack rate
Weight
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Fernando Sanchez III's graduate season at Central Michigan (2025).

Fernando Sanchez III

89%match

Central Michigan · 2025

#2

Brandon George

Pittsburgh · 2024

89%
#3

Levani Damuni

Utah · 2025

89%
#4

Isaiah Bagnah

BYU · 2024

88%
#5

Matt Jones

Baylor · 2024

87%

Matches Fernando on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

David Braun

Pass share

46.0%

378 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

63.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.1%

255 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
David Braun
Northwestern
2025
David Braun
Northwestern

Played his entire career under David Braun.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNew Palestine, IN
Height6'3"
Weight250 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey52

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Northwestern DL4 #11933 #11963 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Northwestern DL4 #9133 #9489 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Northwestern Big Ten DL 4 No. 52 | 6-3 | 250 lb | New Palestine, IN
2024 Northwestern Big Ten DL 4 No. 52 | 6-3 | 250 lb | New Palestine, IN
2023 Northwestern Big Ten DL 4 No. 52 | 6-3 | 250 lb | New Palestine, IN