cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Patrick Overmyer /UTSA

Patrick Overmyer

TE · UTSA · So · #89

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

344 REC YDS · 27 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · UTSA

Returning around him

  • 96% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (21 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107

TE · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Patrick Overmyer

  • 2
  • #89
  • 6-5 | 235 lb
  • Kingwood, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1256

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
2832024
3442025

+22%

Modest growth (22%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2046 national
CFB
College
UTSA
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class2
Jersey89
Measurements6-5 | 235 lb
HometownKingwood, TX
Primary teamUTSA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2046 recruit
Composite rating 0.8206 HighSchool
Signed with UTSA 2023
Origin Kingwood Park Humble, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8206 No. 2046 recruit | HighSchool | UTSA

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1256Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1990Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UTSA

Composite

0.8206

#2046 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Patrick Overmyer

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Patrick Overmyer

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.7

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #243 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 54th

Why it matters

#243 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.7 yards per reception (27 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.7 (54th)

MODERATE · n=27 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#357 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 vs Army — 73 ypr

Result L 24-27

The week the volume broke through — put up 73 yds vs Army.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
344Rec yards
27Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
26.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
344Rec yards
27Receptions
5Rec TDs

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Patrick Overmyer is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #1256 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 27 5 rec TD | #66/475 (86th pct)
Receiving yards 344 12.7 per catch | #57/475 (88th pct)
Scrimmage yards 367 Total offensive yardage | #57/475 (88th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
27 86th
YDS
344 88th
YPR
12.7 79th
TD
5 97th

Rushing

CAR
19 98th
YDS
23 75th
YPC
1.2 42nd
TD
1 94th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 24-42@ Texas A&M372.307
Wk 2L 36-43vs Texas State1-2-2.000
Wk 3W 48-20vs Incarnate Word263.004
Wk 4W 17-16@ Colorado State166.006
Wk 6L 21-27@ Temple177.017
Wk 7W 61-13vs Rice
Wk 8L 17-55@ North Texas166.006
Wk 10W 48-26vs Tulane46817.0044
Wk 11L 23-55@ South Florida14545.0145
Wk 12W 28-7@ Charlotte22010.0011
Wk 13W 58-24vs East Carolina35819.3037
Wk 14L 24-27vs Army67312.2240Season-high 73 yds
BowlW 57-20vs Florida International25025.0134
Total2734412.6545
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced, fast tempo
2025UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA2734412.75--
2024UTSA312839.13--
Career2 loaded seasons5862710.88--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.9% 9.3% pass-game share | #108/468 (77th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 6 Across offense and returns | #14/475 (97th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 27 #66/475 86th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 344 #57/475 88th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #14/475 97th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 12.7 #100/475 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 9.3% #108/468 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing yards 23 #14/53 75th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Carries 19 #2/59 98th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing LONG 2 #30/50 42nd pct Metricvs FBS TE
Rushing Yards / carry 1.2 #32/53 42nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Rushing Rush TD 1 #5/62 94th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 45 #50/475 90th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 15.5% #1/468 100th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 7.9% #13/468 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 6.9% #28/468 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 4.6% #99/468 79th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 4.6% #5/468 99th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 4.5% #166/468 65th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.2% #174/468 63rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g2.636.112.40.4
Road6g1.515.212.70.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g2.029.713.40.1
Losses6g2.222.711.80.7

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g1.410.66.90.3
Weeks 8+6g2.845.018.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

75All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (88th). Strength: rush yards (80th).

Rec TDs#14 / 175 · 89th pct
5rece
Rush yards#7 / 33 · 80th pct
23rush
Yards / catch#35 / 175 · 80th pct
12.7rece
Rush TDs#5 / 33 · 74th pct
1rush
Long catch#44 / 175 · 74th pct
45rece
Rec yards#57 / 175 · 68th pct
344rece
Receptions#66 / 175 · 61st pct
27rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Patrick OvermyerUTSARocky BeersColorado State· 92% simTre Williams IIINorth Texas· 92% simTrey'Dez GreenLSU· 89% sim
Rec TDs
89
Overmyer
98
Beers
89
III
98
Green
Rush yards
80
Overmyer
Yards / catch
80
Overmyer
77
Beers
77
III
84
Green
Rush TDs
74
Overmyer
Long catch
74
Overmyer
78
Beers
88
III
67
Green
Rec yards
68
Overmyer
78
Beers
75
III
83
Green
Receptions
61
Overmyer
72
Beers
69
III
77
Green

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jordan Smith’s 2022 season.

Jordan Smith

69%match

Temple · 2022

#2

Lance Mason

Wisconsin · 2025

All-Big Ten
63%
#3

Trey Knox

Arkansas · 2022

66%
#4

Kyirin Heath

Southern Miss · 2025

All-Sun Belt
65%
#5

Jordan Smith

Temple · 2023

65%

Matches Jordan on

Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Jordan on

Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Joel Wilson's sophomore season at Central Michigan (2021).

Joel Wilson

72%match

Central Michigan · 2021

All-MAC
#2

Isaac Rex

BYU · 2021

68%
#3

Izayah Cummings

Kentucky · 2021

All-Sun Belt
67%
#4

Javonte Vereen

UConn · 2025

66%
#5

Jordan Smith

Temple · 2022

66%

Matches Joel on

Height
Yards / reception

Differs from Joel on

Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Traylor

Pass share

50.7%

446 pass / 434 run

Plays / game

67.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.0%

281 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA

Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKingwood, TX
Height6'5"
Weight235 lb
Class2
PositionTE
Jersey89

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTSA TE2 #1256 #1990 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 UTSA TE2 #3428 #3112 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTSA American Athletic TE 2 No. 89 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Kingwood, TX
2024 UTSA American Athletic TE 2 No. 89 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Kingwood, TX
2023 UTSA American Athletic TE 2 No. 89 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Kingwood, TX