cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Otto Tia /Utah

Otto Tia

TE · Utah · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

38 REC YDS · 2 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Utah for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Utah for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Utah

Returning around him

  • 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 3 Utah players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (17 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Utah · Last season: 11-2 (AP #15) · Talent rank #44 · 2026 recruiting class #40

TE · UTAH · BIG 12

Otto Tia

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-4 | 220 lb
  • Layton, UT

CFB Zeitgeist Score

27

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5046

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
9.02022
62.02023
38.02025

+322%

Up 322% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2488 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-4 | 220 lb
HometownLayton, UT
Primary teamUtah

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2488 recruit
Composite rating 0.8106 HighSchool
Signed with Utah State 2020
Origin Northridge Layton, UT, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8106 No. 2488 recruit | HighSchool | Utah State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Utah 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 26, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Utah State -> Utah 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5046Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5651Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Utah State

Composite

0.8106

#2488 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Otto Tia

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Otto Tia

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
38Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
19Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
247Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 38): needs 60.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 38): needs 87.5/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 2): needs 5.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 2): needs 7.1/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Otto Tia's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Utah, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5046 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 2 0 rec TD | #349/475 (27th pct)
Receiving yards 38 19.0 per catch | #302/475 (37th pct)
Scrimmage yards 38 Total offensive yardage | #302/475 (37th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
2 27th
YDS
38 37th
YPR
19.0 97th
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 63-9vs Cal Poly166.006
Wk 7W 42-10vs Arizona State13232.0032Season-high 32 yds
Total23819.0032
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Utah State10-3HC: Blake Anderson · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Utah State6-7HC: Blake Anderson · Run-leaning
2023Utah State6-7HC: Blake Anderson · Run-leaning
2025Utah11-2HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Utah23819.00--
2023Utah State56212.40--
2022Utah State199.00--
2021Utah State----------
Career4 loaded seasons810913.60--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.6% 4.8% pass-game share | #303/468 (35th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 2 #349/475 27th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 38 #302/475 37th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 19.0 #16/475 97th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 4.8% #303/468 35th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #122/475 75th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.1% #331/468 29th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 1.9% #348/468 26th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 1.8% #323/468 31st pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 1.6% #385/468 18th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #339/468 28th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #382/468 19th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.019.019.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.019.019.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.019.019.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

27Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (99th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#2 / 175 · 99th pct
19.0rece
Long catch#100 / 175 · 42nd pct
32rece
Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece
Rec yards#176 / 175 · 0th pct
38rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Otto TiaUtahLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 51% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 48% simRiley NowakowskiIndiana· 46% sim
Yards / catch
99
Tia
53
Lindenmeyer
62
DeGraaf
71
Nowakowski
Long catch
42
Tia
23
Lindenmeyer
39
DeGraaf
69
Nowakowski
Rec TDs
7
Tia
43
Lindenmeyer
43
DeGraaf
43
Nowakowski
Rec yards
0
Tia
63
Lindenmeyer
72
DeGraaf
77
Nowakowski
Receptions
0
Tia
66
Lindenmeyer
75
DeGraaf
75
Nowakowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kyle Whittingham

Pass share

39.8%

371 pass / 562 run

Plays / game

71.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.2%

289 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2022
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2023
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2025
Kyle Whittingham
Utah

Played his entire career under Kyle Whittingham.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLayton, UT
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Utah State TE4 #5046 #5651 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Utah State TE4 #3354 #3586 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Utah State TE4 #4426 #4654 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Utah State TE4 #4473 #4463 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Utah Big 12 TE 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Layton, UT
2024 Utah State Mountain West TE 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Layton, UT
2023 Utah State Mountain West TE 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Layton, UT
2022 Utah State Mountain West TE 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Layton, UT
2021 Utah State Mountain West TE 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Layton, UT