CFB Zeitgeist Score
61
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 61st percentile.
Pearson Baldwin
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
302 REC YDS · 26 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Jacksonville State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Jacksonville State
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Jacksonville State · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #111 · 2026 recruiting class #110
TE · JACKSONVILLE STATE · CONFERENCE USA
CFB Zeitgeist Score
61
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 61st percentile.
Heisman Heat
#4634
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Pearson Baldwin's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Jacksonville State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 10-17@ UCF | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 2 | W 34-24vs Liberty | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 3 | L 34-41@ Georgia Southern | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-10vs Murray State | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 5 | L 25-42@ Southern Miss | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 7 | W 29-27@ Sam Houston | 5 | 72 | 14.4 | 0 | 23 | Season-high 72 yds |
| Wk 8 | W 38-25vs Delaware | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-21@ Middle Tennessee | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 11 | W 30-27@ UTEP | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 12 | W 35-26vs Kennesaw State | 2 | 60 | 30.0 | 0 | 52 | |
| Wk 13 | L 21-27@ Florida International | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 1 | 20 | |
| Wk 14 | W 37-34vs Western Kentucky | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 1 | 16 | |
| Bowl | W 17-13vs Troy | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Total | 26 | 302 | 10.6 | 2 | 52 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | 26 | 302 | 11.6 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Jacksonville State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 26 | 302 | 11.6 | 2 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 26 | #71/475 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 302 | #68/475 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #79/475 | 84th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.6 | #146/475 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.4% | #63/468 | 87th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 52 | #31/475 | 94th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.2% | #99/468 | 79th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.8% | #125/468 | 74th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.8% | #164/468 | 65th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 4.0% | #127/468 | 73rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.2% | #198/468 | 58th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.1% | #205/468 | 56th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 1.3 | 19.3 | 12.8 | 0.2 |
| Road7g | 2.6 | 26.6 | 8.7 | 0.1 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 1.7 | 22.0 | 11.3 | 0.1 |
| Losses4g | 2.8 | 26.0 | 9.1 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.3 | 23.3 | 9.2 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 1.7 | 23.2 | 12.2 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
Elite: long catch (84th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cooper Mathers’s 2023 season.
Cooper Mathers
Princeton Fant
Bryce Kennon
Gino Campiotti
Jackson Canaan
Matches Cooper on
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Xavier Gaines’s path through Marshall.
Xavier Gaines
Tommy Tremble
Hayden Hatten
Hayden Pittman
Jaren Kanak
Matches Xavier on
Differs from Xavier on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Roschon Johnson's junior season at Texas (2022).
Roschon Johnson
Cooper Mathers
Alec Holler
Bru McCoy
TJ Harden
Matches Roschon on
Differs from Roschon on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Charles Kelly
Pass share
33.8%
328 pass / 642 run
Plays / game
69.3
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
243 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Rich Rodriguez → Charles Kelly. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Jacksonville State | TE4 | #4634 | #5010 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Jacksonville State | TE4 | #3990 | #3708 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | TE | 4 | No. 13 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Springville, AL |
| 2024 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | TE | 4 | No. 13 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Springville, AL |
| 2023 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | TE | 4 | No. 13 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Springville, AL |