cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Reed Harris /Boston College

Reed Harris

WR · Boston College · So · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

673 REC YDS · 39 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Boston College → Arizona State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Arizona State

2025Boston College
2026Arizona State

WR · BOSTON COLLEGE · ACC

Reed Harris

  • 2
  • #4
  • 6-5 | 217 lb
  • Great Falls, MT

CFB Zeitgeist Score

69

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2897

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
2.02023
6732025

+33550%

Up 33550% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#693 national
CFB
College
Boston College
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey4
Measurements6-5 | 217 lb
HometownGreat Falls, MT
Primary teamBoston College

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 693 recruit
Composite rating 0.8767 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Great Falls Great Falls, MT, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8767 No. 693 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arizona State 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Boston College -> Arizona State 4-star | 0.9400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2897Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2711Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8767

#693 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Reed Harris

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "BYU football game plan target: Reed Harris of Arizona State &nbsp;&nbsp; USA Tod"Own fansNational: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • National · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Reed Harris

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

17.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #36 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 93rd

Why it matters

#36 of 531 All FBS WRs at 17.3 yards per reception (39 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 17.3 (93th)

HIGH · n=39 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#105 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 3 at Stanford — 141 ypr

Result L 20-30

The week the volume broke through — put up 141 yds at Stanford.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
673Rec yards
39Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
61.2Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
795.4Rec yards
46Receptions
6Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 673): needs 13.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 673): needs 163.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 39): needs 10.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 39): needs 20.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Reed Harris's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Boston College, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2897 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 39 5 rec TD | #192/1110 (83rd pct)
Receiving yards 673 17.3 per catch | #112/1107 (90th pct)
Scrimmage yards 669 Total offensive yardage | #112/1107 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
39 83rd
YDS
673 90th
YPR
17.3 88th
TD
5 91st

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
-4 10th
YPC
-4.0 7th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 66-10vs Fordham22311.5117
Wk 2L 40-42@ Michigan State23216.0118
Wk 3L 20-30@ Stanford714120.1046141-yard receiving day
Wk 5L 24-28vs California45413.5026
Wk 6L 7-48@ Pittsburgh23517.5024
Wk 8L 23-38vs UConn35217.3139
Wk 9L 24-38@ Louisville45313.3017
Wk 10L 10-25vs Notre Dame22814.0125
Wk 11L 13-45vs SMU68614.3025
Wk 12L 34-36vs Georgia Tech514228.4157Season-high 142 yds
Wk 14W 34-12@ Syracuse22713.5021
Total3967316.3557
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Boston College7-6HC: Jeff Hafley · Run-leaning
2025Boston College2-10HC: Bill O'Brien · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Boston College3967317.35--
2023Boston College122.00--
Career2 loaded seasons4067516.95--
SeasonTeam
2025Boston College1-4------
2023Boston College----------
Career2 loaded seasons1-4------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.8% 15.1% pass-game share | #240/1137 (79th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 39 #192/1110 83rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 673 #112/1107 90th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 17.3 #134/1106 88th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.1% #240/1137 79th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -4 #358/397 10th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -4.0 #366/393 7th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 57 #198/1105 82nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.6% #147/1137 87th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.8% #192/1137 83rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.2% #121/1137 89th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.8% #156/1137 86th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.0% #148/1137 87th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.6% #338/1137 70th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.764.216.50.7
Road5g3.457.616.10.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g2.025.012.50.5
Losses9g3.969.217.20.4

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.457.015.70.4
Weeks 8+6g3.764.716.80.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

69Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (92nd). Strength: rec yards (80th). Concern: rush yards (8th).

Yards / catch#44 / 558 · 92nd pct
17.3rece
Rec yards#112 / 558 · 80th pct
673rece
Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Long catch#177 / 558 · 68th pct
57rece
Receptions#192 / 558 · 65th pct
39rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#260 / 287 · 9th pct
-4rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Reed HarrisBoston CollegeHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 86% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 83% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 83% sim
Yards / catch
92
Harris
78
III
84
McMillan
80
Jr.
Rec yards
80
Harris
94
III
96
McMillan
96
Jr.
Rec TDs
78
Harris
68
III
57
McMillan
68
Jr.
Long catch
68
Harris
65
III
65
McMillan
96
Jr.
Receptions
65
Harris
90
III
90
McMillan
93
Jr.
Rush TDs
39
Harris
39
III
39
Jr.
Rush yards
9
Harris
20
III
12
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Damien Alford’s 2023 season.

Damien Alford

73%match

Syracuse · 2023

#2

Dalton Stroman

App State · 2025

All-Sun Belt
73%
#3

Nick Mardner

Hawai'i · 2021

70%
#4

Hayden Eligon II

Northwestern · 2025

70%
#5

Leland Smith

San José State · 2025

69%

Matches Damien on

Height
Weight
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Damien on

Class year (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Dennis Houston’s path through Western Illinois.

Dennis Houston

92%match

Western Illinois · 2021

#2

Isaiah Alston

James Madison · 2025

87%
#3

Nick Mardner

Cincinnati · 2022

86%
#4

Brad Rozner

NC State · 2023

82%
#5

Kentron Poitier

Florida State · 2024

79%

Matches Dennis on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Shorter's junior season at Florida (2022).

Justin Shorter

63%match

Florida · 2022

NFL Rd 5
#2

Devontez Walker

North Carolina · 2023

All-ACCNFL Rd 4
60%
#3

Nyck Harbor

South Carolina · 2025

59%
#4

Corey Gammage

Marshall · 2022

57%
#5

Chris Marshall

Boise State · 2025

57%

Matches Justin on

Total EPA (college ability)
Height

Differs from Justin on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill O'Brien

Pass share

54.8%

454 pass / 374 run

Plays / game

69.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.9%

349 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jeff Hafley
Boston College
2025
Bill O'Brien
Boston College
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Hafley → Bill O'Brien. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGreat Falls, MT
Height6'5"
Weight217 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Boston College WR2 #2897 #2711 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Boston College WR2 #4256 #4327 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boston College ACC WR 2 No. 4 | 6-5 | 217 lb | Great Falls, MT
2024 Boston College ACC WR 2 No. 4 | 6-5 | 217 lb | Great Falls, MT
2023 Boston College ACC WR 2 No. 4 | 6-5 | 217 lb | Great Falls, MT