cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Peyton Higgins /Troy

Peyton Higgins

WR · Troy · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

301 REC YDS · 36 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Troy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Troy for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Troy

Returning around him

  • 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (14 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Troy · Last season: 8-6 · Talent rank #99 · 2026 recruiting class #82

WR · TROY · SUN BELT

Peyton Higgins

  • 4
  • #2
  • 5-10 | 180 lb
  • Florence, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

30

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by receptions at the 60th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1995

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
92.02022
1672023
3012024
3012025

+227%

Up 227% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1855 national
CFB
College
Troy
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements5-10 | 180 lb
HometownFlorence, AL
Primary teamTroy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1855 recruit
Composite rating 0.8259 HighSchool
Signed with Hudson Valley 2021
Origin Mars Hill Bible School Florence, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8259 No. 1855 recruit | HighSchool | Hudson Valley

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1995Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2885Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Hudson Valley

Composite

0.8259

#1855 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Peyton Higgins

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Peyton Higgins

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

301

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #391 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 26th

Why it matters

#391 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 301 yards on 36 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 301 (26th)

HIGH · n=36 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531
  • Yards per reception#487 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 at Southern Miss — 51 receiving_yards_total

Result W 28-18

The week the volume broke through — put up 51 yds at Southern Miss.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 14g
301Rec yards
36Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
21.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
301Rec yards
36Receptions
1Rec TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Peyton Higgins's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Troy, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1995 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 239 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 36 1 rec TD | #218/1110 (80th pct)
Receiving yards 301 8.4 per catch | #360/1107 (68th pct)
Scrimmage yards 298 Total offensive yardage | #360/1107 (68th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

All-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
36 80th
YDS
301 68th
YPR
8.4 19th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
-3 12th
YPC
-1.5 13th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
141 69th
KR AVG
17.6 37th
PR YDS
98 74th
PR AVG
5.8 31st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 38-20vs Nicholls22110.5014
Wk 2L 16-27@ Clemson144.004
Wk 3L 7-28vs Memphis200.005
Wk 4W 21-17@ Buffalo2136.507
Wk 6W 31-24vs South Alabama
Wk 7W 48-41@ Texas State44010.0019
Wk 8W 37-14@ UL Monroe3299.7011
Wk 9W 35-23vs Louisiana3227.3010
Wk 10L 10-23vs Arkansas State3217.008
Wk 12L 0-33@ Old Dominion144.004
Wk 13W 31-19vs Georgia State5489.6021
Wk 14W 28-18@ Southern Miss6518.5116Season-high 51 yds
Wk 15L 14-31@ James Madison11717.0017
BowlL 13-17@ Jacksonville State33110.3020
Total363018.0121
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Troy12-2HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
2023Troy11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Balanced
2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Troy8-6HC: Gerad Parker · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Troy363018.41--
2024Troy313019.71--
2023Troy1216713.90--
2022Troy59218.41--
Career4 loaded seasons8486110.23--
SeasonTeam
2025Troy2-314198--
2024Troy1-3258--
2023Troy1314----
2022Troy----35----
Career4 loaded seasons4-3215106--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.0% 11.2% pass-game share | #429/1137 (62nd pct)
Return yards 239 0 return TD | #74/238 (69th pct)
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 36 #218/1110 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 301 #360/1107 68th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 8.4 #899/1106 19th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 141 #74/238 69th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 98 #60/224 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.2% #429/1137 62nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -1.5 #344/393 13th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -3 #350/397 12th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 21 #741/1105 33rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 17.6 #149/236 37th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 17 #27/237 89th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 8 #64/243 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 5.8 #154/222 31st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.4% #278/1137 76th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.2% #438/1137 62nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.0% #363/1137 68th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.6% #442/1137 61st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.2% #526/1137 54th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.2% #494/1137 57th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.5% #284/1137 75th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.518.76.90.0
Road8g2.623.68.80.1

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g3.128.08.90.1
Losses6g1.812.87.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.015.66.90.0
Weeks 8+7g3.127.49.00.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

30Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: long catch (4th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Receptions#218 / 558 · 60th pct
36rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rec yards#360 / 558 · 35th pct
301rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Rush yards#256 / 287 · 10th pct
-3rush
Yards / catch#526 / 558 · 6th pct
8.4rece
Long catch#532 / 558 · 4th pct
21rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Peyton HigginsTroyMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 68% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 64% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 63% sim
Fumbles lost
81
Higgins
6
III
36
Waseem
Receptions
60
Higgins
92
III
96
Waseem
92
Gibson
Rush TDs
39
Higgins
39
III
39
Waseem
39
Gibson
Rec yards
35
Higgins
70
III
84
Waseem
74
Gibson
Rec TDs
24
Higgins
24
III
78
Waseem
7
Gibson
Rush yards
10
Higgins
6
III
4
Waseem
76
Gibson
Yards / catch
6
Higgins
9
III
21
Waseem
15
Gibson
Long catch
4
Higgins
16
III
42
Waseem
56
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyler Walton’s 2023 season.

Tyler Walton

87%match

Ohio · 2023

#2

Chandler Speights

Texas State · 2020

76%
#3

Drake Stoops

Oklahoma · 2022

80%
#4

Aron Cruickshank

Rutgers · 2022

78%
#5

Jalen Bracey

Florida International · 2023

78%

Matches Tyler on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Karim Page’s path through East Tennessee State.

Karim Page

99%match

East Tennessee State · 2025

#2

Devin Young

Maine · 2021

98%
#3

Marshel Martin

Sacramento State · 2023

97%
#4

Treyvhon Saunders

Colgate · 2025

96%
#5

Charles Brown

Texas State · 2022

93%

Matches Karim on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Billy Kemp's senior season at Nebraska (2023).

Billy Kemp

85%match

Nebraska · 2023

#2

Ryan O'Keefe

Boston College · 2023

All-AAC
82%
#3

Jairus Mack

Western Kentucky · 2025

81%
#4

Ron Cook Jr.

Buffalo · 2023

80%
#5

Tanner Knue

Eastern Michigan · 2023

All-MAC
80%

Matches Billy on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Recruiting rating

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Gerad Parker

Pass share

47.1%

431 pass / 484 run

Plays / game

65.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

17.0%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jon Sumrall
Troy
2023
Jon Sumrall
Troy
2024
Gerad Parker
Troy
era →
2025
Gerad Parker
Troy

Coaching transition mid-career: Jon Sumrall → Gerad Parker. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFlorence, AL
Height5'10"
Weight180 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Troy WR4 #1995 #2885 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Troy WR4 #1191 #1019 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Troy WR4 #1123 #927 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Troy WR4 #4612 #4762 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Troy Sun Belt WR 4 No. 2 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Florence, AL
2024 Troy Sun Belt WR 4 No. 2 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Florence, AL
2023 Troy Sun Belt WR 4 No. 2 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Florence, AL
2022 Troy Sun Belt WR 4 No. 2 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Florence, AL
2021 Troy Sun Belt WR 4 No. 2 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Florence, AL