CFB Zeitgeist Score
69
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 79th percentile.
Owen Allen
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
749 RUSH YDS · 5 RUSH TD · 131 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Air Force for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Air Force
Returning around him
- 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -4 net (0 in / 4 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Air Force · Last season: 4-8 · 2026 recruiting class #129
RB · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Owen Allen
- 3
- #2
- 5-11 | 215 lb
- Southlake, TX
Heisman Heat
#4120
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Air Force
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (749).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Owen Allen
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Owen Allen
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
749Rush yards
131Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
68.1Rush yards
12Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
885.2Rush yards
155Carries
6Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 749): needs 0.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 749): needs 125.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 749): needs 375.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 7.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Owen Allen's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Air Force, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
131 88th
YDS
749 90th
YPC
5.7 79th
TD
5 85th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 49-13vs Bucknell | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 3 | L 30-49@ Utah State | 16 | 53 | 3.3 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 4 | L 37-49vs Boise State | 4 | 7 | 1.8 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 5 | L 35-44vs Hawai'i | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 7 | L 48-51@ UNLV | 17 | 192 | 11.3 | 2 | 43 | Season-high 192 yds |
| Wk 8 | W 24-21vs Wyoming | 10 | 105 | 10.5 | 0 | 37 | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-20vs Army | 8 | 32 | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 11 | W 26-16@ San José State | 20 | 109 | 5.5 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 12 | L 16-26@ UConn | 22 | 122 | 5.5 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 13 | L 3-20vs New Mexico | 5 | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 14 | W 42-21@ Colorado State | 25 | 107 | 4.3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Total | 131 | 749 | 5.0 | 5 | 43 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Air Force4-8HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Air Force | 131 | 749 | 5.7 | 5 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 131 | 749 | 5.7 | 5 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 749 | #77/735 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #115/739 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.7 | #152/735 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.15 | #126/362 | 65th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 131 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 17.2% | #126/738 | 83rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 131 | #90/739 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 43 | #211/733 | 71st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 21.9% | #108/738 | 86th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 21.6% | #235/738 | 68th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 21.3% | #106/738 | 86th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 15.5% | #161/738 | 78th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 11.8% | #148/738 | 80th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.9% | #527/738 | 29th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 0.7% | #536/738 | 28th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 27.7 | 4.1 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 117 | 6.0 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 81.0 | 5.8 | 0.5 |
| Losses7g | 60.7 | 4.5 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 53.2 | 4.6 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 80.5 | 5.2 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
69Solid starter
Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.15Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Owen AllenAir ForceJeremiah CobbAuburn· 91% simKamari MoultonIowa· 89% simDontae McMillanEastern Michigan· 87% sim
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Carries
Rush TDs
Long run
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Devin Neal’s 2022 season.
Devin Neal
90%match
#2
Kaytron Allen
All-Big TenNFL Rd 6
87%
#3
Rueben Owens II
86%
#4
Jase McClellan
All-SECNFL Rd 6
84%
#5
Ikaika Ragsdale
83%
Matches Devin on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Height
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Caleb Huntley’s path through Ball State.
Caleb Huntley
100%match
All-MAC
#2
CJ Evans Jr.
99%
#3
Peytton Pickett
96%
#4
Demetric Felton
NFL Rd 6
95%
#5
Oscar Adaway III
92%
Matches Caleb on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Dillon Johnson's sophomore season at Mississippi State (2021).
Dillon Johnson
84%match
#2
Israel Abanikanda
1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 5
83%
#3
Evan Hull
NFL Rd 5
83%
#4
Harrison Waylee
All-MAC
83%
#5
Nate Frazier
All-SEC
82%
Matches Dillon on
Yards / carry
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Troy Calhoun
Pass share
20.0%
163 pass / 650 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.6%
151 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
Played his entire career under Troy Calhoun.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSouthlake, TX
Height5'11"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAir Force
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Air Force | RB3 | #4120 | #4499 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.