cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Quaron Adams /California

Quaron Adams

WR · California · Jr · #18

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

273 REC YDS · 20 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to California for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to California for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · California

Returning around him

  • 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 California player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (32 in / 36 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

California · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #36 · 2026 recruiting class #69

WR · CALIFORNIA · ACC

Quaron Adams

  • 3
  • #18
  • 5-7 | 170 lb
  • Phoenix, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

35

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 59th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3169

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#826 national
CFB
College
California
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey18
Measurements5-7 | 170 lb
HometownPhoenix, AZ
Primary teamCalifornia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 826 recruit
Composite rating 0.8674 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Chandler Chandler, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8674 No. 826 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination California 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 19, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 South Dakota -> California 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2024 Iowa State -> South Dakota 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#3169Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2901Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8674

#826 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Quaron Adams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Quaron Adams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.7

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #185 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 65th

Why it matters

#185 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.7 yards per reception (20 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.7 (65th)

MODERATE · n=20 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#420 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 vs SMU — 65 ypr

Result W 38-35

The week the volume broke through — put up 65 yds vs SMU.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
273Rec yards
20Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
27.3Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
354.9Rec yards
26Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 273): needs 142.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 273): needs 242.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 20): needs 13.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 20): needs 20/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Quaron Adams's story is about how role and output meet each other. For California, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3169 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 20 1 rec TD | #417/1110 (63rd pct)
Receiving yards 273 13.7 per catch | #383/1107 (65th pct)
Scrimmage yards 290 Total offensive yardage | #383/1107 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
20 63rd
YDS
273 65th
YPR
13.7 65th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
4 74th
YDS
17 61st
YPC
4.3 48th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
21 27th
KR AVG
21.0 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 35-3vs Texas Southern23819.0025
Wk 3W 27-14vs Minnesota12020.0020
Wk 4L 0-34@ San Diego State11616.0016
Wk 8W 21-18vs North Carolina11818.0018
Wk 9L 34-42@ Virginia Tech144.004
Wk 10L 21-31vs Virginia133.003
Wk 11W 29-26@ Louisville13939.0039
Wk 13L 10-31@ Stanford11515.0015
Wk 14W 38-35vs SMU56513.0132Season-high 65 yds
BowlL 31-35@ Hawai'i6559.2017
Total2027315.6139
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025California2027313.71--
Career1 loaded season2027313.71--
SeasonTeam
2025California41721----
Career1 loaded season41721----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.0% 5.5% pass-game share | #826/1137 (27th pct)
Return yards 21 0 return TD | #174/238 (27th pct)
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 20 #417/1110 63rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 273 #383/1107 65th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.7 #389/1106 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 21 #174/238 27th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 5.5% #826/1137 27th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 17 #154/397 61st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 9 #182/346 48th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 4.3 #205/393 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 4 #108/407 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 39 #472/1105 57th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 21.0 #88/236 63rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 1 #169/243 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 1 #182/237 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.0% #509/1137 55th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.7% #420/1137 63rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.2% #526/1137 54th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.0% #610/1137 46th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 2.4% #947/1137 17th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.3% #871/1137 23rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.6% #133/1137 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.028.814.60.2
Road5g2.025.816.60.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g2.036.021.80.2
Losses5g2.018.69.40.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.532.216.10.0
Weeks 8+6g1.724.015.30.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

35Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec tds (23rd).

Yards / catch#228 / 558 · 59th pct
13.7rece
Rush yards#124 / 287 · 56th pct
17rush
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rec yards#383 / 558 · 31st pct
273rece
Long catch#393 / 558 · 29th pct
39rece
Receptions#417 / 558 · 24th pct
20rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Quaron AdamsCaliforniaJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 63% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 61% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 60% sim
Yards / catch
59
Adams
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
9
III
Rush yards
56
Adams
76
Gibson
89
Jr.
6
III
Rush TDs
39
Adams
39
Gibson
39
Jr.
39
III
Rec yards
31
Adams
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
70
III
Long catch
29
Adams
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
16
III
Receptions
24
Adams
92
Gibson
94
Jr.
92
III
Rec TDs
24
Adams
7
Gibson
24
Jr.
24
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jah'Marae Sheread’s 2020 season.

Jah'Marae Sheread

84%match

Texas State · 2020

#2

Tyrin Smith

UTEP · 2023

83%
#3

Erik Brooks

Fresno State · 2022

82%
#4

Erik Brooks

Fresno State · 2021

78%
#5

Alred Luke

UL Monroe · 2023

77%

Matches Jah'Marae on

Height
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Jah'Marae on

Reception volume (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Alred Luke's sophomore season at UL Monroe (2023).

Alred Luke

79%match

UL Monroe · 2023

#2

Zachary Dixon

Georgia State · 2021

77%
#3

BJ Busbee

San Diego State · 2021

73%
#4

Erik Brooks

Fresno State · 2021

72%
#5

Ta'Zhawn Henry

Houston · 2022

72%

Matches Alred on

TD rate
Weight
Height

Differs from Alred on

Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Justin Wilcox

Pass share

57.0%

502 pass / 379 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

353 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Justin Wilcox
California

Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPhoenix, AZ
Height5'7"
Weight170 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Iowa State WR3 #3169 #2901 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Iowa State WR3 #3901 #3981 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 California ACC WR 3 No. 18 | 5-7 | 170 lb | Phoenix, AZ
2023 Iowa State Big 12 WR 3 No. 18 | 5-7 | 170 lb | Phoenix, AZ
2022 Iowa State Big 12 WR 3 No. 18 | 5-7 | 170 lb | Phoenix, AZ