cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Patrick Smith-Young /North Texas

Patrick Smith-Young

S · North Texas · Jr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

70 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to North Texas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to North Texas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · North Texas

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +11 net (49 in / 38 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

North Texas · Last season: 12-2 (AP #23) · Talent rank #96 · 2026 recruiting class #112

S · NORTH TEXAS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Patrick Smith-Young

  • 3
  • #10
  • 5-9 | 190 lb
  • Sugar Land, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

50

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13973

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
North Texas
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey10
Measurements5-9 | 190 lb
HometownSugar Land, TX
Primary teamNorth Texas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13973Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13982Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Patrick Smith-Young

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Patrick Smith-Young

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
70Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
70Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Patrick Smith-Young is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on North Texas's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13973 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 70 42 solo | #268/4942 (95th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
70 95th
SOLO
42 96th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 51-0vs Lamar210.00.00
Wk 2W 33-30@ Western Michigan840.00.00
Wk 4W 45-38@ Army1160.00.00Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 5W 36-22vs South Alabama110.00.00
Wk 7L 36-63vs South Florida850.00.00
Wk 8W 55-17vs UTSA530.00.00
Wk 9W 54-20@ Charlotte210.00.02
Wk 10W 31-17vs Navy740.00.00
Wk 12W 53-24@ UAB430.00.00
Wk 13W 56-24@ Rice751.00.00
Wk 14W 52-25vs Temple530.00.00
Wk 15L 21-34@ Tulane860.00.00
BowlW 49-47@ San Diego State200.00.01
Total70421.00.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025North Texas12-2HC: Eric Morris · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025North Texas70421.00.03----
Career1 loaded season70421.00.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 70 #268/4942 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 42 #165/4584 96th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.70.00.00.0
Road7g6.00.10.00.4

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins11g4.90.10.00.3
Losses2g8.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g5.30.00.00.2
Weeks 8+7g5.40.10.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

50Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (94th). Strength: tackles (90th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#165 / 2975 · 94th pct
42defe
Tackles#268 / 2975 · 91st pct
70defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Patrick Smith-YoungNorth TexasTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 88% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 86% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 82% sim
Solo tackles
94
Smith-Young
100
Ra-El
87
Martin
97
Johnson
Tackles
91
Smith-Young
99
Ra-El
98
Martin
98
Johnson
Passes defended
78
Smith-Young
91
Ra-El
67
Martin
96
Johnson
Forced fumbles
47
Smith-Young
47
Ra-El
47
Martin
47
Johnson
Tackles for loss
28
Smith-Young
56
Ra-El
63
Martin
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Smith-Young
24
Ra-El
24
Martin
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Smith-Young
22
Ra-El
22
Martin
22
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Darrian Lewis’s 2023 season.

Darrian Lewis

89%match

Akron · 2023

#2

Irshaad Davis

Troy · 2023

All-Sun Belt
86%
#3

Cole Martin

UCLA · 2025

82%
#4

Jeremiah Harris

Jacksonville State · 2023

All-Conference USA
81%
#5

Jordan Vincent

New Mexico State · 2023

81%

Matches Darrian on

PD rate
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ryan Nolan's sophomore season at Texas State (2025).

Ryan Nolan

84%match

Texas State · 2025

#2

Darrian Lewis

Akron · 2023

77%
#3

Armani Marsh

Washington State · 2021

74%
#4

Zyeir Gamble

App State · 2025

74%
#5

Davon Ferguson

Bowling Green · 2021

All-MAC
74%

Matches Ryan on

Class year
Tackle volume
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eric Morris

Pass share

48.5%

475 pass / 504 run

Plays / game

69.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.9%

321 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Eric Morris
North Texas

Played his entire career under Eric Morris.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSugar Land, TX
Height5'9"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Old Dominion S3 #13973 #13982 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 North Texas American Athletic S 3 No. 10 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Sugar Land, TX
2024 Old Dominion Sun Belt S 3 No. 10 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Sugar Land, TX