CFB Zeitgeist Score
35
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 95th percentile.
Payton Mangrum
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
182 REC YDS · 10 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to East Carolina for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · East Carolina
Returning around him
- 51% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 East Carolina player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -3 net (23 in / 26 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
East Carolina · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #78 · 2026 recruiting class #77
WR · EAST CAROLINA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Payton Mangrum
- 4
- #19
- 5-11 | 201 lb
- Greenville, SC
Heisman Heat
#2300
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025+314%
Up 314% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2-star | 0.7733 | No. 3577 recruit | HighSchool | South Carolina |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | South Carolina -> East Carolina | 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to South Carolina
Composite
0.7733
#3577 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Payton Mangrum
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Payton Mangrum
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
182Rec yards
10Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
16.5Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
215.1Rec yards
12Receptions
1Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 182): needs 259/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 182): needs 409/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 10): needs 25/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 10): needs 35/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Payton Mangrum's story is about how role and output meet each other. For East Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
10 48th
YDS
182 55th
YPR
18.2 90th
TD
1 64th
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
-3 12th
YPC
-3.0 8th
TD
0 81st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-24@ NC State | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 2 | W 56-3vs Campbell | 1 | 35 | 35.0 | 0 | 35 | |
| Wk 3 | W 38-0@ Coastal Carolina | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 4 | L 13-34vs BYU | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 5 | W 28-6vs Army | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 8 | W 41-27vs Tulsa | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 10 | W 45-14@ Temple | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 12 | W 31-27vs Memphis | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 1 | 31 | |
| Wk 13 | L 24-58@ UTSA | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 14 | W 42-3@ Florida Atlantic | 1 | 46 | 46.0 | 0 | 46 | Season-high 46 yds |
| Bowl | W 23-17vs Pittsburgh | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 10 | 182 | 18.7 | 1 | 46 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021South Carolina6-6HC: Shane Beamer · Run-leaning
2022South Carolina8-5HC: Shane Beamer · Balanced
2023South Carolina5-7HC: Shane Beamer · Balanced
2025East Carolina9-4HC: Blake Harrell · Run-leaning, fast tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | East Carolina | 10 | 182 | 18.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | South Carolina | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | South Carolina | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | South Carolina | 1 | 44 | 44.0 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 13 | 257 | 19.8 | 2 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | East Carolina | 1 | -3 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | South Carolina | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | South Carolina | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | South Carolina | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 1 | -3 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 10 | #578/1110 | 48th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 182 | #495/1107 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 18.2 | #110/1106 | 90th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.7% | #805/1137 | 29th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -3 | #350/397 | 12th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -3.0 | #363/393 | 8th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 46 | #325/1105 | 71st pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 3 | #141/237 | 41st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.7% | #844/1137 | 26th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 3.2% | #809/1137 | 29th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.1% | #783/1137 | 31st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 2.7% | #834/1137 | 27th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 2.4% | #829/1137 | 27th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.3% | #807/1137 | 29th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.2% | #374/1137 | 67th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 1.2 | 19.7 | 17.1 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 0.6 | 12.8 | 21.3 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 1.0 | 20.1 | 21.4 | 0.1 |
| Losses3g | 0.7 | 7.0 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 0.8 | 11.8 | 14.2 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 1.0 | 22.2 | 26.2 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
35Mid-pack
Elite: yards / catch (94th). Strength: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: receptions (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Payton MangrumEast CarolinaHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 51% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 47% simQue'Sean BrownDuke· 47% sim
Yards / catch
Fumbles lost
Long catch
Rush TDs
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Rush yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Blake Harrell
Pass share
44.5%
440 pass / 548 run
Plays / game
76.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.7%
343 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2022
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2023
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2025era →
Blake Harrell
East Carolina
Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Houston → Blake Harrell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGreenville, SC
Height5'11"
Weight201 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey19
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamEast Carolina
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | South Carolina | WR4 | #2300 | #2087 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
| 2023 | South Carolina | WR4 | #2447 | #2643 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | South Carolina | WR4 | #2909 | #2618 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
| 2021 | South Carolina | WR4 | #2334 | #2648 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | East Carolina | American Athletic | WR | 4 | No. 19 | 5-11 | 201 lb | Greenville, SC |
| 2024 | South Carolina | SEC | WR | 4 | No. 19 | 5-11 | 201 lb | Greenville, SC |
| 2023 | South Carolina | SEC | WR | 4 | No. 19 | 5-11 | 201 lb | Greenville, SC |
| 2022 | South Carolina | SEC | WR | 4 | No. 19 | 5-11 | 201 lb | Greenville, SC |
| 2021 | South Carolina | SEC | WR | 4 | No. 19 | 5-11 | 201 lb | Greenville, SC |