CFB Zeitgeist Score
48
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 63rd percentile.
Omari Hayes
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
515 REC YDS · 39 REC · 1 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Iowa State
2025Tulane
2026Iowa State
WR · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Omari Hayes
- 2
- #1
- 5-9 | 170 lb
- Sarasota, FL
Heisman Heat
#4976
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Tulane
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Tulane -> Iowa State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic -> Tulane | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Omari Hayes
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Omari Hayes
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
13.2
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #210 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 61st
Why it matters
#210 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.2 yards per reception (39 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 13.2 (61th)
HIGH · n=39 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#204 / 531
- Receiving TDs#402 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 5 at Tulsa — 89 ypr
Result W 31-14
The week the volume broke through — put up 89 yds at Tulsa.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 14g
515Rec yards
39Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
36.8Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
515Rec yards
39Receptions
1Rec TDs
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Omari Hayes's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulane, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
39 83rd
YDS
515 81st
YPR
13.2 61st
TD
1 64th
Returns
PR YDS
61 59th
PR AVG
4.7 25th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 23-3vs Northwestern | 9 | 74 | 8.2 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 2 | W 33-31@ South Alabama | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-27vs Duke | 4 | 69 | 17.3 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 4 | L 10-45@ Ole Miss | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 5 | W 31-14@ Tulsa | 4 | 89 | 22.3 | 0 | 29 | Season-high 89 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 26-19vs East Carolina | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-17vs Army | 3 | 41 | 13.7 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 10 | L 26-48@ UTSA | 3 | 69 | 23.0 | 1 | 42 | |
| Wk 11 | W 38-32@ Memphis | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 12 | W 35-24vs Florida Atlantic | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 13 | W 37-13@ Temple | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-0vs Charlotte | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 15 | W 34-21vs North Texas | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Bowl | L 10-41@ Ole Miss | 4 | 52 | 13.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Total | 39 | 515 | 13.9 | 1 | 42 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 39 | #192/1110 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 515 | #209/1107 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 13.2 | #428/1106 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 61 | #93/224 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.6% | #400/1137 | 65th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 42 | #407/1105 | 63rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 13 | #47/237 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 4.7 | #168/222 | 25th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.5% | #504/1137 | 56th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.0% | #327/1137 | 71st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.5% | #336/1137 | 71st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.3% | #452/1137 | 60th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.7% | #742/1137 | 35th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.7% | #696/1137 | 39th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 3.4 | 36.3 | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 2.1 | 37.3 | 18.0 | 0.1 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins11g | 2.8 | 33.8 | 12.1 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 2.7 | 47.7 | 19.3 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.3 | 45.4 | 15.8 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 2.3 | 28.1 | 12.0 | 0.1 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
48Mid-pack
Concern: rec tds (23rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Omari HayesTulaneTrent WalkerOregon State· 79% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 78% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 76% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Derius Davis’s 2021 season.
Derius Davis
81%match
NFL Rd 4
#2
Stephon Robinson
79%
#3
Dalen Cobb
78%
#4
Dante Wright
77%
#5
Anthony Gould
NFL Rd 5
77%
Matches Derius on
Yards / reception
Weight
Height
Differs from Derius on
Class year (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Julius Young’s path through Lafayette.
Julius Young
99%match
#2
Malik Murray
99%
#3
Tre Walker
98%
#4
Keith Corbin
98%
#5
Shawn Harris Jr.
97%
Matches Julius on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Tiaquelin Mims's sophomore season at Southern Miss (2023).
Tiaquelin Mims
80%match
#2
Cam'Ron Lacy
79%
#3
Zachariah Branch
1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 3 · Pk 15
75%
#4
Myles Price
74%
#5
Chris Durr Jr.
72%
Matches Tiaquelin on
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
TD rate
Differs from Tiaquelin on
Class year (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jon Sumrall
Pass share
45.8%
424 pass / 501 run
Plays / game
66.1
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
3.4%
294 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
Played his entire career under Jon Sumrall.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSarasota, FL
Height5'9"
Weight170 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTulane
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Florida Atlantic | WR2 | #4976 | #5327 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | Florida Atlantic | WR2 | #5402 | #5703 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | Florida Atlantic | WR2 | #5104 | #5311 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulane | American Athletic | WR | 2 | No. 1 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Sarasota, FL |
| 2024 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | WR | 2 | No. 1 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Sarasota, FL |
| 2023 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | WR | 2 | No. 1 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Sarasota, FL |
| 2022 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | WR | 2 | No. 1 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Sarasota, FL |